UAE businesses have their eyes on the next storm


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More than two weeks after the UAE was battered by record rainfall, the country faced another round of unstable weather on Thursday.

But while not as severe as the April 16 storm, businesses and consumers nonetheless braced for any outcome – having been deeply affected by the previous deluge, which saw many businesses drowned in rainwater to the point of being non-operational and delivery vehicles damaged and stranded in the watery aftermath.

Images and videos of the unprecedented rain in April – the UAE's largest single day of rainfall in the 75 years since records began in 1949 – still linger, prompting reflection and preparation for the future.

Abu Dhabi and Dubai were hit by heavy rain, thunder and lightning in the early hours of Thursday morning, with more wet weather expected throughout the day. Further rainfall was recorded in the Northern Emirates in the morning.

We are all learning from climate change and there’s an acceptance that you cannot regard heavy rain as a minor event
Paul Griffiths,
chief executive, Dubai Airports

That followed the April 16 storm that caused heavy disruption as floods filled streets and basement parking areas, transport operations were stalled, businesses and logistical services were shut down, and people were stuck in offices and metro stations. Passengers were also stranded at the Dubai International Airport, which was flooded and forced to cancel flights.

Businesses and consumers are "likely to experience a mix of concern, caution and adaptive behaviour", Roshni Sheth, Middle East retail lead at the consumer data platform Gfk, told The National.

"Concern for safety and property may prompt a shift in spending priorities towards essential items and home repair services ... additionally, the event may spark interest in insurance coverage as consumers seek to protect themselves against future weather-related risks."

Counting the cost

Small and medium-sized businesses felt the brunt of the storm's effect, as they were forced to close down and assess the situation.

Entrances to basement parking lots were barricaded with sandbags to help prevent flood water from creeping in, while bricks on pavements leading to shop doors were damaged – most of which have now been repaired.

"A quarter of [our building] was submerged in 200mm of water ... a massive clean-up was required. We did lose two parked delivery vehicles and three quarters of our outdoor furniture," said Matt Toogood, chief executive of Raw Coffee Company, which is based in Dubai's Al Quoz area.

"Most of our team couldn't make it to work from Wednesday through Saturday. We managed to open on Friday with a skeleton crew and a closed kitchen due to our suppliers' inability to deliver fresh produce. Team members who rely on public transport are still facing four times the usual commute time to get to and from work."

It was only on April 24, more than a week after the storm, that Raw Coffee surpassed 50 per cent of its usual daily sales.

Rolly Brucales, managing partner of the seafood restaurant Off The Hook, said the restaurant chain recorded a more than 60 per cent drop in its average daily sales from April 16 to 18.

The chain has branches in malls and general public areas across Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

"Sales were lost in the morning due to our staff coming in late and less footfall because of floods. Operationally, the only impact was from transportation expenses, which shot up due to limited options such as taxis," he told The National.

"Based on what happened, the only consideration for future branches is to open in areas that are free from floods."

Several major supermarket chains were also affected.

Damaged brick pavements are seen in Dubai's Al Barsha 1 area. Photo: Alvin Cabral
Damaged brick pavements are seen in Dubai's Al Barsha 1 area. Photo: Alvin Cabral

Those operating 24 hours, such as a branch of Choithrams in Al Barsha 1, were forced into a rare shutdown as staff tried to dry up their water-filled shop floor.

Carrefour and Spinneys, two of the biggest supermarket chains in the UAE, had to shut a number of stores and suspend delivery services to ensure the safety of their employees.

Carrefour, whose UAE franchise is operated by Dubai's Majid Al Futtaim conglomerate, did witness a "significant increase" in demand for online orders, but decided to suspend the service "in the best interest of our delivery team", Bernardo Perloiro, chief operating officer for UAE at Majid Al Futtaim Retail, told The National.

"These updates were communicated to customers in a timely manner, to manage expectations," he said.

Delivery services were reactivated "depending on the accessibility of the roads", he said.

Spinneys, which is gearing up for an initial public offering on the Dubai Financial Market, posted higher in-store sales, its chief executive Sunil Kumar told The National.

While the increase was "partially offset by some stores not operating with optimal stock levels for a short period of time" and a brief suspension of its e-commerce operations, the rise was mainly due to visiting customers who were unable to eat out or order online, he said.

Damaged belongings have also spurred an increase in sales for consumer electronics, said Ashish Panjabi, chief operating officer of the Dubai-based Jacky’s Retail.

"We are now in a period where we’ve seen sales start to rise again, especially for categories like televisions and home appliances as many of those living in communities that had floods have seen these products destroyed, hence needing replacements," he told The National.

With disruptions to physical stores, there could potentially be an increased reliance on online shopping for convenience and accessibility, GfK's Ms Sheth said.

She recommends adjusting stock levels and diversifying suppliers "to ensure the availability of key items during rainy periods" and invest in e-commerce "to maintain sales during low foot traffic in physical stores".

Stopped in their tracks

One of the most consequential effects of the storm was people being forced to abandon their vehicles in the middle of flooded roads, as the water level rose significantly.

That had caused "significant disruptions" to the UAE's car sector, Rahul Dixit, a consumer and marketing insights commercial leader at NielsenIQ-GfK, told The National.

"Many people were unable to get to dealerships or service centres due to the weather. This has impacted car sales and maintenance schedules," he said.

According to a new NielsenIQ-GfK study, about a third of motorists said their vehicles were stuck due to waterlogging on roads or parking lots. Nearly two thirds claimed they did not receive any communication from their respective dealership stores after the floods.

While 64 per cent of affected respondents said they were repairing their vehicles for now and were willing to buy a new one in the future, 22 per cent have considered buying a new car after assessing the damage.

"By understanding these effects, auto makers and dealerships can be better prepared to navigate challenges and capitalise on opportunities," Mr Dixit said.

