Technology companies are pushing for the Trump administration to reverse a chip export policy implemented by former president Joe Biden. Reuters
Technology companies are pushing for the Trump administration to reverse a chip export policy implemented by former president Joe Biden. Reuters
Technology companies are pushing for the Trump administration to reverse a chip export policy implemented by former president Joe Biden. Reuters
Technology companies are pushing for the Trump administration to reverse a chip export policy implemented by former president Joe Biden. Reuters

'Nvidia has done just fine': Former Biden AI adviser defends chip export policy


Cody Combs
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A former senior White House artificial intelligence adviser on Monday defended a controversial chip export policy that seeks to maintain the US lead in AI by limiting the ability of some countries to buy powerful semiconductors.

"If computing power is so fundamental to AI, and the US and our allies are at such an extraordinary advantage in the design, production and use of that computing power, then we should be careful where we send this," Ben Buchanan, who served in former president Joe Biden's administration, said during Johns Hopkins University’s 2025 Emerging Technologies symposium.

Ben Buchanan, left, former US special adviser on artificial intelligence, defended limiting the amount of semiconductors the US ships to various countries. Cody Combs / The National
Ben Buchanan, left, former US special adviser on artificial intelligence, defended limiting the amount of semiconductors the US ships to various countries. Cody Combs / The National

Those policies, known as the AI diffusion rule, placed countries into tiers in terms of who would be able to obtain highly sought-after CPUs and GPUs integral to AI infrastructure.

That policy was announced during the final days of the Biden administration and mostly aimed at keeping US AI technology out of the hands of adversarial countries like China and Russia.

Australia, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Taiwan and the UK are the countries exempt from AI diffusion restrictions, falling into the first tier of AI diffusion countries.

The third tier of countries – China, Iran, North Korea, Russia, Syria and Venezuela – will have the most difficulty obtaining GPUs and CPUs under the new rules.

In the second tier, however, are countries such as Switzerland, Poland, Greece, Singapore, India, Indonesia, Israel, the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

US technology and AI heavyweights such as Microsoft and Nvidia have come out strongly against the rule.

“Left unchanged, the Biden rule will give China a strategic advantage in spreading over time its own AI technology, echoing its rapid ascent in 5G telecoms a decade ago,” Microsoft's president and vice chairman Brad Smith wrote on the company's AI blog in February.

An increasingly adversarial relationship between the US and China prompted the US to take a close look at its semiconductor export policies.
An increasingly adversarial relationship between the US and China prompted the US to take a close look at its semiconductor export policies.

Ned Finkle, vice president of government affairs at Nvidia, a maker of many of the chips affected by the AI diffusion policy, said the Biden administration sought to "undermine America’s leadership with a 200-plus-page regulatory morass, drafted in secret and without proper legislative review".

Both Nvidia and Microsoft have said that the policy could have unintended consequences by pushing countries to buy from China instead of the US.

Ultimately, the decision to change or withdraw the AI diffusion role rests with the US Department of Commerce.

In February, Mr Trump’s Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick was present during meetings between Nvidia’s chief executive Jensen Huang and the US President. And in March, the chip export policy was also the topic of various conversations with the Trump White House during a visit by UAE officials.

So far, however, no changes in AI diffusion rule have come to fruition. The National contacted the US Commerce Department for comment, but has not heard back.

Companies such as Nvidia have been open about their displeasure with the US chip export rules. Getty
Companies such as Nvidia have been open about their displeasure with the US chip export rules. Getty

The UAE has made significant investments in recent years in AI as it seeks to diversify its economy away from oil. A source at Nvidia previously told The National the chip export rules will make it harder for countries including the UAE to build capacity for non-frontier AI use cases.

Frontier AI is a term used to describe highly capable AI models and technology that could pose risks to public safety.

At the Emerging Technologies symposium, however, Mr Buchanan, who is now an assistant professor at Johns Hopkins' School of Advanced International Studies, denied that US technology companies like Nvidia were adversely affected by the chip export policies.

"The argument was that we were limiting who these US companies can sell these chips to and therefore limiting the revenue of these companies," he said.

"Nvidia's stock, prior to the tariffs at least, did very well and they've done just fine, because there's extraordinary demand for AI chips."

Mr Buchanan said worries about declining chip sales did not pan out.

US President Donald Trump has not indicated if he will reverse the Biden administration's chip export policy. AP
US President Donald Trump has not indicated if he will reverse the Biden administration's chip export policy. AP

Mr Buchanan said worries about declining chip sales did not eventuate. He said the Chinese semiconductor sector has not caught up with the US in terms of quality and processing power.

During a separate panel discussion at the emerging technology symposium, Eric Breckenfeld, Nvidia's director of technology policy, said the company made the most of a comment period announced by the Trump administration which is seeking to formulate an AI action plan for the country.

During that comment period, the White House urged citizens to “share their policy ideas” for AI.

The deadline for comments expired on March 15.

Meanwhile, much of the technology world is in wait and see mode to see if export policies get reversed.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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The bio

Date of Birth: April 25, 1993
Place of Birth: Dubai, UAE
Marital Status: Single
School: Al Sufouh in Jumeirah, Dubai
University: Emirates Airline National Cadet Programme and Hamdan University
Job Title: Pilot, First Officer
Number of hours flying in a Boeing 777: 1,200
Number of flights: Approximately 300
Hobbies: Exercising
Nicest destination: Milan, New Zealand, Seattle for shopping
Least nice destination: Kabul, but someone has to do it. It’s not scary but at least you can tick the box that you’ve been
Favourite place to visit: Dubai, there’s no place like home

Updated: April 08, 2025, 10:16 PM