Shell chief executive Wael Sawan. Reuters
Shell chief executive Wael Sawan. Reuters
Shell chief executive Wael Sawan. Reuters
Shell chief executive Wael Sawan. Reuters

Shell boss says listing could move to US


Gillian Duncan
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The boss of Shell has said that the energy giant could shift to a New York listing and the more supportive environment of the US.

Wael Sawan said while the UK-based company has no plans to move its headquarters and listing to the US in the next three years, he has not ruled out the possibility.

In an interview with the BBC, he said the UK lacks stability on energy policy and taxation.

"When you do not have the stability you require in these long-term investments, that raises questions when we compare that to other countries where there is very clear support for those investments," he said.

He spoke about the “valuation gap” between Shell and American oil companies such as Exxon Mobil, which is worth 40 per cent more per dollar of profit.

"There are many who question whether that valuation gap can only be bridged if we move to the US. A move of headquarters is not a priority for the next three years."

"But after that? I would never rule out anything that could potentially create the right circumstances for the company and its shareholders. Ultimately, I am in the service of shareholder value," he said.

The company reported a record profit of $40 billion in 2022 as it benefited from higher energy prices caused by Russia's invasion of Ukraine last year.

In May the company reported a better-than-expected first-quarter profit based on strong performance in its fuel trading business, despite lower energy prices.

Shell's quarterly adjusted net profit increased about 6 per cent to $9.65 billion, from $9.13 billion a year earlier, exceeding the company’s own earnings forecast of $8 billion.

But in November, Shell said it was reviewing plans to invest £25 billion ($31.76 billion) in British projects after the UK government extended a windfall tax on energy companies.

The company said it would look at each of its projects on a “case-by-case basis” after Chancellor Jeremy Hunt raised the levy on oil and gas profits from 25 per cent to 35 per cent in his autumn statement.

Mr Sawan said Shell received a “warm welcome” from the New York Stock Exchange during a recent investors’ meeting.

"The welcome we had there was exemplary. The Shell flag was waving next to the New York Stock Exchange flag," he said.

And he suggested the US was more supportive of oil and gas companies.

"They said we continue to value a company that provides us the energy we desperately need. That resonated with me as a person who comes from Lebanon, where we are starved of energy,” he added.

Mr Sawan also warned that cutting oil and gas production would be “dangerous and irresponsible” because the renewable energy sector is not developing fast enough to replace it.

He dismissed a suggestion from the head of the UN, Antonio Gutteres, that investment in new oil and gas production would be “economic and moral madness”.

"What would be dangerous and irresponsible is cutting oil and gas production so that the cost of living, as we saw last year, starts to shoot up again,” he said.

Opposition leader Keir Starmer recently pledged to not rip up existing oil and gas licences as he unveiled a plan to make the UK a “clean energy super power” by 2030.

A Labour government will not grant any new oil and gas licences, he said. But it will honour all existing ones.

“Oil and gas will be part of the mix for decades to come under existing licences or licences that are granted in the near future,” he said.

“We are not going to interfere with existing licences. And that includes licences that are granted before we come into power.

“It is very important for investors who are going to invest in the UK to know that there is continuity if there is a change in government," Mr Starmer said.

“What we will do in the future is one thing. But how we will ensure continuity is another.”

Under Prime Minister Rishi Sunak the government has signalled support for new North Sea oil and gas exploration.

Ways to control drones

Countries have been coming up with ways to restrict and monitor the use of non-commercial drones to keep them from trespassing on controlled areas such as airports.

"Drones vary in size and some can be as big as a small city car - so imagine the impact of one hitting an airplane. It's a huge risk, especially when commercial airliners are not designed to make or take sudden evasive manoeuvres like drones can" says Saj Ahmed, chief analyst at London-based StrategicAero Research.

New measures have now been taken to monitor drone activity, Geo-fencing technology is one.

It's a method designed to prevent drones from drifting into banned areas. The technology uses GPS location signals to stop its machines flying close to airports and other restricted zones.

The European commission has recently announced a blueprint to make drone use in low-level airspace safe, secure and environmentally friendly. This process is called “U-Space” – it covers altitudes of up to 150 metres. It is also noteworthy that that UK Civil Aviation Authority recommends drones to be flown at no higher than 400ft. “U-Space” technology will be governed by a system similar to air traffic control management, which will be automated using tools like geo-fencing.

The UAE has drawn serious measures to ensure users register their devices under strict new laws. Authorities have urged that users must obtain approval in advance before flying the drones, non registered drone use in Dubai will result in a fine of up to twenty thousand dirhams under a new resolution approved by Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed, Crown Prince of Dubai.

Mr Ahmad suggest that "Hefty fines running into hundreds of thousands of dollars need to compensate for the cost of airport disruption and flight diversions to lengthy jail spells, confiscation of travel rights and use of drones for a lengthy period" must be enforced in order to reduce airport intrusion.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Updated: July 06, 2023, 9:17 AM