A welder at Harland & Wolff shipyard in Belfast. Much of the downward pressure on input prices came from a widespread fall in raw material costs. PA
A welder at Harland & Wolff shipyard in Belfast. Much of the downward pressure on input prices came from a widespread fall in raw material costs. PA
A welder at Harland & Wolff shipyard in Belfast. Much of the downward pressure on input prices came from a widespread fall in raw material costs. PA
A welder at Harland & Wolff shipyard in Belfast. Much of the downward pressure on input prices came from a widespread fall in raw material costs. PA

UK manufacturers report fall in inflation


Matthew Davies
  • English
  • Arabic

British manufacturers have seen a fall in price inflation both for the materials they buy to make their products and what they charge at the factory gates.

UK factories charged 0.8 per cent less for their products in December compared with November, while their input prices fell by 1.1 per cent, according to the Office for National Statistics.

Both input and output prices showed a picture of slowing inflation. Much of the downwards pressure on input prices came from a widespread fall in raw material costs, led by imported food, chemicals, parts and equipment, and oil.

Producer input prices rose by 16.5 per cent in the year to last December, down from 18 per cent in the year to November, and 20.2 per cent in the year to October.

Producer output — or factory gate — prices rose by 14.7 per cent in the year to December, down from 16.2 per cent in the year to November and 17.5 per cent in the year to October.

“The falling costs of parts, equipment and fuel prices are all helping, and the overall trend is encouraging, showing inflation is heading in a downwards direction,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“But it’s clear that producers are still grappling with the high cost of doing business while attempting to keep a lid on price increases for customers.”

A branch of Sainsbury's in London. The upward pressure on output producer price inflation came largely from food prices in December. PA
A branch of Sainsbury's in London. The upward pressure on output producer price inflation came largely from food prices in December. PA

Food prices unpalatably high

The producer prices are in line with the latest consumer price inflation (CPI), which has shown a slight decline since hitting a 41-year high in October.

Nonetheless, output producer price inflation for food products remained an issue. Food products had an annual price increase of 17.1 per cent in December, up from 16.9 per cent in November.

The overall annual rate of input Producer Price Inflation (PPI) has been slowing for the last six months and is now 8.1 per cent lower from a record high of 24.6 per cent in June last year. The annual rate of out PPI has been slowing for the last five months.

All eyes now turn to the Bank of England's meeting to set interest rates next week. It's Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to raise rates by 0.5 percentage points to 4 per cent.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: January 25, 2023, 9:20 AM