Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street with the red budget box on Wednesday. AFP
Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street with the red budget box on Wednesday. AFP
Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street with the red budget box on Wednesday. AFP
Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street with the red budget box on Wednesday. AFP

UK budget statement 2023: Jeremy Hunt says recession will be avoided


Matthew Davies
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Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has pledged in the annual budget speech to deliver “long-term, sustainable, healthy growth" by removing obstacles to business investment and ease a labour shortage.

With high inflation, weak growth, the cost-of-living crisis, strikes and a tight labour market, Mr Hunt had a tricky balancing act. He said on Wednesday the economy would contract 0.2 per cent this year, but avoid a technical recession of two consecutive quarters of downturn.

Mr Hunt added there would be “healthy growth of 1.8 per cent next year, 2.5 per cent in 2025 and 2.1 per cent in 2026".

His budget speech came on another day of mass strikes in the UK, with more than 100,000 teachers, junior doctors and London Tube drivers walking out.

Because the economy recently delivered more tax revenue than expected, public sector borrowing is £30 billion ($36.22 billion) below forecast, which gave Mr Hunt some headroom when formulating his spending plans.

Huge drop in inflation forecast

Mr Hunt said the UK economy was “on the right track” and that Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts now predict inflation will fall from 10.7 per cent last year to 2.9 per cent by the end of 2023.

In November, the OBR predicted inflation would be 7.4 per cent by the end of this year.

“Today the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast that because of changing international factors and the measures I take, the UK will not now enter a technical recession this year,” Mr Hunt said.

“They forecast we will meet the Prime Minister's priorities to halve inflation, reduce debt and get the economy growing.”

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt speaks in the House of Commons on Wednesday.
Chancellor Jeremy Hunt speaks in the House of Commons on Wednesday.

Help with household energy bills

One part of the budget that was confirmed before Mr Hunt even got to Parliament was the extension to the energy price guarantee, which caps average annual household bills at £2,500. It will continue at that level until the end of June.

It had been due to rise to £3,000 next month and the cost of scrapping the planned 20 per cent increase will be about £3 billion.

The move will save the average UK household about £160. From July, average energy bills are expected to have fallen below the government cap, meaning the support will no longer be needed.

“High energy bills are one of the biggest worries for families, which is why we're maintaining the energy price guarantee at its current level,” Mr Hunt said.

“With energy bills set to fall from July onwards, this temporary change will bridge the gap and ease the pressure on families, while also helping to lower inflation, too.”

  • Striking teachers from the National Education Union march to a rally in Trafalgar Square, central London. PA
    Striking teachers from the National Education Union march to a rally in Trafalgar Square, central London. PA
  • Striking civil servants from the Public and Commercial Services Union march along Whitehall, in central London. Bloomberg
    Striking civil servants from the Public and Commercial Services Union march along Whitehall, in central London. Bloomberg
  • National Education Union members pictured on Park Lane as they march to Trafalgar Square. AP
    National Education Union members pictured on Park Lane as they march to Trafalgar Square. AP
  • Members of the Public and Commercial Services Union and and University and College Union gather at the Mound in Scotland's capital Edinburgh. PA
    Members of the Public and Commercial Services Union and and University and College Union gather at the Mound in Scotland's capital Edinburgh. PA
  • Striking civil servants march through Westminster in London. Bloomberg
    Striking civil servants march through Westminster in London. Bloomberg
  • Junior doctors on strike outside University College Hospital in London. Bloomberg
    Junior doctors on strike outside University College Hospital in London. Bloomberg
  • Closed gates at Harrow-on-the-Hill underground station in north London. PA
    Closed gates at Harrow-on-the-Hill underground station in north London. PA
  • Members of National Union of Journalists protest against changes to local radio programming at Broadcasting House in central London. PA
    Members of National Union of Journalists protest against changes to local radio programming at Broadcasting House in central London. PA
  • Civil servant workers strike outside the Health Department in London. EPA
    Civil servant workers strike outside the Health Department in London. EPA
  • Commuters pass a closed Victoria Underground station in London. EPA
    Commuters pass a closed Victoria Underground station in London. EPA
  • A demonstrator speaks during a protest by junior doctors at Saint Mary's Hospital in Manchester. AFP
    A demonstrator speaks during a protest by junior doctors at Saint Mary's Hospital in Manchester. AFP
  • People queue for buses outside Victoria Station in London. EPA
    People queue for buses outside Victoria Station in London. EPA
  • London Underground workers strike outside Brixton station in London. Bloomberg
    London Underground workers strike outside Brixton station in London. Bloomberg
  • Demonstrators hold placards at a protest by junior doctors outside Saint Mary's Hospital in Manchester. AFP
    Demonstrators hold placards at a protest by junior doctors outside Saint Mary's Hospital in Manchester. AFP
  • Commuters try to board buses outside Liverpool Street railway station during a strike by London Underground workers. Bloomberg
    Commuters try to board buses outside Liverpool Street railway station during a strike by London Underground workers. Bloomberg
  • Aslef union members at a picket line outside Rickmansworth Underground station. PA
    Aslef union members at a picket line outside Rickmansworth Underground station. PA
  • Closed gates at Paddington tube station. PA
    Closed gates at Paddington tube station. PA
  • Commuters at a crowded Tottenham Court Road underground station. PA
    Commuters at a crowded Tottenham Court Road underground station. PA

