Kuwait sovereign fund turning its focus from US to EU investments


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The Kuwait Investment Office (KIO), the London branch of Kuwait’s sovereign wealth fund, is gradually cutting its exposure to the United States in favour of Europe, its chief executive said yesterday.

The KIO a unit of the Kuwait Investment Authority (KIA), is boosting its investments in Europe because of the bond-buying programme in euro zone countries known as quantitative easing (QE), which is expected to flood the 19-member currency union with liquidity and inflate asset prices.

The KIA manages US$548 billion in assets and is the world’s sixth largest sovereign wealth fund, according to the Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute.

“This year we are starting to implement an overweight for the European markets and gradually decreasing our overweight to the US markets,” said Osama Al Ayoub.

“With all of this liquidity, I think that [European Central Bank president Mario] Draghi is trying to introduce to the market, assets will inflate. With the introduction of QE, there is going to be a chase in Europe for yielding assets. This is another opportunity in the capital market.”

The European Central Bank said in January it would this month launch a €1.1 trillion (Dh4.53tn) bond-buying programme to stimulate growth in the fragile euro-zone economy. The QE will involve the release into the euro-zone economy of €60bn each month until the end of next year.

The KIO also plans to double its assets under management over a 10-year period. Mr Al Ayoub declined to reveal the size of the assets the KIO manages.

“What we are targeting … is to double assets under management organically over a10-year period and this translates into a 7.3 per cent IRR [internal rate of return],” he said. “This year I think is going to be a very challenging year.”

The KIO has most of its assets in capital markets, with smaller exposures to fixed income and alternative investments, but expects to increase the share of alternative investments in the near term.

“The bulk of the assets is in capital markets, I think, mainly in equities and to a lesser extent in fixed income. Then there is a smaller percentage in alternative investments.

“In the next three to five years … I think there will be an increase in exposure to alternative investments mainly to the real part of alternative investments – infrastructure and real estate. I think within the capital exposure there is going to be more exposure to equities rather than fixed income.”

With the near-halving of oil prices, the fund also envisages opportunities in the energy space, particularly oil services companies outside the Middle East and North Africa.

dalsaadi@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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