The British Conservatives would suffer a defeat at the next general election under Liz Truss’s leadership, Rishi Sunak has claimed.
As one of two candidates running to succeed Boris Johnson as UK prime minister, the former chancellor also told LBC that a “huge borrowing spree” would only “make the situation worse” when it comes to inflation.
Mr Sunak promised that “one of the first” things he would do if he is made prime minister is to appoint an independent ethics adviser.
“If you look at all the polling evidence that we have … it’s pretty clear that I am the person who is best placed to defeat [Labour Party leader] Keir Starmer in the next election,” he told LBC.
Mr Sunak said the evidence showed that the Conservative Party would probably be defeated if its members chose Ms Truss as its next leader.
"And that’s what our members will need to consider,” he said.
Earlier, Ms Truss said she was Labour’s worst nightmare at the next election.
“Yes, I am and I always have been, because what Labour don’t like about me is I’m not from a traditional Conservative background.
“I was brought up in Paisley and Leeds, I went to a comprehensive school. I know how Labour failed kids.”
She said Leeds City Council in the 1980s and 1990s was “utterly useless” and “let kids down”.
“This is why Labour do fear me, because I’m prepared to take them on, I’m prepared to challenge their orthodoxy and I’m prepared to get things done,” Ms Truss said.
Earlier, she said her tax cut plans, costing at least £30 billion ($35.6bn) a year, were “affordable” as the economic policies of the two candidates came under scrutiny.
Ms Truss has said the first tax she would cut as prime minister is national insurance.
“I didn’t support it in Cabinet in the first place and I think it’s wrong to be putting a burden on hard-working families in what is a very difficult time," she said in a campaign visit to Peterborough.
“I will at the same time do a temporary moratorium on the green levy, saving people money on their fuel bills.
"I’m not going to write the whole first budget now, that’ll be a matter for the chancellor, but what I can say is that we need to reduce the tax burden. It’s the highest level it’s been for 70 years.
"If we have rises in corporation tax as is currently being planned, that will put off people investing in Britain and that will make it harder to attract the businesses we need to drive the economy.”
But Mr Sunak was understood to not be considering cutting personal taxes until at least autumn next year to avoid fuelling inflation.
He defended his planned rise in corporation tax, saying the increase was “perfectly reasonable”.
“What we are doing is actually combining that with some other reforms to make the system much more generous for the things that we know actually drive growth, and that’s businesses to actually invest,” Mr Sunak said.
“It’s all very well businesses making a profit, and that’s something fantastic that I support. But what I want them to do with that is to invest that in the economy. That’s how we help drive growth in this country.
“So even though the corporation tax will go up, I think that’s really perfectly reasonable because everyone knows we’ve spent a fortune during Covid to help get the country through it.
"Businesses got a lot of support.”
The financial plans of the final candidates for prime minister were growing ever more divided as they vied for the votes of the Tory membership.
Robert Joyce, the deputy director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies think tank, put Ms Truss’s tax cuts at “more than £30 billion a year – and possibly considerably more”.
The plans “mean higher borrowing or less public spending, or some combination”, he said, although their effects remained unclear because Ms Truss’s plans were “yet to be fleshed out”.
“Without spending reductions, the tax promises would likely lead to the current fiscal rules being broken, and Ms Truss has hinted that the fiscal rules may change,” Mr Joyce said.
She defended her plans to scrap the scheduled corporation tax rise and suspend green levies on energy bills as “not a gamble”.
Ms Truss also said she would go ahead with spending on social care despite reversing the national insurance rise, although she did not specify how she would pay for it.
She was asked in Peterborough where the money would come from to tackle the National Health Service backlog, which was meant to be covered by the insurance rise.
“I am going to proceed with that spending on social care," Ms Truss said.
“We can afford it within our budgets. We didn’t have to do the national insurance rise.
“It’s still the case that under my plans we can start paying back the debt within three years.”
Asked how her cuts could be introduced without affecting public services, she said: “The problem we’ve had is we’ve had two decades of low growth…
“That has squeezed what has been available. I’m very clear I’m not planning public spending reductions.
