We take a look at Dubai property prices, Etisalat’s busy week, Facebook’s video calling, the faltering iPad and the wealth of a tennis star.
How slow is the property slowdown?
The data from the property experts in the UAE has shown a softening of prices in Dubai during the past two quarters but nothing quite as drastic as the possible 20 per cent fall predicted by ratings agency Standard and Poor's. It first added its bearish voice in January, and released another report this week saying that prices could fall 10 to 20 per cent over the remainder of the year, with more than 20,000 units set to be delivered to the market. JLL reported that about 730 residential units were delivered in the first quarter, so there's a hefty chunk expected to arrive in the latter part of the year. Before anyone starts reaching for the panic button, S&P said developers are now better placed to cope with any sharp fall in prices compared to the previous correction in 2008-09. It will certainly be interesting to see how far this correction has moved on when the second quarter figures are released, and whether S&P has called it right. Ian Oxborrow
Etisalat rings in the changes
On Monday evening, with little build up or advance notice, Etisalat dropped the bombshell that many have long prayed for: 20 per cent of its shares are to be made available to non-Emiratis. Foreign investors have long yearned to get their hands on shares in Etisalat, one of the few remaining listed companies hitherto reserved for local investors. The response from the market was predictable: the operator's shares soared on Tuesday to their biggest one day gain in more than 10 years, with gains extended on Wednesday before falling on Thursday. The timing of the move remains unclear so far, but Etisalat will surely want to move quickly; if the restrictions are lifted before the end of July, its stock is likely to be included in MSCI's Emerging Market Index by August, attracting passive inflows of more than $350m. John Everington
Facing up to video calling
Free ways of communicating are always of interest to people in the Emirates - and perhaps especially to expatriates, who, wherever they are from, will want to keep in regular touch with loved ones back home. This week, we reported that Facebook has introduced free video calling in the UAE. The service, which is embedded in Facebook's Messenger app, works on calls behind mobile phones. However, as with Skype, the regulatory context of the new service is not entirely clear. While these technologies appear to be tolerated, and indeed are an important source of revenue for telecoms companies (data plans), the Telecommunications Regulatory Authority has yet to endorse them. Some readers reported problems getting the Facebook video calling to work, but it isn't clear yet whether that was simply due to a personal software issue. John Everington
Age of the iPad passing by
The lower oil price has hampered many sectors during the past 12 months, but one that may not have immediately come to mind is that of tablet sales. Tablet shipments to the region fell 5.83 per cent to 3.83 million units year on year, down from 4.07 million in the year to March 2014, according to data from the technology research firm IDC. The constraints of the low oil price was affecting government purchases of tablets, IDC said. The more obvious reason for a decline in sales is because of the widespread use of bigger smartphones. Now that the Apple iPhone 6 is out, why buy an iPad? Samsung fans now think twice before purchasing a Galaxy Tab because the Galaxy Note 4 is a superb phone with a screen big enough to watch movies and read text. Tablets are failing to match smartphones in terms of innovation and technological advancement, with powerful front and rear cameras and curved glass edges all the rave. Can tablets be rejuvenated? Ian Oxborrow
Sharapova finds wealth beyond the court
Advertising is repetition, for the most part. The impression it makes in the consumer's mind is cumulative, like a pattern pressed deeper and deeper into dough. Take a story this week that was one of our most popular: a feature article from Bloomberg showing how Maria Sharapova became the planet's highest-paid female athlete, earning $22 million last year from endorsements alone. The article's first paragraph mentions that a tournament at which Sharapova was playing had been improved in recent years with the help of sponsors including Emirates airline. The mention is a small thing, a glancing reference, but it adds to the value of the sponsorship. It creates, if briefly, a temporary association in the readers' mind between Emirates and Sharapova. Advertising is repetition. Rob McKenzie
business@thenational.ae
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Director: James Cameron
Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana
Rating: 4.5/5
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Company%C2%A0profile
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EName%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EPyppl%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEstablished%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2017%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EAntti%20Arponen%20and%20Phil%20Reynolds%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20UAE%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ESector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20financial%20services%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestment%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%2418.5%20million%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEmployees%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20150%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunding%20stage%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20series%20A%2C%20closed%20in%202021%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20venture%20capital%20companies%2C%20international%20funds%2C%20family%20offices%2C%20high-net-worth%20individuals%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
PREMIER LEAGUE FIXTURES
Saturday (UAE kick-off times)
Watford v Leicester City (3.30pm)
Brighton v Arsenal (6pm)
West Ham v Wolves (8.30pm)
Bournemouth v Crystal Palace (10.45pm)
Sunday
Newcastle United v Sheffield United (5pm)
Aston Villa v Chelsea (7.15pm)
Everton v Liverpool (10pm)
Monday
Manchester City v Burnley (11pm)
SHADOWS%20AND%20LIGHT%3A%20THE%20EXTRAORDINARY%20LIFE%20OF%20JAMES%20MCBEY
%3Cp%3EAuthor%3A%20Alasdair%20Soussi%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EPages%3A%20300%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EPublisher%3A%20Scotland%20Street%20Press%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EAvailable%3A%20December%201%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Explainer: Tanween Design Programme
Non-profit arts studio Tashkeel launched this annual initiative with the intention of supporting budding designers in the UAE. This year, three talents were chosen from hundreds of applicants to be a part of the sixth creative development programme. These are architect Abdulla Al Mulla, interior designer Lana El Samman and graphic designer Yara Habib.
The trio have been guided by experts from the industry over the course of nine months, as they developed their own products that merge their unique styles with traditional elements of Emirati design. This includes laboratory sessions, experimental and collaborative practice, investigation of new business models and evaluation.
It is led by British contemporary design project specialist Helen Voce and mentor Kevin Badni, and offers participants access to experts from across the world, including the likes of UK designer Gareth Neal and multidisciplinary designer and entrepreneur, Sheikh Salem Al Qassimi.
The final pieces are being revealed in a worldwide limited-edition release on the first day of Downtown Designs at Dubai Design Week 2019. Tashkeel will be at stand E31 at the exhibition.
Lisa Ball-Lechgar, deputy director of Tashkeel, said: “The diversity and calibre of the applicants this year … is reflective of the dynamic change that the UAE art and design industry is witnessing, with young creators resolute in making their bold design ideas a reality.”
German intelligence warnings
- 2002: "Hezbollah supporters feared becoming a target of security services because of the effects of [9/11] ... discussions on Hezbollah policy moved from mosques into smaller circles in private homes." Supporters in Germany: 800
- 2013: "Financial and logistical support from Germany for Hezbollah in Lebanon supports the armed struggle against Israel ... Hezbollah supporters in Germany hold back from actions that would gain publicity." Supporters in Germany: 950
- 2023: "It must be reckoned with that Hezbollah will continue to plan terrorist actions outside the Middle East against Israel or Israeli interests." Supporters in Germany: 1,250
Source: Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution