An increase in project spending is expected due to optimism created by Expo 2020.
An increase in project spending is expected due to optimism created by Expo 2020.
An increase in project spending is expected due to optimism created by Expo 2020.
An increase in project spending is expected due to optimism created by Expo 2020.

Concern over capacity for infrastructure projects in Middle East


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Concerns abound about a looming capacity crunch for key capital and infrastructure projects in the Middle East, despite optimism about increased spending in the coming 12 months, a survey from PwC yesterday showed.

PwC’s second Middle East capital project and infrastructure survey found that 75 per cent of respondents expected an increase in project spending in the coming 12 months, with the UAE considered the top target for investing in capital projects and infrastructure, followed by Qatar and Saudi Arabia.

Such optimism is largely driven by events such as Dubai Expo 2020 and the Fifa World Cup 2022 in Qatar, together with increased spending on social infrastructure including housing, education and health care.

However, the survey, which polled the views of 130 prominent project owners, developers, contractors, advisers and financiers, suggested that market capacity is failing to keep pace with demand, which has already negatively affected project delivery in the region.

“While our survey shows a good dose of optimism, there is a capacity crunch looming which threatens the delivery of projects. It is already having an impact, as we are beginning to see more delays on projects that are under way,” according to Stephen Anderson, PwC’s leader of capital projects and infrastructure in the Middle East.

“Broadly speaking, these problems have been apparent in our region’s infrastructure sector for several years, but the increase in activity is making them more acute. They need to be urgently addressed if the region is to deliver on its ambitions.”

Ninety-five per cent of the survey’s respondents said that their projects were delayed, with 45 per cent reporting delays of more than six months.

PwC identified the ability to find the right number of people with the right skills as a key challenge for both project owners and contractors, together with difficulties securing funding. Client decision-making was also cited as a concern, with 35 per cent of contractors citing it as the greatest challenge they face delivering projects.

jeverington@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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