As investors pour more and more money into funds that passively track stock indexes, Burton Flynn and Ivan Nechunaev are on a road trip to try to show that research and stock picking can pay off.
The two men, managers of the Evli Emerging Frontier Fund, hit the road in June with their wives and Mr Flynn’s then-2-year-old son to live in 12 countries over 12 months. They promised their investors they would meet face-to-face with executives of every company they buy stock in.
Besides testing the value of hands-on research, the trip also shines a light on how well companies in developing countries are addressing environmental, social and governance issues. The men are targeting smaller companies that usually aren’t in benchmark indexes, traded on exchanges from Indonesia to the Philippines, Saudi Arabia to Mexico.
“We’ve been flying into these markets for two or three days for many years now, but I’ve always felt like we were observing these economies and cultures at a superficial level,” Mr Flynn said by phone from Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. “Moving to a new country each month has been challenging for my family, and my son probably won’t remember anything, but we’re getting a life experience that is really valuable and unique.”
After eight months on the road, the trip has had benefits. The $81 million (Dh297.5m) fund has returned 10 per cent since the trip started, beating the MSCI Frontier Emerging Markets Index’s 3.4 per cent return in euro terms. Longer term, the fund has underperformed competitors, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The men, who work for Terra Nova Capital, majority-owned by Helsinki-based Evli Bank, may extend the trip to 15 countries in three additional months.
Mr Flynn and Mr Nechunaev aren't the first investors to immerse themselves in emerging markets. In 1990, Jim Rogers set out for a motorcycle trip through developing countries that lasted 22 months and resulted in the book Investment Biker. A second book, Adventure Capitalist, the result of a three-year trip to 116 countries, convinced Rogers that the 21st century would belong to China.
Investors could easily select cheap, emerging-market stocks with positive earnings forecasts from offices in Hong Kong or New York. But Mr Flynn and Mr Nechunaev say hitting the road has allowed them to peek into the underexplored corners of markets, finding companies that aren’t on the radar of most fund managers. Also, as ESG becomes a more important element for Evli’s clients, they wanted to build a proprietary database of companies.
Mr Flynn, a 36-year-old native of Salt Lake City, and Mr Nechunaev, a 29-year-old from Tomsk, in Russia’s Siberia, look for attractive valuations and good earnings prospects. They’re fine with companies that have little or no analyst coverage.
The 19 stocks selected in the first six months of the journey have contributed 8.8 percentage points to the fund’s performance during the period. Their purchases include Malaysia’s Pentamaster Corporation, which makes equipment for the manufacturing and semiconductor industries, television company PT Media Nusantara Citra in Indonesia, Pakistani technology services company Systems Ltd and Tipco Asphalt in Thailand.
They’ve interacted with more than 500 companies, including 237 meetings with CEOs plus several dozen more with stock exchange officials, regulators, local investors and an extended network that includes alumni of the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, where both earned their MBAs.
"Moving to a new country each month has been challenging for my family, and my son probably won't remember anything, but we're getting a life experience that is really valuable and unique."
The trip began in the Philippines, followed by Malaysia, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Thailand and Vietnam. After spending January in Saudi Arabia, they’re now in South Africa before heading to Turkey, Egypt, Argentina, Chile and Mexico. They’re still deciding what should be the 15th destination for the project, and said the coronavirus outbreak hasn’t affected their plans since they’ve already finished their travels in Asia.
On the their first day in the Philippines, in June, they met with Raul De Mesa, chairman of AbaCore Capital Holdings. After the chat, they decided to grab a taxi and travel for three hours to check out big chunks of valuable land the company owns in Batangas, one of the country’s fastest-growing provinces.
AbaCore is beginning to cash in, selling some of that land, and a local employee was waiting for them to show the premises. Back in Manila, the portfolio managers were able to ask questions of chief executive Regina Reyes and co-founder Hermilando Mandanas at an old colonial American members-only club. After that and some other meetings, they bought the shares.
The men have been living in short-term rental apartments, flying low-cost airlines and aim to arrange an average of five meetings per weekday, plus breakfast or dinner for some networking. They’ve also been blogging about their adventures, such as an attempt to talk their way into a meeting with Pakistan’s finance minister and their dinners with Donald Trump Junior in Bali, Indonesia.
Adding to the stockpicking challenge, they were determined to check how serious companies are when it comes to improving environmental, social and governance practices, a focus for investors in Nordic countries like Finland, where their fund is based.
They came up with 108 questions to be posed to all the 1,000 companies they expected to meet, on topics such as compensation, carbon footprint and employee satisfaction. While they don’t apply Nordic standards to emerging-market companies, they’re trying to build a proprietary database of companies and their ESG achievements, the men say.
In countries such as Malaysia and Thailand, companies are aware of ESG in part due to pressure from regulators and stock exchanges, while in others, like Pakistan and Bangladesh, many companies are hearing about it for the first time.
The men say they’ve gotten better at recognising “greenwashing,” where companies portray themselves as more environmentally and socially responsible than they actually are.
“As global managers, we will never be the most well-informed investors,” Mr Flynn and Mr Nechunaev said in an emailed response to questions.
“Local brokers and fund managers have the advantage there. But we have the ability to understand the range of markets and to own the companies where we see the greatest value.”
Springtime in a Broken Mirror,
Mario Benedetti, Penguin Modern Classics
The biog
Siblings: five brothers and one sister
Education: Bachelors in Political Science at the University of Minnesota
Interests: Swimming, tennis and the gym
Favourite place: UAE
Favourite packet food on the trip: pasta primavera
What he did to pass the time during the trip: listen to audio books
What is Folia?