'Double-edged sword'

The heavy rains had also caused power and water outages in buildings. The National observed a queue of residents lining up to fill water containers at a tap in the car park of Dubai's Mall of the Emirates on April 20.

These outages forced people to find a place to stay for a night or two, which presented a dilemma for many hospitality establishments.

There was an impact on bookings and cancellations, "but it was a double-edged sword: people couldn’t get out and people couldn’t get in", Philip Barnes, the chief executive of the hotel chain Rotana Group, told The National.

Antonio Gonzalez, chief executive of Sunset Hospitality Group, said the storm had required them to "react efficiently, ensuring security and safety" for their guests.

"Venues reacted quickly and effectively ... adapting to the situation and remaining positive," he said.

Come rain or shine

For businesses, contingencies need to be in place in order to deal with inevitable unstable weather in the future.

Physical alterations to stores are now even more essential to prevent damage in case of a future storm, Mr Kumar of Spinneys said.

A vertically integrated supply chain, which includes local logistics operations, warehouses and production facilities, as well as international sourcing and logistics offices, would help "rapidly deal with changes in stock requirements", he added.

Mr Panjabi, meanwhile, said planning for future deluges means that "provisions for staff transportation, working arrangements, logistics and warehousing all need to be re-studied to ensure that any of the challenges we faced this time around are better mitigated going forward".

Unusual and extreme weather, attributed to climate change, are now being witnessed globally. Last August, Beijing was hit by the heaviest rains since records began 140 years ago.

Higher amounts of water vapour evaporating into the atmosphere have become fuel for more powerful storms to develop, alongside increased wind speeds, according to the United States Geological Survey.

“We are all learning from climate change and there’s an acceptance that you cannot regard heavy rain as a minor event," Paul Griffiths, chief executive of Dubai Airports, told The National.

For airports, a key driver of economic activity, there is a need to "deal with it with proactive methods of ensuring we prevent climate change by investing in sustainability", he said.

"It’s imperative that we rethink what the fundamentals of airports are: they are a way of ensuring smooth, seamless transition from ground to air – that’s the whole rationale of having an airport."

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Starring: Nayanthara, Vignesh Shivan, Radhika Sarathkumar, Nagarjuna Akkineni

Director: Amith Krishnan

Rating: 3.5/5

Neil Thomson – THE BIO

Family: I am happily married to my wife Liz and we have two children together.

Favourite music: Rock music. I started at a young age due to my father’s influence. He played in an Indian rock band The Flintstones who were once asked by Apple Records to fly over to England to perform there.

Favourite book: I constantly find myself reading The Bible.

Favourite film: The Greatest Showman.

Favourite holiday destination: I love visiting Melbourne as I have family there and it’s a wonderful place. New York at Christmas is also magical.

Favourite food: I went to boarding school so I like any cuisine really.

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Director: Simon Curtis

 

Cast: Hugh Bonneville, Elizabeth McGovern, Maggie Smith, Michelle Dockery, Laura Carmichael, Jim Carter and Phyllis Logan

 

Rating: 4/5

 
How has net migration to UK changed?

The figure was broadly flat immediately before the Covid-19 pandemic, standing at 216,000 in the year to June 2018 and 224,000 in the year to June 2019.

It then dropped to an estimated 111,000 in the year to June 2020 when restrictions introduced during the pandemic limited travel and movement.

The total rose to 254,000 in the year to June 2021, followed by steep jumps to 634,000 in the year to June 2022 and 906,000 in the year to June 2023.

The latest available figure of 728,000 for the 12 months to June 2024 suggests levels are starting to decrease.

Uefa Nations League

League A:
Germany, Portugal, Belgium, Spain, France, England, Switzerland, Italy, Poland, Iceland, Croatia, Netherlands

League B:
Austria, Wales, Russia, Slovakia, Sweden, Ukraine, Republic of Ireland, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Northern Ireland, Denmark, Czech Republic, Turkey

League C:
Hungary, Romania, Scotland, Slovenia, Greece, Serbia, Albania, Norway, Montenegro, Israel, Bulgaria, Finland, Cyprus, Estonia, Lithuania

League D:
Azerbaijan, Macedonia, Belarus, Georgia, Armenia, Latvia, Faroe Islands, Luxembourg, Kazakhstan, Moldova, Liechtenstein, Malta, Andorra, Kosovo, San Marino, Gibraltar

Sustainable Development Goals

1. End poverty in all its forms everywhere

2. End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture

3. Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages

4. Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all

5. Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls

6. Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all

7. Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all

8. Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all

9. Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialisation and foster innovation

10. Reduce inequality  within and among countries

11. Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable

12. Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns

13. Take urgent action to combat climate change and its effects

14. Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development

15. Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss

16. Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels

17. Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalise the global partnership for sustainable development

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Gremio Everton 95’

GCC-UK%20Growth
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The National selections:

6.30pm Underwriter

7.05pm Rayig

7.40pm Torno Subito

8.15pm Talento Puma

8.50pm Etisalat

9.25pm Gundogdu

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cyl turbo

Power: 201hp at 5,200rpm

Torque: 320Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm

Transmission: 6-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 8.7L/100km

Price: Dh133,900

On sale: now 

Persuasion
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Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government

Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council

Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south

Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory

Checks continue

A High Court judge issued an interim order on Friday suspending a decision by Agriculture Minister Edwin Poots to direct a stop to Brexit agri-food checks at Northern Ireland ports.

Mr Justice Colton said he was making the temporary direction until a judicial review of the minister's unilateral action this week to order a halt to port checks that are required under the Northern Ireland Protocol.

Civil servants have yet to implement the instruction, pending legal clarity on their obligations, and checks are continuing.

Updated: May 08, 2024, 8:14 AM