Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street with the red budget box on Wednesday. AFP
Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street with the red budget box on Wednesday. AFP
Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street with the red budget box on Wednesday. AFP
Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street with the red budget box on Wednesday. AFP

UK budget statement 2023: Jeremy Hunt says recession will be avoided


Matthew Davies
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Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has pledged in the annual budget speech to deliver “long-term, sustainable, healthy growth" by removing obstacles to business investment and ease a labour shortage.

With high inflation, weak growth, the cost-of-living crisis, strikes and a tight labour market, Mr Hunt had a tricky balancing act. He said on Wednesday the economy would contract 0.2 per cent this year, but avoid a technical recession of two consecutive quarters of downturn.

Mr Hunt added there would be “healthy growth of 1.8 per cent next year, 2.5 per cent in 2025 and 2.1 per cent in 2026".

His budget speech came on another day of mass strikes in the UK, with more than 100,000 teachers, junior doctors and London Tube drivers walking out.

Because the economy recently delivered more tax revenue than expected, public sector borrowing is £30 billion ($36.22 billion) below forecast, which gave Mr Hunt some headroom when formulating his spending plans.

Huge drop in inflation forecast

Mr Hunt said the UK economy was “on the right track” and that Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts now predict inflation will fall from 10.7 per cent last year to 2.9 per cent by the end of 2023.

In November, the OBR predicted inflation would be 7.4 per cent by the end of this year.

“Today the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast that because of changing international factors and the measures I take, the UK will not now enter a technical recession this year,” Mr Hunt said.

“They forecast we will meet the Prime Minister's priorities to halve inflation, reduce debt and get the economy growing.”

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt speaks in the House of Commons on Wednesday.
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt speaks in the House of Commons on Wednesday.

Help with household energy bills

One part of the budget that was confirmed before Mr Hunt even got to Parliament was the extension to the energy price guarantee, which caps average annual household bills at £2,500. It will continue at that level until the end of June.

It had been due to rise to £3,000 next month and the cost of scrapping the planned 20 per cent increase will be about £3 billion.

The move will save the average UK household about £160. From July, average energy bills are expected to have fallen below the government cap, meaning the support will no longer be needed.

“High energy bills are one of the biggest worries for families, which is why we're maintaining the energy price guarantee at its current level,” Mr Hunt said.

“With energy bills set to fall from July onwards, this temporary change will bridge the gap and ease the pressure on families, while also helping to lower inflation, too.”

  • Striking teachers from the National Education Union march to a rally in Trafalgar Square, central London. PA
    Striking teachers from the National Education Union march to a rally in Trafalgar Square, central London. PA
  • Striking civil servants from the Public and Commercial Services Union march along Whitehall, in central London. Bloomberg
    Striking civil servants from the Public and Commercial Services Union march along Whitehall, in central London. Bloomberg
  • National Education Union members pictured on Park Lane as they march to Trafalgar Square. AP
    National Education Union members pictured on Park Lane as they march to Trafalgar Square. AP
  • Members of the Public and Commercial Services Union and and University and College Union gather at the Mound in Scotland's capital Edinburgh. PA
    Members of the Public and Commercial Services Union and and University and College Union gather at the Mound in Scotland's capital Edinburgh. PA
  • Striking civil servants march through Westminster in London. Bloomberg
    Striking civil servants march through Westminster in London. Bloomberg
  • Junior doctors on strike outside University College Hospital in London. Bloomberg
    Junior doctors on strike outside University College Hospital in London. Bloomberg
  • Closed gates at Harrow-on-the-Hill underground station in north London. PA
    Closed gates at Harrow-on-the-Hill underground station in north London. PA
  • Members of National Union of Journalists protest against changes to local radio programming at Broadcasting House in central London. PA
    Members of National Union of Journalists protest against changes to local radio programming at Broadcasting House in central London. PA
  • Civil servant workers strike outside the Health Department in London. EPA
    Civil servant workers strike outside the Health Department in London. EPA
  • Commuters pass a closed Victoria Underground station in London. EPA
    Commuters pass a closed Victoria Underground station in London. EPA
  • A demonstrator speaks during a protest by junior doctors at Saint Mary's Hospital in Manchester. AFP
    A demonstrator speaks during a protest by junior doctors at Saint Mary's Hospital in Manchester. AFP
  • People queue for buses outside Victoria Station in London. EPA
    People queue for buses outside Victoria Station in London. EPA
  • London Underground workers strike outside Brixton station in London. Bloomberg
    London Underground workers strike outside Brixton station in London. Bloomberg
  • Demonstrators hold placards at a protest by junior doctors outside Saint Mary's Hospital in Manchester. AFP
    Demonstrators hold placards at a protest by junior doctors outside Saint Mary's Hospital in Manchester. AFP
  • Commuters try to board buses outside Liverpool Street railway station during a strike by London Underground workers. Bloomberg
    Commuters try to board buses outside Liverpool Street railway station during a strike by London Underground workers. Bloomberg
  • Aslef union members at a picket line outside Rickmansworth Underground station. PA
    Aslef union members at a picket line outside Rickmansworth Underground station. PA
  • Closed gates at Paddington tube station. PA
    Closed gates at Paddington tube station. PA
  • Commuters at a crowded Tottenham Court Road underground station. PA
    Commuters at a crowded Tottenham Court Road underground station. PA