Corporate tax rise tempered

As expected, Mr Hunt announced that corporation tax for companies with annual profits of more than £250,000 would rise from 19 per cent to 25 per cent.

“We already have lower levels of business taxation than France, Germany, Italy or Japan,” Mr Hunt said.

“But I want us to have the most pro-business, pro-enterprise tax regime anywhere. Even after the corporation tax rise this April, we will have the lowest headline rate in the G7 — lower than at any period under the last Labour government.”

He added: “Only 10 per cent of companies will pay the full 25 per cent rate. But even at 19 per cent, our corporation tax regime did not incentivise investment as effectively as countries with higher headline rates.

  • Britain's Chancellor Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street before delivering his budget at the Houses of Parliament. PA
    Britain's Chancellor Jeremy Hunt leaves No 11 Downing Street before delivering his budget at the Houses of Parliament. PA
  • Mr Hunt holds the budget box in Downing Street. Reuters
    Mr Hunt holds the budget box in Downing Street. Reuters
  • Mr Hunt leaves to present the budget. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
    Mr Hunt leaves to present the budget. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
  • Mr Hunt and his team make their way through No 11 Downing Street. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
    Mr Hunt and his team make their way through No 11 Downing Street. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
  • Mr Hunt presents the budget box to the waiting media in Downing Street. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
    Mr Hunt presents the budget box to the waiting media in Downing Street. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
  • Mr Hunt at a cabinet meeting before presenting his budget. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
    Mr Hunt at a cabinet meeting before presenting his budget. Photo: No 10 Downing Street
  • Mr Hunt prepares for the spring budget at No 11 Downing Street. Photo: HM Treasury
    Mr Hunt prepares for the spring budget at No 11 Downing Street. Photo: HM Treasury
  • A worker cleans outside No 11 Downing Street before the budget. EPA
    A worker cleans outside No 11 Downing Street before the budget. EPA
  • The spring budget 2023 book. Photo: HM Treasury
    The spring budget 2023 book. Photo: HM Treasury
  • Mr Hunt, left, works on his budget speech with his team. Photo: HM Treasury
    Mr Hunt, left, works on his budget speech with his team. Photo: HM Treasury
  • Mr Hunt will set out his tax and spending plans for the years ahead. Photo: HM Treasury
    Mr Hunt will set out his tax and spending plans for the years ahead. Photo: HM Treasury
  • The Chancellor prepares for the budget with his team. Photo: HM Treasury
    The Chancellor prepares for the budget with his team. Photo: HM Treasury

“For smaller businesses, we have increased the Annual Investment Allowance to £1 million, meaning 99 per cent of all businesses can deduct the full value of all their investment from that year's taxable profits.”

When it came to the replacing the super-deduction programme, which allows companies to gain tax relief of 130 per cent of capital expenditure, Mr Hunt also announced a policy of “full expensing” for the next three years, with an intention to make it permanent.

“That means that every single pound a company invests in IT equipment, plant or machinery can be deducted in full and immediately from taxable profits. It is a corporation tax cut worth an average of £9 billion a year for every year it is in place,” he explained.

“And its impact on our economy will be huge. The OBR says it will increase business investment by 3 per cent for every year it is in place.

“This decision makes us the only major European country with full expensing and gives us the joint most generous capital allowance regime of any advanced economy.”

He also unveiled new financial incentives to boost smaller research-intensive companies, in a move designed to help small and medium-sized enterprises in the life sciences sector develop new treatments.

“It is a £1.8 billion package of support helping 20,000 cutting-edge companies who are turning Britain into a science superpower,” he said.