Prince Khaled bin Alwaleed bin Talal's new plant-based menu will launch at Four Seasons hotels in Dubai this November. A desire to cater to people looking for clean, healthy meals beyond green salad is what inspired Prince Khaled and American celebrity chef Matthew Kenney to create Folia. The word means "from the leaves" in Latin, and the exclusive menu offers fine plant-based cuisine across Four Seasons properties in Los Angeles, Bahrain and, soon, Dubai.
Kenney specialises in vegan cuisine and is the founder of Plant Food Wine and 20 other restaurants worldwide. "I’ve always appreciated Matthew’s work," says the Saudi royal. "He has a singular culinary talent and his approach to plant-based dining is prescient and unrivalled. I was a fan of his long before we established our professional relationship."
Folia first launched at The Four Seasons Hotel Los Angeles at Beverly Hills in July 2018. It is available at the poolside Cabana Restaurant and for in-room dining across the property, as well as in its private event space. The food is vibrant and colourful, full of fresh dishes such as the hearts of palm ceviche with California fruit, vegetables and edible flowers; green hearb tacos filled with roasted squash and king oyster barbacoa; and a savoury coconut cream pie with macadamia crust.
In March 2019, the Folia menu reached Gulf shores, as it was introduced at the Four Seasons Hotel Bahrain Bay, where it is served at the Bay View Lounge. Next, on Tuesday, November 1 – also known as World Vegan Day – it will come to the UAE, to the Four Seasons Resort Dubai at Jumeirah Beach and the Four Seasons DIFC, both properties Prince Khaled has spent "considerable time at and love".
There are also plans to take Folia to several more locations throughout the Middle East and Europe.
While health-conscious diners will be attracted to the concept, Prince Khaled is careful to stress Folia is "not meant for a specific subset of customers. It is meant for everyone who wants a culinary experience without the negative impact that eating out so often comes with."
Company profile
Date started: December 24, 2018
Founders: Omer Gurel, chief executive and co-founder and Edebali Sener, co-founder and chief technology officer
Based: Dubai Media City
Number of employees: 42 (34 in Dubai and a tech team of eight in Ankara, Turkey)
Sector: ConsumerTech and FinTech
Cashflow: Almost $1 million a year
Funding: Series A funding of $2.5m with Series B plans for May 2020
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League semi-final, second leg result:
Ajax 2-3 Tottenham
Tottenham advance on away goals rule after tie ends 3-3 on aggregate
Final: June 1, Madrid
WandaVision
Starring: Elizabeth Olsen, Paul Bettany
Directed by: Matt Shakman
Rating: Four stars
Your Guide to the Home
- Level 1 has a valet service if you choose not to park in the basement level. This level houses all the kitchenware, including covetable brand French Bull, along with a wide array of outdoor furnishings, lamps and lighting solutions, textiles like curtains, towels, cushions and bedding, and plenty of other home accessories.
- Level 2 features curated inspiration zones and solutions for bedrooms, living rooms and dining spaces. This is also where you’d go to customise your sofas and beds, and pick and choose from more than a dozen mattress options.
- Level 3 features The Home’s “man cave” set-up and a display of industrial and rustic furnishings. This level also has a mother’s room, a play area for children with staff to watch over the kids, furniture for nurseries and children’s rooms, and the store’s design studio.
Tips to stay safe during hot weather
- Stay hydrated: Drink plenty of fluids, especially water. Avoid alcohol and caffeine, which can increase dehydration.
- Seek cool environments: Use air conditioning, fans, or visit community spaces with climate control.
- Limit outdoor activities: Avoid strenuous activity during peak heat. If outside, seek shade and wear a wide-brimmed hat.
- Dress appropriately: Wear lightweight, loose and light-coloured clothing to facilitate heat loss.
- Check on vulnerable people: Regularly check in on elderly neighbours, young children and those with health conditions.
- Home adaptations: Use blinds or curtains to block sunlight, avoid using ovens or stoves, and ventilate living spaces during cooler hours.
- Recognise heat illness: Learn the signs of heat exhaustion and heat stroke (dizziness, confusion, rapid pulse, nausea), and seek medical attention if symptoms occur.
Sour%20Grapes
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THE SPECS
Engine: 3-litre V6
Transmission: eight-speed automatic
Power: 424hp
Torque: 580 Nm
Price: From Dh399,000
On sale: Now
Mina Cup winners
Under 12 – Minerva Academy
Under 14 – Unam Pumas
Under 16 – Fursan Hispania
Under 18 – Madenat
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
Started: 2021
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
Based: Tunisia
Sector: Water technology
Number of staff: 22
Investment raised: $4 million
Dhadak 2
Director: Shazia Iqbal
Starring: Siddhant Chaturvedi, Triptii Dimri
Rating: 1/5
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The specs
Engine: 5.2-litre V10
Power: 640hp at 8,000rpm
Torque: 565Nm at 6,500rpm
Transmission: 7-speed dual-clutch auto
Price: From Dh1 million
On sale: Q3 or Q4 2022
ASIAN%20RUGBY%20CHAMPIONSHIP%202024
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EResults%3C%2Fstrong%3E%3Cbr%3EHong%20Kong%2052-5%20UAE%3Cbr%3ESouth%20Korea%2055-5%20Malaysia%3Cbr%3EMalaysia%206-70%20Hong%20Kong%3Cbr%3EUAE%2036-32%20South%20Korea%3Cbr%3E%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFixtures%3C%2Fstrong%3E%3Cbr%3EFriday%2C%20June%2021%2C%207.30pm%20kick-off%3A%20UAE%20v%20Malaysia%3Cbr%3EAt%20The%20Sevens%2C%20Dubai%20(admission%20is%20free).%3Cbr%3ESaturday%3A%20Hong%20Kong%20v%20South%20Korea%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A