Gaza and Ukraine wars are linked but a Middle East resolution must come from the region


Damien McElroy
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After a breakthrough meeting between Israel's head of state with a Qatari delegation, European leaders are hoping for a Middle East-sourced resolution to a conflict that has "clear linkages" to the worldwide instability triggered by the Ukraine war.

Benedikt Franke, chief executive of the Munich Security Conference, told The National that its annual meeting had provided a platform for addressing both conflicts, as the discussions revealed ways international diplomacy was addressing the challenges. He highlighted the intense discussions between Middle East delegations, including that encounter between President Isaac Herzog and Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, the Qatari Prime Minister.

"I see the neighbouring countries in the region itself [taking] responsibility," he said. "They need to define the vision of the future existence. And some of the discussions here were hopeful."

As the Ukraine war enters its third year this week, the European and US allies are preoccupied with efforts to mobilise the resources to supply the front lines against the Russian invasion. With Middle East tensions already stretched far beyond Gaza, the stakes for Western diplomacy are global here too.

Developing countries don't axiomatically share the European views of the wars and with disinformation rampant, engagement is key.

"Those are two very complex situations and there are clear interlinkages," he said. "There are interrelationships geopolitically, economically, financially and even philosophically.

"I think the Gaza conflict brought a new edge to the geopolitical debate, because a lot of the global south sees it in a completely different manner to parts of the West. And again, that shows this idea that we are trying to involve the global south in all of these discussions is the only way to go.

"We've tried to have open and transparent debates about the issue of [western] double standards, which is a difficult, a massively uncomfortable one."

Benedikt Franke said the Gaza and Ukraine wars have 'inter-relationships geopolitically, economically, financially and even philosophically'. AP
Benedikt Franke said the Gaza and Ukraine wars have 'inter-relationships geopolitically, economically, financially and even philosophically'. AP

The deadlock in the Ukraine war, with Russia making its first advance since May after Ukraine withdrew from Avdiivka last week, makes the contest with Moscow for international support increasingly hard for the West.

"We've tried to provide platforms for countries attending to engage with countries that are here for the first time," he said.

"We've had the newly elected President of Guatemala here for the first time. We've had the President of Colombia for the first time, presidents and prime ministers from the Indo-Pacific here for the first time and we've seen an increasing willingness of transatlantic partners to engage with these countries and to try to understand the accusations that are levelled against the current rules-based international order."

One of the leading voices from the developing nations was Mia Mottley, the Prime Minister of Barbados and a campaigner for reform of the post-Second World War financial system.

"The negotiations in the climate space have become an absolutely essential issue of all debates for many reasons because it's part of the geopolitical situation now.

"There are numerous security implications of climate change that already have been seen and we need to make sure we are prepared for the future.

"We are proud to have partnered with Cop28 in Dubai. There are some very concrete financial issues to advance during the next year."

