Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. EPA
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. EPA
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. EPA
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. EPA

Public plays key role in Fed's economic influence, Powell says


Kyle Fitzgerald
  • English
  • Arabic

The public's understanding of the Federal Reserve's role and actions is pivotal to its influence on the economy, US central bank chief Jerome Powell said during a town hall on Thursday.

Addressing a group of teachers, Mr Powell said that one of the Fed's goals when releasing economic projections “is to influence spending and investment decisions today and in the months ahead”.

But “that will only be the case” if the public understands how the Fed's monetary decisions affect their own finances.

Teachers, he said, play a key part in this process.

“Economic educators impart knowledge that is instrumental in how the Federal Reserve promotes a healthy economy. In a way, when you are teaching students, you are also conducting monetary policy,” he said.

Mr Powell also discussed the basics of understanding economics, the Fed's role in the federal government and how the central bank operates.

“Our main tool, of course, is interest rates,” Mr Powell said.

The Fed earlier this month left interest rates unchanged between 5.25 per cent and 5.50 per cent. It was the second pause in three meetings.

The Fed's latest economic projections showed that a majority of those at the Fed also favoured one more quarter-rate increase this year.

They also forecast that interest rates would be held at a higher level for a more prolonged period of time because of the resiliency of the US economy.

Speaking on the changes the Fed has made since the 2008 financial crisis, Mr Powell said central banks have become a more transparent institution.

“When I was in college, central banks were a lot about mystery and keeping everybody on the backside,” he said.

With a more transparent central bank now, markets can react and effect spending before the Fed's interest rate meetings.

“They know how the Fed is thinking … and financial conditions will change now,” Mr Powell added, pointing to the onset of the Fed's monetary-tightening cycle in March 2022.

Recently, Mr Powell has cautioned markets that the central bank would be prepared to raise rates if data merits it, even though the Fed appears to be near or at the end of its rate increases.

He has also said rates would be held at a restrictive level until the Fed is convinced that inflation is moving down sustainably.

He did not comment or offer clues on future Fed decisions during the town hall.

Traders expect interest rates to be held steady the remainder of this year, data from the CME Group showed.

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

'Unrivaled: Why America Will Remain the World’s Sole Superpower'
Michael Beckley, Cornell Press

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Updated: September 28, 2023, 9:44 PM