The prevalence of neurological disorders such as Alzheimer's has grown over the past three decades. Getty images
The prevalence of neurological disorders such as Alzheimer's has grown over the past three decades. Getty images
The prevalence of neurological disorders such as Alzheimer's has grown over the past three decades. Getty images
The prevalence of neurological disorders such as Alzheimer's has grown over the past three decades. Getty images

Neurological conditions now leading cause of ill health and disability, study finds


Neil Murphy
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Neurological conditions are now the leading cause of ill health and disability affecting 3.4 billion people worldwide, a study has found.

Nervous system disorders – such as stroke, meningitis, Alzheimer's disease and other forms of dementia – have risen markedly over the past three decades, partially driven by ageing and lifestyle factors.

Researchers looked at the overall levels of disability, illness, and premature death caused by these conditions and measured them in what they described as disability-adjusted life years (Dalys).

They found Dalys had risen by 18 per cent in 30 years, rising from about 375 million years of healthy life lost in 1990 to 443 million in 2021.

The top 10 contributors to neurological health loss in 2021 were stroke, neonatal encephalopathy (brain injury), migraine, Alzheimer’s and other dementias, diabetic neuropathy (nerve damage), meningitis, epilepsy, neurological complications from preterm birth, autism spectrum disorder and nervous system cancers.

The neurological consequences of Covid-19, such as cognitive impairment from long Covid and Guillain-Barre syndrome, ranked 20th, accounting for 2.48 million years of healthy life lost in 2021.

The most prevalent neurological disorders in 2021 were tension-type headaches, with about 2 billion cases. Migraines accounted for 1.1 billion cases.

However, deaths from neurological conditions have declined by around a third worldwide since 1990, due largely to better awareness, vaccination and global prevention efforts.

Diabetic neuropathy, or nerve damage caused by diabetes, is the fastest-growing of all neurological conditions.

Scientists involved in the study say diabetic neuropathy has more than tripled globally since 1990, rising to 206 million in 2021. This is in line with the increase in the global prevalence of diabetes.

The researchers said that as many of these conditions lack cures, prevention needs to be a top priority.

According to the team’s analysis, modifying 18 risk factors over a person’s lifetime – most importantly high blood pressure – could prevent 84 per cent of global disabilities, illnesses, and premature deaths, from stroke.

Additionally, reducing high blood sugar levels to normal could reduce the burden of dementia by around 15 per cent, the researchers said.

Health loss from conditions such as tetanus (93 per cent decrease), meningitis (62 per cent decrease), and stroke (39 per cent decrease) have all reduced since 1990 when adjusted to take ageing populations into consideration.

Dr Tarun Dua, of the World Health Organisation’s Brain Health Unit, who co-authored the study, said this has disproportionately impacted the poorest countries, partly due to birth-related complications and infections affecting new-borns and young children.

Regions with the highest nervous system burden in 2021 were central and western sub-Saharan Africa, while high-income Asia Pacific and Australasia had the lowest.

“Every country now has estimates of their neurological burden based on the best available evidence,” said lead author Dr Jaimie Steinmetz from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation.

“As the world’s leading cause of overall disease burden, and with case numbers rising 59 per cent globally since 1990, nervous system conditions must be addressed through effective, culturally acceptable and affordable prevention, treatment, rehabilitation and long-term care strategies.”

The findings were published in The Lancet Neurology journal.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

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The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: March 15, 2024, 11:14 AM