The US retail giant's first African venture is already under fire for the huge investment benefits it stands to achieve. Nadine Hutton / Bloomberg
The US retail giant's first African venture is already under fire for the huge investment benefits it stands to achieve. Nadine Hutton / Bloomberg
The US retail giant's first African venture is already under fire for the huge investment benefits it stands to achieve. Nadine Hutton / Bloomberg
The US retail giant's first African venture is already under fire for the huge investment benefits it stands to achieve. Nadine Hutton / Bloomberg

Walmart must prepare for African adventure


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The US retail giant has quickly discovered that its first venture on the continent is riddled with challenges — not to mention shotgun-wielding security guards

If Walmart is to make a success of its proposed African venture it will have to get used to a whole new style of business that includes in-store shotgun-wielding security guards and unions that go on strike at the drop of a hat.

The US retail giant has offered 16.5 billion rand (Dh8.77bn) for a 51 per cent share in South Africa's Massmart, which operates 288 low-cost stores in 14 African countries. This will be Walmart's first investment on the continent and one of the largest foreign retail takeovers.

With the ink barely dry on its offer, Walmart is already getting a taste of what it is in for. Last week, 80,000 workers at all South Africa's major retailers went on strike to demand centralised wage bargaining.

At the same time, members of the South African Commercial, Catering and Allied Workers' Union, which claims to represent 70 per cent of Massmart employees, launched an anti-Walmart coalition. The union says it will try to block the takeover unless Walmart meets its demands, which include permanent jobs for Massmart's 6,000 casual workers, the reinstatement of more than 1,500 employees retrenched this year and guaranteed levels of local procurement.

Unions fear the global retailer will replace local suppliers with cheap imports from China. They especially worry that Walmart's well-documented anti-union stance in North America will be introduced.

Grant Pattison, the chief executive of Massmart, has tried to placate critics of the deal and said the company would retain its local listing and South African management. He also hinted that the US company would leave it to the locals to manage both the unions and the business environment.

"What isn't going to happen is a bunch of Walmart people around here start running the company," Mr Pattison said.

Whatever initial hiccups the company may have, its venture may reflect a growing interest by large US corporations attracted by Africa's fast-growing economies and middle class, analysts say.

"Africa is the untold story and could be the big story of the next decade, like India and China were this past decade," Muhtar Kent, the chief executive of Coca-Cola, said in Bloomberg Business Week recently. Coke, which has a long-established presence south of the Sahara, is currently on an investment drive of its own.

"You've got an incredibly young population, a dynamic population. Huge disposable incomes. I mean, US$1.6 trillion [Dh5.87tn] of GDP, which is bigger than Russia, bigger than India," Mr Kent said.

Flat sales at home have only added to the urgency of global expansion for Walmart.

Last month, the retailer said its international sales outpaced US business during the last quarter, rising 9.3 per cent to $26.9bn against the same period a year ago. A recent report by McKinsey notes that Africa's GDP will reach $2.6tn by 2020 and consumer spending will rise to $1.6tn.

Still, it won't be easy. Apart from union opposition, Walmart will encounter fierce competition, not least from South African retail chains that are expanding rapidly northwards themselves.

Pick n Pay, South Africa's second-largest food retailer with 26 stores in other countries on the continent, says it plans four new stores in neighbouring Zambia over the next 12 months and will enter Mauritius, Malawi and Mozambique during the same period.

"Competition is going to be tough," Nick Badminton, the chief executive,told Reuters.

"Walmart is a big, big gorilla but it is not unbeatable."

But the biggest adjustment may be getting used to local quirks. One of Massmart's most successful subsidiaries is Jumbo, a vast warehouse of cheap goods in downtown Johannesburg that attracts small traders from all over Africa.

These traders pay cash and cart their goods back home in trucks, buses and trains. Instead of friendly greeters at the doors, something of a Walmart trademark, Jumbo employs hard-eyed men with shotguns to discourage ever-present criminal gangs.

Whatever the challenges, though, Walmart probably feels that the 15 per cent premium it paid for Massmart is worth the price. Doug McMillon, the Walmart International president and chief executive, said the retailer was committed to its African adventure.

"The more we learn about South Africa and the surrounding countries the more we are convinced that this is an important region with attractive growth characteristics," he said.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Abu Dhabi racecard

5pm: Maiden (Purebred Arabians); Dh80,000; 1,400m.
5.30pm: Maiden (PA); Dh80,00; 1,400m.
6pm: Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan National Day Cup (PA); Group 3; Dh500,000; 1,600m.
6.30pm: Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan National Day Cup (Thoroughbred); Listed; Dh380,000; 1,600m
7pm: Wathba Stallions Cup for Private Owners Handicap (PA); Dh70,000; 1,400m.
7.30pm: Handicap (PA); Dh80,000; 1,600m