Egypt's Minister of Tourism and Antiquities Ahmed Issa said he sees an opportunity for private sector-led growth. Photo: American Chamber of Commerce in Egypt
Egypt's Minister of Tourism and Antiquities Ahmed Issa said he sees an opportunity for private sector-led growth. Photo: American Chamber of Commerce in Egypt
Egypt's Minister of Tourism and Antiquities Ahmed Issa said he sees an opportunity for private sector-led growth. Photo: American Chamber of Commerce in Egypt
Egypt's Minister of Tourism and Antiquities Ahmed Issa said he sees an opportunity for private sector-led growth. Photo: American Chamber of Commerce in Egypt

Egypt seeking to attract 30 million tourists by 2028


Nada El Sawy
  • English
  • Arabic

Egypt wants to increase its visitor numbers by between 25 per cent and 30 per cent annually as it pushes to hit 30 million tourists by 2028, Minister of Tourism and Antiquities Ahmed Issa said.

The new strategy to revitalise the tourism sector — battered by the Covid-19 pandemic and the fallout of the Russia-Ukraine war — includes more than doubling the number of hotel rooms, increasing the number of plane seats, investing in promotion and improving the overall visitor experience.

“We need just 300,000 rooms, $30 billion of investments in rooms and probably similar amounts of investments in customer experiences. Spread the word — and it is a great industry to invest in,” said Mr Issa at a talk at the American Chamber of Commerce in Egypt on Monday.

Egypt’s tourism numbers dropped to 3.7 million in 2020, from about 13 million in 2019, before slightly recovering to eight million in 2021, according to the country’s statistics agency Capmas.

While full-year figures for 2022 are not available, five million tourists visited Egypt in the first half of the year.

The country’s revenue from the tourism sector, an important source of foreign currency, decreased to $4 billion in 2020, from about $13 billion in 2019, before hitting $9 billion in 2021.

Tourism is even more vital as Egypt struggles with an economic crisis triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine about a year ago. In addition to lost tourism receipts, the war has led to a large capital outflow, a higher food import bill and soaring inflation.

As a condition for a $3 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund, the country has committed to a permanent shift to a flexible exchange rate, letting the Egyptian pound halve in value against the US dollar over the past year.

Mr Issa, who was appointed in August in a cabinet reshuffle, said he sees an opportunity for tourism growth led by the private sector, despite economic challenges.

In contrast to his predecessor Khaled El Enany, who came from an Egyptology and academic background, Mr Issa spent about 25 years at Egyptian lender Commercial International Bank. He held key roles such as chief financial officer and chief executive of retail banking.

“I have built a career on problem-solving,” Mr Issa said. “I usually ask myself: is it a problem of supply or is it a problem of demand?”

Egypt has 2,000 archaeological sites and six Unesco world heritage sites, including such top attractions as the Pyramids of Giza, the Valley of the Kings in Luxor and the temples of Aswan. It also features coastal destinations on both the Red Sea and the Mediterranean.

Despite all of this, the country “has only been getting less than 1 per cent of the total tourism in the world”, he said.

In 2019, there were more than 1.4 billion tourists globally, half of which went to Europe.

A couple of surveys in the past few months have pointed to optimism for the future of Egypt’s tourism, Mr Issa said.

More than 74 per cent of industry experts expect to see improved performance in 2023, according to a survey in September from the government’s Information and Decision Support Centre.

Another survey by Egyptian newspaper Al Mal showed an 11 per cent annual improvement in the tourism industry’s business sentiment in December. Six in 10 expect their total revenue to increase in 2023.

“Overall, I can report that the state of the industry is on the right path,” he said.

However, the question remains why Egypt is not attracting the number of tourists that it should.

A study led by Mr El Enany found that 55 per cent of global tourists would be interested in coming to Egypt, showing that “it is not a problem with demand”, Mr Issa said.

The product today is not ready and it is going to take us years to be able to build it
Ahmed Issa,
Egypt's Minister of Tourism and Antiquities

One of the issues is not having enough plane seats coming in to the country. There were only 5,000 seats arriving from Russia during the last week of July, compared to 30,000 seats in the last week of December. Accordingly, the number of weekly arrivals from Russia grew by 5.5 times.

Mr Issa said there is also a need to increase budget airline seats, in particular, which only account for one in seven of Egypt’s total.

“Countries with more than 30 million tourists all have a higher percentage of low-cost carriers arriving in their countries to be able to achieve that number,” he said.

A second issue is hotel capacity, with about 210,000 rooms currently available in Egypt.

“We simply haven’t built enough hotel rooms in Egypt over the past few years,” Mr Issa said.

“Countries that serve 30 million to 40 million tourists have about half a million rooms or so, so we need to build 300,000 more rooms.”

The rooms are also not well distributed, with only about 15,000 floating hotel rooms and 7,000 on the ground in the key tourist destinations of Luxor and Aswan.

The plan is to start with adding 25,000 to 30,000 rooms this year and grow the ministry’s investment in promotion by 50 per cent, Mr Issa said.

In parallel, the ministry will be working with government and private sector partners to improve the overall customer experience at tourist sites and create value propositions for independent travellers.

“The product today is not ready and it is going to take us years to be able to build it,” he said.

As part of the ministry’s digital transformation, 78 nationalities can now receive an electronic visa while 20 will be added in the coming few weeks, Mr Issa said.

About 180 nationalities can receive a visa on arrival, provided they have a visa on their passports for the UK, US, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, or Schengen countries.

In December, 1.7 million e-tickets out of 2 million visitors were issued at the country’s archaeological sites and museums.

The ministry will be measuring its performance in improving the visitor experience over the coming two to three years, he said.

“We are going to ensure that [tourism] in Egypt continues to grow by 25 per cent to 30 per cent per annum over the coming five years until we reach 30 million tourists by 2028, maximum by 2030, God willing.”

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Name: Tratok Portal

Founded: 2017

Based: UAE

Sector: Travel & tourism

Size: 36 employees

Funding: Privately funded

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The bio

Studied up to grade 12 in Vatanappally, a village in India’s southern Thrissur district

Was a middle distance state athletics champion in school

Enjoys driving to Fujairah and Ras Al Khaimah with family

His dream is to continue working as a social worker and help people

Has seven diaries in which he has jotted down notes about his work and money he earned

Keeps the diaries in his car to remember his journey in the Emirates

The years Ramadan fell in May

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1888

The biog

Favourite food: Tabbouleh, greek salad and sushi

Favourite TV show: That 70s Show

Favourite animal: Ferrets, they are smart, sensitive, playful and loving

Favourite holiday destination: Seychelles, my resolution for 2020 is to visit as many spiritual retreats and animal shelters across the world as I can

Name of first pet: Eddy, a Persian cat that showed up at our home

Favourite dog breed: I love them all - if I had to pick Yorkshire terrier for small dogs and St Bernard's for big

The specs

Engine: 3.8-litre, twin-turbo V8

Transmission: eight-speed automatic

Power: 582bhp

Torque: 730Nm

Price: Dh649,000

On sale: now  

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Sector: Generative AI
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Current number of staff: 47
 
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Stars: Vahid Mobasseri, Mariam Afshari, Ebrahim Azizi, Hadis Pakbaten, Majid Panahi, Mohamad Ali Elyasmehr

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Price, base: Dh1,731,672

Engine: 6.5-litre V12

Gearbox: Seven-speed automatic

Power: 770hp @ 8,500rpm

Torque: 720Nm @ 6,750rpm

Fuel economy: 19.6L / 100km

Updated: January 17, 2023, 1:36 PM