Justin Sullivan / Getty Images
Justin Sullivan / Getty Images
Justin Sullivan / Getty Images
Justin Sullivan / Getty Images

Real alternatives to the game of monopolies in the GCC


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As the economy continues to be under contractionary pressure, it is high time we took an in-depth look at one of the major constraints to its growth. As we know, it is entrepreneurs building start-ups that form the foundation of any economy. However, as I have argued before, monopolies stifle entrepreneurship. The greater the number of monopolies, the greater the value destruction in the economy.

I have argued this many times. Now I’d like to show exactly how much all these monopolies, the agencies on electronics, restaurants, medicine, etc might cost the economy in dollar terms. You will be shocked.

Before we get to pricing let us understand the value of a commercial licence to operate a business. In a free market capitalism framework, the value is close to zero. For example, in the GCC, most businesses require a licence that costs a few thousand dirhams at most. If you pay much more than that then you are paying for a regulated activity or something exclusive. This insight allows us to understand the value of monopolies.

Information around monopolies, in the GCC, is usually opaque. Perhaps nobody wants you to know how much the monopolist is making from their monopoly. But one sector was interestingly opened up and that is telecoms. Saudi Arabia was perhaps the most sought-after market and a consortium led by Etihad Etisalat won the auction for the second telecommunications licence in Saudi in 2004. Before I tell you the amount I want to make clear that this was not for a monopoly but a much weaker duopoly, two companies. They bid 12.2 billion Saudi riyals, or about US$3.25bn – Dh11.95bn.

This amount of money, quite simply, paid for the right to access the Saudi market. That means that the original monopoly that Saudi Telecom Company had enjoyed cost the Saudi government at least $3.25bn, or probably much more, in forgone fees. Think of it in these terms: what would an auction of the first Saudi licence have garnered? In the case of telecommunications companies in the UAE the Government recognises the value of providing a monopoly, duopoly or oligopoly and therefore taxes the telcos.

There are two problems with such a response. First and foremost it is not applied to all the monopolies. Does a car dealer in an emirate pay a tax on the monopoly that he holds? Why shouldn’t the Government tax that monopoly just as it taxes the telco duopolies? Better yet, why not have the Government auction the monopoly to the highest bidder? Best of all, why not simply abolish the monopoly legislation and tax/fine anyone involved in perpetuating any monopolies?

Such monopolies are not restricted to private citizens. The Government also can engage in them, but at least we as citizens and residents all benefit as opposed to when it is a sole private monopolist. For example, in Dubai, the Roads and Transport Authority owns the main taxi service and franchises the rest. This is not optimal as we have a near monopoly because the largest taxi fleet is owned by the Government - in particular the regulator of taxis. Before we pile on to the RTA, let’s see if we can help them. Looking at things from the outside there seem to be two main issues: government revenue and citywide logistical coordination – for example, if there is a big conference ending you want a lot of taxis to show up.

How can we deal with this if we fully privatise? On the revenue side it is easy, tax the income. I promise you that if you privatise all taxis then you will find businessmen ready to pay taxes and bid for the licences. This would be a good way to introduce corporate taxation into the country.

What about logistical support for city functions? Easy, go back to capitalistic basics and learn from Uber. The RTA gets to designate priority situations and allows the taxi companies to apply surge pricing. Better yet, have the companies bid on what their surge premium would be and the RTA can choose the lowest, thus protecting Dubai’s citizens, residents and guests. Capitalism, tempered by government policy, always works.

The best thing for the RTA if it implements such a strategy? It releases its balance sheet that is tied up with a taxi fleet and redeploy it to something innovative that leapfrogs Dubai forward.

The strange thing is that we are already used to auctions. Yes, telecommunications licences but also, for a simple example, motor vehicle licence plates. Or our airline auctions for upgrades. Or cars impounded by the authorities.

We have removed subsidies from all, including the middle class and the poor. Why do we continue to subsidise the super rich? Is 45 years of legislated profit not enough for them?

A final thought. If we are going to continue to subsidise the super rich at the very least let’s introduce an inheritance tax. I’m getting tired of inheritors and monopolists confusing themselves for businessmen. They aren’t. They’re suffocating our entrepreneurs.

Sabah Al Binali is an active investor and entrepreneurial leader with a track record of growing companies in the Mena region. You can read more of his thoughts at al-binali.com.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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