An interior view of the Bushehr nuclear power plant, some 1,200km south of Tehran. Iran says it is preparing to join a key global atomic safety convention.
An interior view of the Bushehr nuclear power plant, some 1,200km south of Tehran. Iran says it is preparing to join a key global atomic safety convention.

Iran tries to calm fears over nuclear power plant



Iran says it is preparing to join a key global atomic safety convention, a move that could ease long-standing concerns among its Arabian Gulf neighbours about the Islamic republic's only nuclear power plant.

The Russian-built reactor contains ageing German components from the 1970s, was bombed by Iraq in the 1980s, and is in an earthquake-prone area at the juncture of three tectonic plates on Iran's coast.

The site at Bushehr is closer to Kuwait City, Manama, Doha and Abu Dhabi than it is to Tehran.

Russian technicians are due formally to hand control of the 1,000-megawatt plant to their Iranian counterparts in March. For Iran, this will be a cause for celebration, with Bushehr serving as a symbol of resilience, resourcefulness and resistance to US-led sanctions.

Tehran insists it will guarantee safety at the "quake-proof" plant which was plugged into the national grid in September 2011. Iran dismisses as western propaganda claims that Bushehr is unsafe, or that its own operators are not competent enough to take over from the Russians.

A recent opinion piece in The New York Times warned that "haphazard planning and ongoing technical problems" at Bushehr could make it the "next Chernobyl, igniting a humanitarian disaster and explosive economic damage across the oil-rich region".

With prevailing winds blowing from east to west in the Gulf and coastal currents that circle anti-clockwise, "radiation fallout would contaminate oil fields as well as desalination plants" that provide fresh water for GCC states.

Responding by letter to The New York Times on January 15, Iran's ambassador to the United Nations, Mohammad Khazaee, repeated his country's standard line that Bushehr follows the "highest safety standards".

But, apparently aware that Iran's jittery neighbours want more than soothing words, he revealed that Tehran has "started the internal legal procedure" to accede to the 75-member Convention on Nuclear Safety (CNS).

That accord boosts safety practices through a system of peer review, obliging members to submit their safety standards to international scrutiny.

"Iran seems to be signalling to its neighbours that it is aware of their concerns and wants to reassure them," said Peter Jenkins, a former ambassador of the UK to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the UN's nuclear watchdog.

"Peer review will enable Iran's neighbours to become more familiar with Iranian safety norms and to voice concerns if they perceive reason to do so," he added.

Iran's accession to the CNS - a measure long urged by western officials and the IAEA - would "be a good step", agreed Mark Fitzpatrick, a nuclear expert at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in London. "Iran so far is the only country operating a nuclear reactor that is not part of the convention, which requires greater transparency and adherence to best practices on nuclear safety."

Even nuclear-armed powers such as Israel, India and Pakistan -which, unlike Iran, have not signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty - have ratified the CNS.

GCC states are likely to remain sceptical and grudging until Iran actually signs the accord. "Definitely it would be a good move [if Iran joins the CNS], but we've heard this before," said Mustafa Alani, an analyst at the Geneva-based Gulf Research Centre. "If the Iranians present this as a goodwill gesture, we don't see it this way - it's their duty to join this convention."

Anwar Eshki, who has served as an advisor to Saudi Arabia's cabinet of ministers, said that the Kingdom does "not believe that Iran is qualified for nuclear activities".

The 1994 accord was designed to bolster nuclear safety after the 1986 disaster at the Russian-designed reactor at Chernobyl in Ukraine. The issue gained fresh urgency following Japan's Fukushima nuclear crisis two years ago.

Concerns about Bushehr were prominent at last month's GCC summit in Bahrain. Kuwait's emir, Sheikh Sabah Al Ahmad Al Sabah, urged Iran to cooperate more with the IAEA to "ensure the safety of the region's states and its people from any affect of radioactivity".

He referred to a "technical failure" at Bushehr in October when the reactor was shut down for two months, reportedly to limit any damage after stray bolts were found beneath its fuel cells. Iran denied there had been any mishap.

While there are safety concerns about Bushehr, it is not regarded as a proliferation risk. It runs on imported fuel from Russia, which insists on the return of spent material. This aspect of Bushehr is monitored by the IAEA, but the agency's remit does not extend to inspecting for compliance with nuclear safety standards.

Of far more concern to the international community are uranium enrichment plants at Natanz and Fordo in central Iran. These produce fuel that, if further enriched, could provide the fissile material for a nuclear bomb.

Bushehr aside, Gulf Arab states share western suspicions that Iran's atomic programme is aimed at developing nuclear weapons capability, a charge denied by Tehran, which insists its atomic programme is solely peaceful.

The Bushehr plant dates back to 1974 when Iran's US-backed ruler, Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, contracted Siemens to build the reactor. The German company withdrew after the 1979 Islamic revolution. Russia took over its completion in 1995, but Bushehr has been bedevilled by repeated delays and technical problems.

The plant now has components from Russia, Germany and Iran. "That is not how you make a safe nuclear power plant," the New York Times article said.

But Mr Fitzpatrick, a former US state department official, believes such fears about Bushehr are "overstated". A lot "could go wrong" with the plant, but it is nothing like Chernobyl, he said, adding that Russia re-designed its reactors after that disaster and Bushehr is now equipped with western-style safety mechanisms.

"I don't think Bushehr presents as great a risk as some have portrayed," he said.

The plant is designed to withstand an earthquake of magnitude 8 and possibly up to magnitude 9, the strength of the quake that struck Fukushima, the IISS said in a report last year.

But, the study added, Iran does not need to fear a tsunami of the size that knocked out the electricity and back-up cooling systems at Fukushima because Bushehr is not located by the ocean.

Other analysts argue that Russia has a strong incentive to ensure Bushehr operates safely. A serious accident there would scupper lucrative contracts Russia has to build nuclear power reactors in another dozen or so countries.

Mr Jenkins meanwhile pointed out that it was the "meticulous Germans" who initially agreed to the site at Bushehr, adding: "They would be averse to locating a reactor in an area that presented obvious safety risks."

* With additional reporting by Elizabeth Dickinson

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

Banned items
Dubai Police has also issued a list of banned items at the ground on Sunday. These include:
  • Drones
  • Animals
  • Fireworks/ flares
  • Radios or power banks
  • Laser pointers
  • Glass
  • Selfie sticks/ umbrellas
  • Sharp objects
  • Political flags or banners
  • Bikes, skateboards or scooters

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Formula Middle East Calendar (Formula Regional and Formula 4)
Round 1: January 17-19, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 3: February 7-9, Dubai Autodrome – Dubai
 
Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
Round 5: February 25-27, Jeddah Corniche Circuit – Saudi Arabia
The schedule

December 5 - 23: Shooting competition, Al Dhafra Shooting Club

December 9 - 24: Handicrafts competition, from 4pm until 10pm, Heritage Souq

December 11 - 20: Dates competition, from 4pm

December 12 - 20: Sour milk competition

December 13: Falcon beauty competition

December 14 and 20: Saluki races

December 15: Arabian horse races, from 4pm

December 16 - 19: Falconry competition

December 18: Camel milk competition, from 7.30 - 9.30 am

December 20 and 21: Sheep beauty competition, from 10am

December 22: The best herd of 30 camels