New research has found that prolonged exposure to 30.6ºC and 100 per cent humidity can be extremely dangerous. AFP
New research has found that prolonged exposure to 30.6ºC and 100 per cent humidity can be extremely dangerous. AFP
New research has found that prolonged exposure to 30.6ºC and 100 per cent humidity can be extremely dangerous. AFP
New research has found that prolonged exposure to 30.6ºC and 100 per cent humidity can be extremely dangerous. AFP

How hot is too hot for humans? The temperatures bodies can't survive in


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Scientists have identified the maximum mix of heat and humidity humans can survive in.

Thus far, it was thought even a healthy young person will die after enduring six hours of 35ºC warmth when coupled with 100 per cent humidity – a critical limit known “wet bulb temperature”.

However, new research shows that the threshold could be significantly lower.

The theorised human survival limit of 35ºC wet bulb temperature represents 35ºC of dry heat as well as 100 per cent humidity – or 46ºC at 50 per cent humidity. To test this limit, researchers at Pennsylvania State University measured the core temperatures of young, healthy people inside a heat chamber.

They found that participants reached their “critical environmental limit” – when their body could not stop their core temperature from continuing to rise – at 30.6ºC wet bulb temperature, well below the previously theorised 35ºC.

The team estimated that it would take between five and seven hours before such conditions would reach “really, really dangerous core temperatures”, said Daniel Vecellio, who worked on the research.

At this point sweat – the body's main tool for bringing down its core temperature – no longer evaporates off the skin, eventually leading to heatstroke, organ failure and death.

What is wet bulb temperature?

Though now mostly calculated using heat and humidity readings, wet bulb temperature was originally measured by putting a wet cloth over a thermometer and exposing it to the air.

This allowed it to measure how quickly the water evaporated off the cloth, representing sweat off the skin.

Heatstroke occurs when sweat no longer evaporates off the skin owing to high humidity. EPA
Heatstroke occurs when sweat no longer evaporates off the skin owing to high humidity. EPA

The previous critical limit of 35ºC has only been breached about a dozen times, mostly in South Asia and the Arabian Gulf, according to Colin Raymond of Nasa's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

None of those instances lasted more than two hours, meaning there have never been any “mass mortality events” linked to this limit of human survival, added Raymond, who led a major study on the subject.

But extreme heat does not need to be anywhere near that level to kill people, and everyone has a different threshold depending on their age, health and other social and economic factors, experts said. For example, more than 61,000 people are estimated to have died due to the heat last summer in Europe, where there is rarely enough humidity to create dangerous wet bulb temperatures.

But as global temperatures rise – last month was the hottest in recorded history – scientists warn that dangerous wet bulb events will also become more common.

The frequency of such events has at least doubled over the last 40 years, Raymond said, calling the increase a serious hazard of human-caused climate change.

Raymond's research projected that wet bulb temperatures will “regularly exceed” 35ºC at several points around the world in the coming decades if the world warms 2.5ºC above preindustrial levels.

Joy Monteiro, a researcher in India who last month published a study in Nature looking at wet bulb temperatures in South Asia, said that most deadly heatwaves in the region were well below the 35ºC wet bulb threshold.

Any such limits on human endurance are “wildly different for different people”, he said.

Children and old people among most vulnerable

“We don't live in a vacuum, especially children,” said Ayesha Kadir, a paediatrician in the UK and health adviser at Save the Children.

Small children are less able to regulate their body temperature, putting them at greater risk, she said.

Older people, who have fewer sweat glands, are the most vulnerable. Nearly 90 per cent of the heat-related deaths in Europe last summer were among people aged over 65.

People who have to work outside in soaring temperatures are also more at risk.

In the UAE, working is banned in open places from 12.30pm to 3pm during summer months. EPA
In the UAE, working is banned in open places from 12.30pm to 3pm during summer months. EPA

Whether or not people can occasionally cool their bodies down – for example, in air-conditioned spaces – is also a major factor.

Monteiro pointed out that people without access to toilets often drink less water, leading to dehydration.

“Like a lot of impacts of climate change, it is the people who are least able to insulate themselves from these extremes who will be suffering the most,” Raymond said.

His research has shown that the El Nino weather phenomena have pushed up wet bulb temperatures in the past. The first El Nino event in four years is expected to peak towards the end of this year.

Wet bulb temperatures are also closely linked to ocean surface temperatures. The world's oceans hit an all-time high temperature last month, beating the previous 2016 record, according to the European Union's climate observatory.

The Lowdown

Kesari

Rating: 2.5/5 stars
Produced by: Dharma Productions, Azure Entertainment
Directed by: Anubhav Singh
Cast: Akshay Kumar, Parineeti Chopra

 

How much of your income do you need to save?

The more you save, the sooner you can retire. Tuan Phan, a board member of SimplyFI.com, says if you save just 5 per cent of your salary, you can expect to work for another 66 years before you are able to retire without too large a drop in income.

In other words, you will not save enough to retire comfortably. If you save 15 per cent, you can forward to another 43 working years. Up that to 40 per cent of your income, and your remaining working life drops to just 22 years. (see table)

Obviously, this is only a rough guide. How much you save will depend on variables, not least your salary and how much you already have in your pension pot. But it shows what you need to do to achieve financial independence.

 

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BUNDESLIGA FIXTURES

Friday (all kick-offs UAE time)

Hertha Berlin v Union Berlin (10.30pm)

Saturday

Freiburg v Werder Bremen (5.30pm)

Paderborn v Hoffenheim (5.30pm)

Wolfsburg v Borussia Dortmund (5.30pm)

Borussia Monchengladbach v Bayer Leverkusen (5.30pm)

Bayern Munich v Eintracht Frankfurt (5.30pm)

Sunday

Schalke v Augsburg (3.30pm)

Mainz v RB Leipzig (5.30pm)

Cologne v Fortuna Dusseldorf (8pm)

 

 

MOUNTAINHEAD REVIEW

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Director: Jesse Armstrong

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BORDERLANDS

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Our legal consultants

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

Updated: August 10, 2023, 6:47 AM