Simon Stiell, United Nations climate chief, speaks during the opening plenary session in Baku, Azerbaijan on Monday. AP
Simon Stiell, United Nations climate chief, speaks during the opening plenary session in Baku, Azerbaijan on Monday. AP
Simon Stiell, United Nations climate chief, speaks during the opening plenary session in Baku, Azerbaijan on Monday. AP
Simon Stiell, United Nations climate chief, speaks during the opening plenary session in Baku, Azerbaijan on Monday. AP

Key leaders skip Cop29 as they navigate net-zero backlash


Tim Stickings
  • English
  • Arabic

Latest: How to win at Cop29 - a trillion-dollar war chest for the planet

The opening days of a UN climate change summit are when royals, presidents and prime ministers take the podium and proclaim the green ideals that set the tone for two weeks of talks.

But big names will be missing from the stage at the Cop29 talks in Baku, Azerbaijan, with even environmentally minded leaders in the West distracted by domestic troubles, as big green pledges hit political and economic headwinds.

The Baku talks are the bridge between the consensus reached on climate goals at Cop28 in the UAE last year – such as trebling clean energy by 2030 – and countries coming forward with concrete plans to fulfil them by the time of Cop30 in 2025.

By the time of next year's summit in Brazil, however, Donald Trump will be back in the White House and the pro-net zero leaders of Germany and Canada may also have been turfed out in elections, amid fears rich countries are souring on the climate cause just when the world is looking to them for leadership.

“It is actually quite worrying to hear what’s going on politically around the world,” Meena Raman, a regular participant in Cop summits representing the Third World Network from Malaysia, told The National on day one in Baku, where the two-day leaders’ summit begins on Tuesday.

Cop29 summit begins in Azerbaijan - in pictures

  • Participants at the Cop29 venue in Baku, Azerbaijan. Reuters
    Participants at the Cop29 venue in Baku, Azerbaijan. Reuters
  • Jochen Flasbarth, State Secretary in the German Ministry for Economic Co-operation and Development, speaks in the Germany pavilion. Getty Images
    Jochen Flasbarth, State Secretary in the German Ministry for Economic Co-operation and Development, speaks in the Germany pavilion. Getty Images
  • Nuclear power activists demonstrate. AP
    Nuclear power activists demonstrate. AP
  • Activists hold a protest calling on developed nations to provide financing. Reuters
    Activists hold a protest calling on developed nations to provide financing. Reuters
  • An activist holds up a sign. Reuters
    An activist holds up a sign. Reuters
  • Conference participants arrive on day four. Getty Images
    Conference participants arrive on day four. Getty Images
  • Another protest. Reuters
    Another protest. Reuters
  • From left, Jorge Perez, Rolando Escobar, Miguel Vasquez and Esteban Cama at a session on Indigenous communities in the Peruvian Amazon. AP
    From left, Jorge Perez, Rolando Escobar, Miguel Vasquez and Esteban Cama at a session on Indigenous communities in the Peruvian Amazon. AP
  • President Sheikh Mohamed attends the World Leaders Climate Action Summit at Cop29, in Azerbaijan's capital Baku. UAE Presidential Court
    President Sheikh Mohamed attends the World Leaders Climate Action Summit at Cop29, in Azerbaijan's capital Baku. UAE Presidential Court
  • Sheikh Mohamed greets Recep Tayyip Erdogan, President of Turkey. WAM
    Sheikh Mohamed greets Recep Tayyip Erdogan, President of Turkey. WAM
  • British Prime Minister Keir Starmer at Cop29. Bloomberg
    British Prime Minister Keir Starmer at Cop29. Bloomberg
  • Ding Xuexiang, China's first Vice Premier, at Cop29. Bloomberg
    Ding Xuexiang, China's first Vice Premier, at Cop29. Bloomberg
  • Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban at a plenary session at Cop29. AP
    Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban at a plenary session at Cop29. AP
  • Sudan's military leader Abdel Fattah Al Burhan, at Cop29. Bloomberg
    Sudan's military leader Abdel Fattah Al Burhan, at Cop29. Bloomberg
  • World leaders pose for a group photo at the Cop29 United Nations Climate Change Conference, in Baku, Azerbaijan. AP
    World leaders pose for a group photo at the Cop29 United Nations Climate Change Conference, in Baku, Azerbaijan. AP
  • Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, left, stands next to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Reuters
    Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, left, stands next to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Reuters
  • Antonio Guterres, UN secretary-general, addresses Cop29. Bloomberg
    Antonio Guterres, UN secretary-general, addresses Cop29. Bloomberg
  • Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev speaks during the Cop29 opening ceremony. Reuters
    Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev speaks during the Cop29 opening ceremony. Reuters
  • Rafael Grossi, director general of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), at Cop29. Bloomberg
    Rafael Grossi, director general of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), at Cop29. Bloomberg
  • Activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, on day one of Cop29. AP
    Activists demonstrate for climate justice and a ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, on day one of Cop29. AP
  • Cop28 President Dr Sultan Al Jaber and Cop29 President Mukhtar Babayev at the official handover. AFP
    Cop28 President Dr Sultan Al Jaber and Cop29 President Mukhtar Babayev at the official handover. AFP
  • Dr Al Jaber, Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology, delivers a speech during the opening of Cop29 in Baku. AFP
    Dr Al Jaber, Minister of Industry and Advanced Technology, delivers a speech during the opening of Cop29 in Baku. AFP
  • Mr Babayev speaks during the opening plenary session. AP
    Mr Babayev speaks during the opening plenary session. AP
  • An installation depicting a beached whale by the Belgian art collective Captain Boomer on an embankment in Baku. EPA
    An installation depicting a beached whale by the Belgian art collective Captain Boomer on an embankment in Baku. EPA
  • The Turkey Solidarity Centre pavilion. Bloomberg
    The Turkey Solidarity Centre pavilion. Bloomberg
  • Simon Stiell, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, speaks during the opening ceremony. EPA
    Simon Stiell, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, speaks during the opening ceremony. EPA
  • People begin arriving for the start of Cop29 in Baku. Bloomberg
    People begin arriving for the start of Cop29 in Baku. Bloomberg
  • Dr Al Jaber at Cop29 with Moroccan climate researcher Cherif El Khalil. AP
    Dr Al Jaber at Cop29 with Moroccan climate researcher Cherif El Khalil. AP
  • A mosaic adorns a wall at the Cop29 venue, Baku Stadium, in the capital of Azerbaijan. Bloomberg
    A mosaic adorns a wall at the Cop29 venue, Baku Stadium, in the capital of Azerbaijan. Bloomberg
  • A woman tries out a VR headset at the tourism booth as the Cop29 UN climate summit gets under way in Baku, Azerbaijan. AP
    A woman tries out a VR headset at the tourism booth as the Cop29 UN climate summit gets under way in Baku, Azerbaijan. AP