"What I am planning is public service reforms to get more money to the front line, to cut out a lot of the bureaucracy that people face.
“I’m certainly not talking about public spending cuts. What I’m talking about is raising growth.”
“I’m not the slickest out there, I’ll be honest, but I am somebody who when I say I’ll do something I get it done."
In his pitch to Conservative members after MPs selected the final two candidates, Mr Sunak said that he was the only one capable of beating Labour in a general election.
But Ms Truss said the Tories would struggle to win under the current economic policy written by Mr Sunak when he was chancellor.
He has vowed not to cut taxes until the soaring rates of inflation are under control, fearing such a move could make the crisis worse.
But he told LBC that “of course” he wanted to put more money in people’s pockets.
“I think I’ve demonstrated over the past couple of years that as and when the situation demands it, I will act to help people get through it,” Mr Sunak said.
He said he wanted to “restore trust in government” as prime minister.
“That starts with being honest with people, honest about the challenges that we face, but also the change that I will bring to grip them," Mr Sunak said.
"But it also means not promising things that can’t be delivered."
He said his life would be easier if he vowed to do “this lovely sounding thing and this lovely sounding thing”, but that would not be leadership.
“I think it would damage trust, because part of rebuilding trust is for the government and politicians to deliver the things that they say, and sitting here promising you a bunch of things that I don’t think are right or deliverable would be wrong,” Mr Sunak said.
He was the parliamentary party’s favourite, winning 137 votes to Ms Truss’s 113 among Tory MPs.
But bookmakers placed the foreign secretary as the frontrunner, with early indications suggesting she is more popular with Tory members before a summer of campaigning.
A small, unrepresentative poll of 730 members on Wednesday and Thursday again saw Ms Truss in the lead.
Sixty-two per cent of respondents said they would back the foreign secretary, while 38 per cent chose Mr Sunak.
The pair battled to win the support of local politicians on Thursday when they took part in a private campaign event for the Conservative Councillors’ Association.
They will tour the UK to take part in 12 events for Tory members who will vote for their next leader, with the result being announced on September 5.
Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
The White Lotus: Season three
Creator: Mike White
Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell
Rating: 4.5/5
MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League, last-16 second leg
Paris Saint-Germain (1) v Borussia Dortmund (2)
Kick-off: Midnight, Thursday, March 12
Stadium: Parc des Princes
Live: On beIN Sports HD
Fight card
Bantamweight
Siyovush Gulmamadov (TJK) v Rey Nacionales (PHI)
Lightweight
Alexandru Chitoran (ROM) v Hussein Fakhir Abed (SYR)
Catch 74kg
Tohir Zhuraev (TJK) v Omar Hussein (JOR)
Strawweight (Female)
Weronika Zygmunt (POL) v Seo Ye-dam (KOR)
Featherweight
Kaan Ofli (TUR) v Walid Laidi (ALG)
Lightweight
Leandro Martins (BRA) v Abdulla Al Bousheiri (KUW)
Welterweight
Ahmad Labban (LEB) v Sofiane Benchohra (ALG)
Bantamweight
Jaures Dea (CAM) v Nawras Abzakh (JOR)
Lightweight
Mohammed Yahya (UAE) v Glen Ranillo (PHI)
Lightweight
Alan Omer (GER) v Aidan Aguilera (AUS)
Welterweight
Mounir Lazzez (TUN) Sasha Palatnikov (HKG)
Featherweight title bout
Romando Dy (PHI) v Lee Do-gyeom (KOR)
Greatest of All Time
Starring: Vijay, Sneha, Prashanth, Prabhu Deva, Mohan
Last 10 NBA champions
2017: Golden State bt Cleveland 4-1
2016: Cleveland bt Golden State 4-3
2015: Golden State bt Cleveland 4-2
2014: San Antonio bt Miami 4-1
2013: Miami bt San Antonio 4-3
2012: Miami bt Oklahoma City 4-1
2011: Dallas bt Miami 4-2
2010: Los Angeles Lakers bt Boston 4-3
2009: Los Angeles Lakers bt Orlando 4-1
2008: Boston bt Los Angeles Lakers 4-2