Inflation is surging and recession fears are growing, but young Americans plan to live life to the fullest this summer, even if they have to eat into their savings or go into debt.
After more than two years of coronavirus-related restrictions, Gen Z and millennials are more likely than their older counterparts to travel this summer, to spend more on those trips than previous years, and to take on credit card debt, according to a survey from Verasight commissioned by Bloomberg News.
“There's that need to get out there and enjoy yourself after two years of being cooped up,” said Jennifer Lee, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets.
Take Michela Tarantolo, 22, who recently graduated with a marketing degree from Creighton University in Omaha, Nebraska. She said her college experience was split by Covid-19, with two years of fun followed by two years of pandemic-induced caution.
That’s why she and three of her best friends spontaneously bought tickets to go to see their favourite band, 5 Seconds of Summer, in Chicago in July. The women will share a car and three nights in a hotel room, bringing the total cost to about $350 each.
“I’m just excited to get experiences back,” she said. “The experience of going out and doing something kind of overrides the expense of it. I am more willing to spend money on experiences because now we know that some things can change in a matter of moments.”
About 69 per cent of millennials and 65 per cent of Gen Z in the US plan to travel for holidays this summer, outpacing Gen X and baby boomers, according to the Verasight survey, which polled 1,521 adults in early May.
They’re also more likely than their older counterparts to spend more on holidays this summer than in previous years.
This spending comes at a time of growing economic uncertainty. Consumer prices rose 8.3 per cent in April, among the highest readings since the early 1980s, and prices for airfares and hotels have risen.
To make matters worse, the odds of an economic recession in the next year are steadily rising.
However, the economy, and particularly the labour market, remain strong for now. The unemployment rate for Americans aged 25 to 54 is at the lowest level since 2019, and the rate for those aged 16 to 24 is the lowest since February 2020, just before the pandemic began.
A record 4.5 million Americans left their jobs in March, suggesting workers are confident they can jump to another easily.
Meanwhile, many Americans were able to boost their savings in the past two years, with younger respondents to the Verasight survey more likely to say their savings increased during the pandemic. That was particularly true for 51 per cent of millennials and 49 per cent of Gen Z.
Those who do not have the savings to pay for their summer of fun may be going into debt instead.
Younger generations are more likely to have bigger bills this year, the survey found, with 27 per cent of both Gen Z and millennials reporting higher credit card spending than in 2021, compared with 16 per cent of Gen X and 11 per cent of baby boomers.
A record 537 million credit card accounts were opened in the first quarter of 2022, a jump of 31 million over the past year, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. And the country’s largest banks said credit card spending surged in the first quarter as customers began travelling and dining out again.
Emmanuel Nwana, 25, is spending two weeks in Europe this summer with two of his friends. The nuclear medicine technologist from Washington, the US capital, spent the past two years at home or at the hospital where he works.
He’s OK that his tour through Portugal, Spain, Croatia and Poland comes at a higher cost because of inflation. To afford it, he’s cut back on spending by not going out as much and is only buying things he needs.
“It’s not fun that everything is more expensive, but to some degree having been in the house locked for two years, you kind of have to live your life and bite that bullet,” Mr Nwana said. “I’m sacrificing things so that I can take this bigger trip — I look forward to just forgetting everything for a couple of weeks and turning off life.”
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Profile of RentSher
Started: October 2015 in India, November 2016 in UAE
Founders: Harsh Dhand; Vaibhav and Purvashi Doshi
Based: Bangalore, India and Dubai, UAE
Sector: Online rental marketplace
Size: 40 employees
Investment: $2 million
New process leads to panic among jobseekers
As a UAE-based travel agent who processes tourist visas from the Philippines, Jennifer Pacia Gado is fielding a lot of calls from concerned travellers just now. And they are all asking the same question.
“My clients are mostly Filipinos, and they [all want to know] about good conduct certificates,” says the 34-year-old Filipina, who has lived in the UAE for five years.
Ms Gado contacted the Philippines Embassy to get more information on the certificate so she can share it with her clients. She says many are worried about the process and associated costs – which could be as high as Dh500 to obtain and attest a good conduct certificate from the Philippines for jobseekers already living in the UAE.
“They are worried about this because when they arrive here without the NBI [National Bureau of Investigation] clearance, it is a hassle because it takes time,” she says.
“They need to go first to the embassy to apply for the application of the NBI clearance. After that they have go to the police station [in the UAE] for the fingerprints. And then they will apply for the special power of attorney so that someone can finish the process in the Philippines. So it is a long process and more expensive if you are doing it from here.”
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500 People from Gaza enter France
115 Special programme for artists
25 Evacuation of injured and sick
U19 World Cup in South Africa
Group A: India, Japan, New Zealand, Sri Lanka
Group B: Australia, England, Nigeria, West Indies
Group C: Bangladesh, Pakistan, Scotland, Zimbabwe
Group D: Afghanistan, Canada, South Africa, UAE
UAE fixtures
Saturday, January 18, v Canada
Wednesday, January 22, v Afghanistan
Saturday, January 25, v South Africa
UAE squad
Aryan Lakra (captain), Vriitya Aravind, Deshan Chethyia, Mohammed Farazuddin, Jonathan Figy, Osama Hassan, Karthik Meiyappan, Rishabh Mukherjee, Ali Naseer, Wasi Shah, Alishan Sharafu, Sanchit Sharma, Kai Smith, Akasha Tahir, Ansh Tandon
Terror attacks in Paris, November 13, 2015
- At 9.16pm, three suicide attackers killed one person outside the Atade de France during a foootball match between France and Germany
- At 9.25pm, three attackers opened fire on restaurants and cafes over 20 minutes, killing 39 people
- Shortly after 9.40pm, three other attackers launched a three-hour raid on the Bataclan, in which 1,500 people had gathered to watch a rock concert. In total, 90 people were killed
- Salah Abdeslam, the only survivor of the terrorists, did not directly participate in the attacks, thought to be due to a technical glitch in his suicide vest
- He fled to Belgium and was involved in attacks on Brussels in March 2016. He is serving a life sentence in France
SANCTIONED
- Kirill Shamalov, Russia's youngest billionaire and previously married to Putin's daughter Katarina
- Petr Fradkov, head of recently sanctioned Promsvyazbank and son of former head of Russian Foreign Intelligence, the FSB.
- Denis Bortnikov, Deputy President of Russia's largest bank VTB. He is the son of Alexander Bortnikov, head of the FSB which was responsible for the poisoning of political activist Alexey Navalny in August 2020 with banned chemical agent novichok.
- Yury Slyusar, director of United Aircraft Corporation, a major aircraft manufacturer for the Russian military.
- Elena Aleksandrovna Georgieva, chair of the board of Novikombank, a state-owned defence conglomerate.