Amid pressures to calm populist anger at home and hand money to green causes abroad, governments could raise funds for the climate by taxing the wealthy, reducing military spending, or cutting subsidies for fossil fuels, Ms Raman said. “These are not impossible positions,” she said. “If there is a political will to do so, there are ways of doing so, regardless of what problems governments are having.”

About 100 heads of state and government are expected to take the podium in Baku after the UAE handed over the presidency to Azerbaijan on Monday. All eyes are on whether Cop29 produces a finance deal for rich countries to pour trillions into clean energy, cutting pollution and disaster preparation and recovery.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz scrapped his trip to Azerbaijan after his left-green-liberal coalition collapsed in a row over economic policy, with new elections expected early next year. Having championed renewable energy, heat pumps and the phase-out of coal power, Mr Scholz’s government faces a scathing verdict from voters who look set to hand power to the opposition Christian Democrats.

The centre-right party has pinned the blame for Germany’s economic troubles squarely on green policies, while resurgent nationalists in the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party openly question climate science. Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is a second G7 leader staring at defeat in a 2025 election, with an increase in his signature carbon tax described as “wacko” by the opposition. He is also absent from Baku.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz cancelled his trip to Azerbaijan after his left-green-liberal coalition collapsed. EPA
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz cancelled his trip to Azerbaijan after his left-green-liberal coalition collapsed. EPA

Neither Mr Trump nor departing US President Joe Biden will attend, and the second Trump administration is expected to once again withdraw from the Paris climate agreement after Mr Biden restored the US signature. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is busy with EU horse-trading as she assembles a team for her second term. Her climate envoy in Baku, Wopke Hoekstra, has had his brief revamped with more focus on economic growth after farmer protests helped water down the EU's green agenda.

Asad Rehman, the head of anti-poverty group War on Want, said a lack of political will from governments in the West “is what is opening the door” for the rise of right-wing populists who challenge the consensus on tackling climate change. “This is a moment for solidarity between people of the Global North and the Global South, for a shared future,” he said.

One exception to the lack of enthusiasm in the West is Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who is making his debut on the Cop stage and plans to invest in clean power. Energy Secretary Ed Miliband is personally leading the UK’s negotiating team.

Mr Starmer is one of only two G7 leaders attending the talks, along with Italy’s Giorgia Meloni. Also missing are French President Emmanuel Macron and Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, who is battling to stay in power. China is sending Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang to represent its President Xi Jinping.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is not expected to attend, after Moscow’s veto of an EU venue was key to Azerbaijan winning the Cop29 hosting rights. Britain’s environmentalist King Charles III, who attended Cop28 in the UAE, is recovering from cancer treatment.

Updated: November 11, 2024, 11:06 AM