Corporate tax rise tempered

As expected, Mr Hunt announced that corporation tax for companies with annual profits of more than £250,000 would rise from 19 per cent to 25 per cent.

“We already have lower levels of business taxation than France, Germany, Italy or Japan,” Mr Hunt said.

“But I want us to have the most pro-business, pro-enterprise tax regime anywhere. Even after the corporation tax rise this April, we will have the lowest headline rate in the G7 — lower than at any period under the last Labour government.”

He added: “Only 10 per cent of companies will pay the full 25 per cent rate. But even at 19 per cent, our corporation tax regime did not incentivise investment as effectively as countries with higher headline rates.

  • Britain's Chancellor Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street before delivering his budget at the Houses of Parliament. PA
    Britain's Chancellor Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street before delivering his budget at the Houses of Parliament. PA
  • Mr Hunt holds the budget box in Downing Street. Reuters
    Mr Hunt holds the budget box in Downing Street. Reuters
  • Mr Hunt leaves to present the budget. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
    Mr Hunt leaves to present the budget. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
  • Mr Hunt and his team make their way through No 11 Downing Street. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
    Mr Hunt and his team make their way through No 11 Downing Street. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
  • Mr Hunt presents the budget box to the waiting media in Downing Street. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
    Mr Hunt presents the budget box to the waiting media in Downing Street. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
  • Mr Hunt at a cabinet meeting before presenting his budget. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
    Mr Hunt at a cabinet meeting before presenting his budget. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
  • Mr Hunt prepares for the spring budget at No 11 Downing Street. Photo: HM Treasury
    Mr Hunt prepares for the spring budget at No 11 Downing Street. Photo: HM Treasury
  • A worker cleans outside No 11 Downing Street before the budget. EPA
    A worker cleans outside No 11 Downing Street before the budget. EPA
  • The spring budget 2023 book. Photo: HM Treasury
    The spring budget 2023 book. Photo: HM Treasury
  • Mr Hunt, left, works on his budget speech with his team. Photo: HM Treasury
    Mr Hunt, left, works on his budget speech with his team. Photo: HM Treasury
  • Mr Hunt will set out his tax and spending plans for the years ahead. Photo: HM Treasury
    Mr Hunt will set out his tax and spending plans for the years ahead. Photo: HM Treasury
  • The Chancellor prepares for the budget with his team. Photo: HM Treasury
    The Chancellor prepares for the budget with his team. Photo: HM Treasury

“For smaller businesses, we have increased the Annual Investment Allowance to £1 million, meaning 99 per cent of all businesses can deduct the full value of all their investment from that year's taxable profits.”

When it came to the replacing the super-deduction programme, which allows companies to gain tax relief of 130 per cent of capital expenditure, Mr Hunt also announced a policy of “full expensing” for the next three years, with an intention to make it permanent.

