Gaza and Ukraine wars are linked but a Middle East resolution must come from the region


Damien McElroy
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After a breakthrough meeting between Israel's head of state with a Qatari delegation, European leaders are hoping for a Middle East-sourced resolution to a conflict that has "clear linkages" to the worldwide instability triggered by the Ukraine war.

Benedikt Franke, chief executive of the Munich Security Conference, told The National that its annual meeting had provided a platform for addressing both conflicts, as the discussions revealed ways international diplomacy was addressing the challenges. He highlighted the intense discussions between Middle East delegations, including that encounter between President Isaac Herzog and Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, the Qatari Prime Minister.

"I see the neighbouring countries in the region itself [taking] responsibility," he said. "They need to define the vision of the future existence. And some of the discussions here were hopeful."

As the Ukraine war enters its third year this week, the European and US allies are preoccupied with efforts to mobilise the resources to supply the front lines against the Russian invasion. With Middle East tensions already stretched far beyond Gaza, the stakes for Western diplomacy are global here too.

Developing countries don't axiomatically share the European views of the wars and with disinformation rampant, engagement is key.

"Those are two very complex situations and there are clear interlinkages," he said. "There are interrelationships geopolitically, economically, financially and even philosophically.

"I think the Gaza conflict brought a new edge to the geopolitical debate, because a lot of the global south sees it in a completely different manner to parts of the West. And again, that shows this idea that we are trying to involve the global south in all of these discussions is the only way to go.

"We've tried to have open and transparent debates about the issue of [western] double standards, which is a difficult, a massively uncomfortable one."

Benedikt Franke said the Gaza and Ukraine wars have 'inter-relationships geopolitically, economically, financially and even philosophically'. AP
Benedikt Franke said the Gaza and Ukraine wars have 'inter-relationships geopolitically, economically, financially and even philosophically'. AP

The deadlock in the Ukraine war, with Russia making its first advance since May after Ukraine withdrew from Avdiivka last week, makes the contest with Moscow for international support increasingly hard for the West.

"We've tried to provide platforms for countries attending to engage with countries that are here for the first time," he said.

"We've had the newly elected President of Guatemala here for the first time. We've had the President of Colombia for the first time, presidents and prime ministers from the Indo-Pacific here for the first time and we've seen an increasing willingness of transatlantic partners to engage with these countries and to try to understand the accusations that are levelled against the current rules-based international order."

One of the leading voices from the developing nations was Mia Mottley, the Prime Minister of Barbados and a campaigner for reform of the post-Second World War financial system.

"The negotiations in the climate space have become an absolutely essential issue of all debates for many reasons because it's part of the geopolitical situation now.

"There are numerous security implications of climate change that already have been seen and we need to make sure we are prepared for the future.

"We are proud to have partnered with Cop28 in Dubai. There are some very concrete financial issues to advance during the next year."

Munich Security Conference - in pictures

Axel van Trotsenburg, the World Bank's senior managing director for development policy, said the post-Cop28 agenda would support its work to support fragile states where climate change was triggering instability.

"I think for the multilateral system to be relevant it needs to be in a constant state of adapting, learning and changing," he told The National in Munich. "I think that has been certainly the case for the World Bank.

"There are two big trends over the last couple of years that are quite important for our operations. First is clearly climate change. That has become very important, as well as fragility.

"Our work in fragile states has indeed increased enormously so it's also very important that organisations like the bank stay engaged in those countries."

Keane on …

Liverpool’s Uefa Champions League bid: “They’re great. With the attacking force they have, for me, they’re certainly one of the favourites. You look at the teams left in it - they’re capable of scoring against anybody at any given time. Defensively they’ve been good, so I don’t see any reason why they couldn’t go on and win it.”

Mohamed Salah’s debut campaign at Anfield: “Unbelievable. He’s been phenomenal. You can name the front three, but for him on a personal level, he’s been unreal. He’s been great to watch and hopefully he can continue now until the end of the season - which I’m sure he will, because he’s been in fine form. He’s been incredible this season.”

Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s instant impact at former club LA Galaxy: “Brilliant. It’s been a great start for him and for the club. They were crying out for another big name there. They were lacking that, for the prestige of LA Galaxy. And now they have one of the finest stars. I hope they can go win something this year.”

A new relationship with the old country

Treaty of Friendship between the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United Arab Emirates

The United kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United Arab Emirates; Considering that the United Arab Emirates has assumed full responsibility as a sovereign and independent State; Determined that the long-standing and traditional relations of close friendship and cooperation between their peoples shall continue; Desiring to give expression to this intention in the form of a Treaty Friendship; Have agreed as follows:

ARTICLE 1 The relations between the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United Arab Emirates shall be governed by a spirit of close friendship. In recognition of this, the Contracting Parties, conscious of their common interest in the peace and stability of the region, shall: (a) consult together on matters of mutual concern in time of need; (b) settle all their disputes by peaceful means in conformity with the provisions of the Charter of the United Nations.

ARTICLE 2 The Contracting Parties shall encourage education, scientific and cultural cooperation between the two States in accordance with arrangements to be agreed. Such arrangements shall cover among other things: (a) the promotion of mutual understanding of their respective cultures, civilisations and languages, the promotion of contacts among professional bodies, universities and cultural institutions; (c) the encouragement of technical, scientific and cultural exchanges.

ARTICLE 3 The Contracting Parties shall maintain the close relationship already existing between them in the field of trade and commerce. Representatives of the Contracting Parties shall meet from time to time to consider means by which such relations can be further developed and strengthened, including the possibility of concluding treaties or agreements on matters of mutual concern.

ARTICLE 4 This Treaty shall enter into force on today’s date and shall remain in force for a period of ten years. Unless twelve months before the expiry of the said period of ten years either Contracting Party shall have given notice to the other of its intention to terminate the Treaty, this Treaty shall remain in force thereafter until the expiry of twelve months from the date on which notice of such intention is given.

IN WITNESS WHEREOF the undersigned have signed this Treaty.

DONE in duplicate at Dubai the second day of December 1971AD, corresponding to the fifteenth day of Shawwal 1391H, in the English and Arabic languages, both texts being equally authoritative.

Signed

Geoffrey Arthur  Sheikh Zayed

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Farage on Muslim Brotherhood

Nigel Farage told Reform's annual conference that the party will proscribe the Muslim Brotherhood if he becomes Prime Minister.
"We will stop dangerous organisations with links to terrorism operating in our country," he said. "Quite why we've been so gutless about this – both Labour and Conservative – I don't know.
“All across the Middle East, countries have banned and proscribed the Muslim Brotherhood as a dangerous organisation. We will do the very same.”
It is 10 years since a ground-breaking report into the Muslim Brotherhood by Sir John Jenkins.
Among the former diplomat's findings was an assessment that “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” has “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
The prime minister at the time, David Cameron, who commissioned the report, said membership or association with the Muslim Brotherhood was a "possible indicator of extremism" but it would not be banned.

Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

Wicked: For Good

Director: Jon M Chu

Starring: Ariana Grande, Cynthia Erivo, Jonathan Bailey, Jeff Goldblum, Michelle Yeoh, Ethan Slater

Rating: 4/5

Drivers’ championship standings after Singapore:

1. Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes - 263
2. Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari - 235
3. Valtteri Bottas, Mercedes - 212
4. Daniel Ricciardo, Red Bull - 162
5. Kimi Raikkonen, Ferrari - 138
6. Sergio Perez, Force India - 68

Updated: February 24, 2024, 11:38 AM