UK inflation hits 40-year high of 9% as energy costs rocket


Paul Carey
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The UK's rate of inflation increased at its fastest rate on record last month in a clear demonstration of the cost-of-living crisis, according to new official figures.

The Consumer Prices Index inflation increased to 9 per cent in April from 7 per cent in March, the Office for National Statistics has said.

It was the fastest measured rate rise since official records began in 1989, and the ONS estimates it was the highest level since 1982.

A large portion of the rise was due to the price cap on energy bills, which was increased by 54 per cent for the average household at the start of April.

The Bank of England has already predicted that inflation will soar above 10 per cent this year, and earlier this month raised interest rates from 0.75 per cent to 1 per cent — a 13-year high.

Chancellor Rishi Sunak said “we cannot protect people completely” from global problems which contributed to inflation hitting 9 per cent in April, but we “are providing significant support where we can, and stand ready to take further action”.

Last month's rise was driven by an unprecedented surge in energy bills. Regulator Ofgem decides the maximum that an energy supplier can charge its customers, but the amount is changed every six months.

Grant Fitzner, chief economist at the ONS, said: “Inflation rose steeply in April, driven by the sharp climb in electricity and gas prices as the higher price cap came into effect.

A pedestrian passes a closed-down shop, advertised 'to let', in London. The rate of inflation increased at its fastest rate on record last month. AFP
A pedestrian passes a closed-down shop, advertised 'to let', in London. The rate of inflation increased at its fastest rate on record last month. AFP

“Around three quarters of the increase in the annual rate this month came from utility bills.

“We have also published new modelled historical estimates today, which show that CPI annual inflation was last higher 40 years ago.

“Steep annual rises in the cost of metals, chemicals and crude oil also continued, along with higher prices for goods leaving factory gates.

“This was driven by increases for food products, transport equipment and metals, machinery and equipment.”

On Tuesday, official figures showed the unemployment rate was at its lowest since 1974. However, soaring inflation led to the biggest annual fall in real earnings excluding bonuses since 2013.

The Confederation of British Industry warned of a “historic squeeze” in household finances and a “tough trading environment” for businesses.

The business organisation increased pressure on Mr Sunak to bring forward extra help to deal with the rising cost of living.

CBI chief economist Rain Newton-Smith said: “Inflation was always likely to hit hard in April given the energy price cap increase.

“Looking ahead, inflation is likely to stay high, with a resulting historic squeeze in households’ incomes and a tough trading environment for businesses. It is critical the Government explores options to help people facing real hardship now, and support cash flow for vulnerable firms.

“Stimulating business investment is also crucial, to both plug the near-term gap in growth and to shore up the economy’s potential to withstand future shocks.

“Turning good intentions on a permanent investment deduction into a firm commitment, setting out an infrastructure road map and publishing a digital strategy, are steps which can be taken without delay.”

Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at Avatrade, said: "Inflation in the UK is completely out of control, and there is no doubt that soaring inflation is having a negative influence on disposable income. Consumers are struggling to meet their daily needs, and now the pressure is even more on the Bank of England to do more to control inflation. But the fact is that the BoE is walking on a fine line, and it can only do so much to control inflation by increasing the interest rate."

Former BoE governor Mervyn King urged his successors to send a “strong, clear signal now”, suggesting an increase in interest rates is needed.

Before the inflation figures, Lord King told LBC radio: “I think the big challenge is they’ve got to demonstrate that they realise the need now is to give a very strong signal that they’re focusing on bringing inflation down.”

Pressed if he means a substantial rise in interest rates is needed, he said: “The sooner it’s done the lower it can be, but my worry would be if you defer this and creep very slowly, you end up in a situation where a year from now people are saying interest rates need to rise.”

On Monday, the current BoE governor Andrew Bailey said that ultimately, high global energy and goods prices would hit demand in the UK and therefore increase unemployment.

“The main driver of inflation and what brings it down is the very big, real income shock, which is coming from outside forces and, particularly, energy prices and global goods prices,” Mr Bailey said.

Samuel Tombs, the chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, which had forecast from a consensus of analysts that inflation would hit 9.1 per cent, said food inflation may have eased in April compared to the year before.

In April 2021, restaurants were closed, so supermarkets took advantage over Easter as people wanted to celebrate. This year that was not a factor.

“Nonetheless, supermarkets are likely have continued to pass on higher costs to consumers,” Mr Tombs said.

What remains to be seen is how long inflation holds on. Mr Tombs’ team predicts that it will remain high throughout this year and settle back down below the BoE’s target of 2 per cent in the autumn of 2023.

The specs
  • Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8
  • Power: 640hp
  • Torque: 760nm
  • On sale: 2026
  • Price: Not announced yet
It’ll be summer in the city as car show tries to move with the times

If 2008 was the year that rocked Detroit, 2019 will be when Motor City gives its annual car extravaganza a revamp that aims to move with the times.

A major change is that this week's North American International Auto Show will be the last to be held in January, after which the event will switch to June.

The new date, organisers said, will allow exhibitors to move vehicles and activities outside the Cobo Center's halls and into other city venues, unencumbered by cold January weather, exemplified this week by snow and ice.

In a market in which trends can easily be outpaced beyond one event, the need to do so was probably exacerbated by the decision of Germany's big three carmakers – BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Audi – to skip the auto show this year.

The show has long allowed car enthusiasts to sit behind the wheel of the latest models at the start of the calendar year but a more fluid car market in an online world has made sales less seasonal.

Similarly, everyday technology seems to be catching up on those whose job it is to get behind microphones and try and tempt the visiting public into making a purchase.

Although sparkly announcers clasp iPads and outline the technical gadgetry hidden beneath bonnets, people's obsession with their own smartphones often appeared to offer a more tempting distraction.

“It's maddening,” said one such worker at Nissan's stand.

The absence of some pizzazz, as well as top marques, was also noted by patrons.

“It looks like there are a few less cars this year,” one annual attendee said of this year's exhibitors.

“I can't help but think it's easier to stay at home than to brave the snow and come here.”

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Nancy Ajram

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Alyssa Ayres, Oxford University Press

The specs

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Power: Combined output 920hp

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Price: expected to start at Dh1,432,000

The Freedom Artist

By Ben Okri (Head of Zeus)

The biog

Fatima Al Darmaki is an Emirati widow with three children

She has received 46 certificates of appreciation and excellence throughout her career

She won the 'ideal mother' category at the Minister of Interior Awards for Excellence

Her favourite food is Harees, a slow-cooked porridge-like dish made from boiled wheat berries mixed with chicken

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Updated: May 18, 2022, 5:29 PM