For qualifying companies that spend 40 per cent or more of their total expenditure on research and development, they will be able to claim a credit worth £27 for every £100 they spend, Mr Hunt said.

Childcare expanded

As a major pillar of a budget that aimed to get more people back into work, Mr Hunt announced the expansion of free childcare for one and two-year-old children.

The move will provide an extra 30 hours per week of childcare to parents of children above the age of nine months, and increase funding by £288 million by 2024-25 for nurseries under the existing programme of free childcare for three-year-old children.

With a full-time nursery place estimated to cost an average of nearly £15,000 pounds a year for a child under two in England, childcare in the country is among the most expensive in the world and takes up an average of almost 30 per cent of the income of a couple with two young children.

Surprise on pension caps

In a surprise move, Mr Hunt said he would abolish the lifetime tax allowance that applies to the amount of money people can save into their pensions without incurring extra charges.

As such, the LTA, which had meant that people faced a 25 per cent levy if they saved more than £1.1 million ($1.33 million) in their pension pots, will fall away.

Also, the amount of money that people can put into their pensions in one year without paying tax will also rise, to £60,000 from £40,000, he said.

The moves are designed to stop people, particularly doctors and other professionals, from quitting the workforce or reducing the hours they work when their pensions surpass the tax thresholds.

“It’s a pension tax reform that will stop over 80 per cent of NHS doctors from receiving a tax charge, incentivise our most experienced and productive workers to stay in work for longer and simplify our tax system, taking thousands of people out of the complexity of pension tax,” Mr Hunt said.

“I do not want any doctor to retire early because of the way pension taxes work.”

Mr Hunt also announced an £11 billion increase in the UK's defence budget to be spread over five years, which would take defence spending as a proportion of gross domestic product from 2 per cent to 2.25 per cent.

He said that 12 new investment zones will be created, with each having “access to £80 million of support for a range of interventions including skills, infrastructure, tax reliefs and business rates retention”.

The Chancellor also outlined tougher sanctions for benefits claimants who fail to meet the requirements to be deemed looking for work or those that choose not to take up a reasonable job offer.

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

Tips from the expert

Dobromir Radichkov, chief data officer at dubizzle and Bayut, offers a few tips for UAE residents looking to earn some cash from pre-loved items.

  1. Sellers should focus on providing high-quality used goods at attractive prices to buyers.
  2. It’s important to use clear and appealing photos, with catchy titles and detailed descriptions to capture the attention of prospective buyers.
  3. Try to advertise a realistic price to attract buyers looking for good deals, especially in the current environment where consumers are significantly more price-sensitive.
  4. Be creative and look around your home for valuable items that you no longer need but might be useful to others.
The specs: 2018 Audi Q5/SQ5

Price, base: Dh183,900 / Dh249,000
Engine: 2.0L, turbocharged in-line four-cylinder /  3.0L, turbocharged V6
Gearbox: Seven-speed automatic / Eight-speed automatic
Power: 252hp @ 5,000rpm / 354hp @ 5,400rpm
Torque: 370Nm @ 1,600rpm / 500Nm @ 1,370rpm
Fuel economy: combined 7.2L / 100km / 8.3L / 100km

MATCH INFO

Manchester United 1 (Fernandes pen 2') Tottenham Hotspur 6 (Ndombele 4', Son 7' & 37' Kane (30' & pen 79, Aurier 51')

Man of the match Son Heung-min (Tottenham)

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MATCH DETAILS

Barcelona 0

Slavia Prague 0

Match info

Bournemouth 0
Liverpool 4
(Salah 25', 48', 76', Cook 68' OG)

Man of the match: Andrew Robertson (Liverpool)

Company%20Profile
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Our legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

If you go:
The flights: Etihad, Emirates, British Airways and Virgin all fly from the UAE to London from Dh2,700 return, including taxes
The tours: The Tour for Muggles usually runs several times a day, lasts about two-and-a-half hours and costs £14 (Dh67)
Harry Potter and the Cursed Child is on now at the Palace Theatre. Tickets need booking significantly in advance
Entrance to the Harry Potter exhibition at the House of MinaLima is free
The hotel: The grand, 1909-built Strand Palace Hotel is in a handy location near the Theatre District and several of the key Harry Potter filming and inspiration sites. The family rooms are spacious, with sofa beds that can accommodate children, and wooden shutters that keep out the light at night. Rooms cost from £170 (Dh808).

Updated: March 15, 2023, 5:27 PM