Last year, oil accounted for 58.5 per cent of Abu Dhabi's GDP, according to the report. Courtesy Adnoc
Last year, oil accounted for 58.5 per cent of Abu Dhabi's GDP, according to the report. Courtesy Adnoc
Last year, oil accounted for 58.5 per cent of Abu Dhabi's GDP, according to the report. Courtesy Adnoc
Last year, oil accounted for 58.5 per cent of Abu Dhabi's GDP, according to the report. Courtesy Adnoc

Higher crude prices help to lift Abu Dhabi's GDP


Gillian Duncan
  • English
  • Arabic

Higher oil prices helped to generate an extra Dh186bn (US$50.64bn) for the Abu Dhabi economy last year.

The emirate's nominal GDP, which strips out inflation, swelled by almost 30 per cent to Dh806bn last year. The Statistics Centre-Abu Dhabi (Scad) did not release the real GDP figure, but the rise mirrors similarly robust oil-fuelled gains in the Saudi economy.

"It's a very similar picture," said Jarmo Kotilaine, the chief economist of National Commercial Bank in Saudi Arabia. "If you look at the preliminary 2011 data, the nominal GDP [in Saudi Arabia] grew by 28.2 per cent. They provided the real number as well, which was 6.8 per cent."

The Scad report said the "robust growth presents unequivocal proof" that the emirate's economy has rebounded from the global financial crisis.

The figure was boosted by "huge financial surpluses, strong growth in non-oil sectors and activities, high oil prices, along with several other factors", according to the report. Non-oil activities grew by about 7 per cent throughout the year, it added.

The diversification of the emirate's economy away from its reliance on oil is one of the key objectives of Abu Dhabi Economic Vision 2030.

The road map seeks to reduce the emirate's reliance on oil to 36 per cent of GDP by 2030. Last year, oil accounted for 58.5 per cent of Abu Dhabi's GDP, according to the report.

"This confirms that the emirate's plans to expand the economic base and diversify the sources of income are progressing successfully," said the report.

But "mining and quarrying activity", dominated by oil extraction, grew by more than 53 per cent, "fuelled by the sharp rise in oil prices in world markets", added the report.

Mr Kotilaine says that although Abu Dhabi's real GDP growth figure is not known, the picture is "somewhat better" than expected.

"Presumably, [the real GDP growth figure is] something quite close to the Saudi number, which certainly would point to a rebound in economic activity from the post-crisis situation, and that certainly goes beyond the oil sector," he said.

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Goalkeepers: Ibrahim Alma, Mahmoud Al Youssef, Ahmad Madania.
Defenders: Ahmad Al Salih, Moayad Ajan, Jehad Al Baour, Omar Midani, Amro Jenyat, Hussein Jwayed, Nadim Sabagh, Abdul Malek Anezan.
Midfielders: Mahmoud Al Mawas, Mohammed Osman, Osama Omari, Tamer Haj Mohamad, Ahmad Ashkar, Youssef Kalfa, Zaher Midani, Khaled Al Mobayed, Fahd Youssef.
Forwards: Omar Khribin, Omar Al Somah, Mardik Mardikian.

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Major honours

ARSENAL

  • FA Cup - 2005

BARCELONA

  • La Liga - 2013
  • Copa del Rey - 2012
  • Fifa Club World Cup - 2011

CHELSEA

  • Premier League - 2015, 2017
  • FA Cup - 2018
  • League Cup - 2015

SPAIN

  • World Cup - 2010
  • European Championship - 2008, 2012

Top 5 concerns globally:

1. Unemployment

2. Spread of infectious diseases

3. Fiscal crises

4. Cyber attacks

5. Profound social instability

Top 5 concerns in the Mena region

1. Energy price shock

2. Fiscal crises

3. Spread of infectious diseases

4. Unmanageable inflation

5. Cyber attacks

Source: World Economic Foundation

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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MATCH INFO

Juventus 1 (Dybala 45')

Lazio 3 (Alberto 16', Lulic 73', Cataldi 90 4')

Red card: Rodrigo Bentancur (Juventus)