“That means that every single pound a company invests in IT equipment, plant or machinery can be deducted in full and immediately from taxable profits. It is a corporation tax cut worth an average of £9 billion a year for every year it is in place,” he explained.

“And its impact on our economy will be huge. The OBR says it will increase business investment by 3 per cent for every year it is in place.

“This decision makes us the only major European country with full expensing and gives us the joint most generous capital allowance regime of any advanced economy.”

He also unveiled new financial incentives to boost smaller research-intensive companies, in a move designed to help small and medium-sized enterprises in the life sciences sector develop new treatments.

“It is a £1.8 billion package of support helping 20,000 cutting-edge companies who are turning Britain into a science superpower,” he said.

For qualifying companies that spend 40 per cent or more of their total expenditure on research and development, they will be able to claim a credit worth £27 for every £100 they spend, Mr Hunt said.

Childcare expanded

As a major pillar of a budget that aimed to get more people back into work, Mr Hunt announced the expansion of free childcare for one and two-year-old children.

The move will provide an extra 30 hours per week of childcare to parents of children above the age of nine months, and increase funding by £288 million by 2024-25 for nurseries under the existing programme of free childcare for three-year-old children.

With a full-time nursery place estimated to cost an average of nearly £15,000 pounds a year for a child under two in England, childcare in the country is among the most expensive in the world and takes up an average of almost 30 per cent of the income of a couple with two young children.

Surprise on pension caps

In a surprise move, Mr Hunt said he would abolish the lifetime tax allowance that applies to the amount of money people can save into their pensions without incurring extra charges.

As such, the LTA, which had meant that people faced a 25 per cent levy if they saved more than £1.1 million ($1.33 million) in their pension pots, will fall away.

Also, the amount of money that people can put into their pensions in one year without paying tax will also rise, to £60,000 from £40,000, he said.

The moves are designed to stop people, particularly doctors and other professionals, from quitting the workforce or reducing the hours they work when their pensions surpass the tax thresholds.

“It’s a pension tax reform that will stop over 80 per cent of NHS doctors from receiving a tax charge, incentivise our most experienced and productive workers to stay in work for longer and simplify our tax system, taking thousands of people out of the complexity of pension tax,” Mr Hunt said.

“I do not want any doctor to retire early because of the way pension taxes work.”

Mr Hunt also announced an £11 billion increase in the UK's defence budget to be spread over five years, which would take defence spending as a proportion of gross domestic product from 2 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

He said that 12 new investment zones will be created, with each having “access to £80 million of support for a range of interventions including skills, infrastructure, tax reliefs and business rates retention”.

The Chancellor also outlined tougher sanctions for benefits claimants who fail to meet the requirements to be deemed looking for work or those that choose not to take up a reasonable job offer.

Day 1, Dubai Test: At a glance

Moment of the day Sadeera Samarawickrama set pulses racing with his strokeplay on his introduction to Test cricket. It reached a feverish peak when he stepped down the wicket and launched Yasir Shah, who many regard as the world’s leading spinner, back over his head for six. No matter that he was out soon after: it felt as though the future had arrived.

Stat of the day - 5 The last time Sri Lanka played a Test in Dubai – they won here in 2013 – they had four players in their XI who were known as wicketkeepers. This time they have gone one better. Each of Dinesh Chandimal, Kaushal Silva, Samarawickrama, Kusal Mendis, and Niroshan Dickwella – the nominated gloveman here – can keep wicket.

The verdict Sri Lanka want to make history by becoming the first team to beat Pakistan in a full Test series in the UAE. They could not have made a better start, first by winning the toss, then by scoring freely on an easy-paced pitch. The fact Yasir Shah found some turn on Day 1, too, will have interested their own spin bowlers.

Roll of honour 2019-2020

Dubai Rugby Sevens

Winners: Dubai Hurricanes

Runners up: Bahrain

 

West Asia Premiership

Winners: Bahrain

Runners up: UAE Premiership

 

UAE Premiership

Winners: Dubai Exiles

Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes

 

UAE Division One

Winners: Abu Dhabi Saracens

Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes II

 

UAE Division Two

Winners: Barrelhouse

Runners up: RAK Rugby

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Updated: March 15, 2023, 5:27 PM