The US Federal Reserve raised its interest rate by another three-quarters of a point on Wednesday as part of its efforts to cool record-high inflation.
The central bank's decision comes after the country's inflation jumped to 9.1 per cent, its highest level in more than 40 years.
"Inflation is much too high," Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in his remarks explaining the central bank's decision.
Mr Powell added that another "unusually large increase could be appropriate", as the Fed looks to control prices.
By raising interest rates, the central bank makes it more expensive to mortgage a house or take out a business loan. Consumers presumably react to the interest rate rise by borrowing and spending less, thus cooling the economy.
The aggressive actions from the Fed come amid criticisms that it was too slow to react to the rising cost of goods last year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has suggested the central bank could achieve a "soft" or "softish" landing by bringing demand down and reining in prices without driving the economy into a recession.
"We're not trying to have a recession. We don't think we have to. We think that there's a path for us to be able to bring inflation down while sustaining a strong labour market," Mr Powell said.
He added that he does not believe the US is currently in a recession.
A 75-point rate increase brings rates to a 2.25 per cent to 2.5 per cent target range, equalling its estimate of a "neutral" level that neither restricts nor stimulates growth. The strategy is a significant shift for the central bank. Only four months ago, it set interest rates at 0 per cent and bought billions of dollars in bonds to support the economy during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Economists say the Fed's actions are the most aggressive since the 1980s, when the US economy was hamstrung by stagflation.
While prices have continued to rise, with home prices reaching a record, there are signs the pace of the increases has begun to slow, which may allow the central bank to ease up on its rate increases.
Global oil prices are trending down, with the US benchmark WTI falling to below $95 a barrel from its peak of more than $123 in March. Petrol prices at the pump have fallen 69 cents from the record of just over $5 a gallon in mid-June.
"My colleagues and I are acutely aware of that high inflation imposes significant hardship, especially on those least able to meet the higher costs of essentials like food, housing and transportation," Mr Powell said.
The US Commerce Department is expected on Thursday to report that gross domestic product grew at a turgid pace in the second quarter. GDP in the first quarter contracted by 1.6 per cent.
Two consecutive quarters of negative growth are typically considered a recession, although they are not the official criteria.
New employment data scheduled to be released next week will show whether robust job creation, considered an important strength of the US economy at the moment, continued in July.
Agencies contributed to this report
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How to apply for a drone permit
- Individuals must register on UAE Drone app or website using their UAE Pass
- Add all their personal details, including name, nationality, passport number, Emiratis ID, email and phone number
- Upload the training certificate from a centre accredited by the GCAA
- Submit their request
What are the regulations?
- Fly it within visual line of sight
- Never over populated areas
- Ensure maximum flying height of 400 feet (122 metres) above ground level is not crossed
- Users must avoid flying over restricted areas listed on the UAE Drone app
- Only fly the drone during the day, and never at night
- Should have a live feed of the drone flight
- Drones must weigh 5 kg or less
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First Person
Richard Flanagan
Chatto & Windus
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull
2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight
3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge
4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own
5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed
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