Munich Security Conference - in pictures

  • Israeli President Isaac Herzog (L) and American journalist David Ignatius (R) attend a panel talk at the 'Bayerischer Hof' hotel, the venue of the 60th Munich Security Conference (MSC), in Munich, Germany, 17 February 2024. More than 500 high-level international decision-makers meet at the 60th Munich Security Conference in Munich during their annual meeting from 16 to 18 February 2024 to discuss global security issues. EPA / ANNA SZILAGYI
    Israeli President Isaac Herzog (L) and American journalist David Ignatius (R) attend a panel talk at the 'Bayerischer Hof' hotel, the venue of the 60th Munich Security Conference (MSC), in Munich, Germany, 17 February 2024. More than 500 high-level international decision-makers meet at the 60th Munich Security Conference in Munich during their annual meeting from 16 to 18 February 2024 to discuss global security issues. EPA / ANNA SZILAGYI
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and US Vice President Kamala Harris conclude a joint press conference at the Munich Security Conference. AP
    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and US Vice President Kamala Harris conclude a joint press conference at the Munich Security Conference. AP
  • EU foreign affairs and security chief Josep Borrell speaks on the closing day of the annual conference in Munich. Bloomberg
    EU foreign affairs and security chief Josep Borrell speaks on the closing day of the annual conference in Munich. Bloomberg
  • Mr Zelenskyy and President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev attend a bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the conference. EPA
    Mr Zelenskyy and President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev attend a bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the conference. EPA
  • Alexander Stubb, Finland's president-elect, speaks on the closing day of the event. Bloomberg
    Alexander Stubb, Finland's president-elect, speaks on the closing day of the event. Bloomberg
  • A Ukrainian protest against Russia's invasion takes place outside the the Bayerischer Hof Hotel, the venue for the Munich Security Conference. EPA
    A Ukrainian protest against Russia's invasion takes place outside the the Bayerischer Hof Hotel, the venue for the Munich Security Conference. EPA
  • Mr Zelenskyy addresses a press conference in Munich. AP
    Mr Zelenskyy addresses a press conference in Munich. AP
  • Yulia Navalnaya, wife of late Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, attends the event. AFP
    Yulia Navalnaya, wife of late Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, attends the event. AFP
  • German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, right, and Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani at the conference. AFP
    German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, right, and Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al Sudani at the conference. AFP
  • From left, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, Mr Scholz and Mr Aliyev. Reuters
    From left, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, Mr Scholz and Mr Aliyev. Reuters
  • An anti-war demonstrator holds a banner with a list of names of Palestinians killed in the conflict between Israel and Hamas, outside the conference venue in Munich. Reuters
    An anti-war demonstrator holds a banner with a list of names of Palestinians killed in the conflict between Israel and Hamas, outside the conference venue in Munich. Reuters
  • Bavaria's state governor Markus Soder, left, and former US secretary of state John Kerry at a dinner reception at the Munich royal residence. Getty Images
    Bavaria's state governor Markus Soder, left, and former US secretary of state John Kerry at a dinner reception at the Munich royal residence. Getty Images
  • China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi and his German counterpart Annalena Baerbock arrive for a bilateral meeting. Getty Images
    China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi and his German counterpart Annalena Baerbock arrive for a bilateral meeting. Getty Images
  • US Representative and former speaker Nancy Pelosi in conversation. Getty Images
    US Representative and former speaker Nancy Pelosi in conversation. Getty Images
  • US Vice President Kamala Harris prepares to address the gathering. AP
    US Vice President Kamala Harris prepares to address the gathering. AP
  • UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres delivers the opening speech. EPA
    UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres delivers the opening speech. EPA
  • US Secretary of State Antony Blinken meets Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar on the sidelines of the conference in Munich. Reuters
    US Secretary of State Antony Blinken meets Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar on the sidelines of the conference in Munich. Reuters
  • The three-day meeting featured more than 180 senior government representatives from all over the world. EPA
    The three-day meeting featured more than 180 senior government representatives from all over the world. EPA
  • German Finance Minister Christian Lindner, left, Argentinia's Foreign Minister, Diana Mondino, second left, and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, right, take part in a townhall at the conference. Reuters
    German Finance Minister Christian Lindner, left, Argentinia's Foreign Minister, Diana Mondino, second left, and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, right, take part in a townhall at the conference. Reuters
  • From left, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Bavarian state premier Markus Soder and Nato Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg address the opening session. AP
    From left, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Bavarian state premier Markus Soder and Nato Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg address the opening session. AP
  • A sniffer dog checks a car for explosives in front of the conference venue. EPA
    A sniffer dog checks a car for explosives in front of the conference venue. EPA
  • Britain's Foreign Secretary David Cameron arrives at the Bayerischer Hof. AFP
    Britain's Foreign Secretary David Cameron arrives at the Bayerischer Hof. AFP
  • Workers check the security barriers. Bloomberg
    Workers check the security barriers. Bloomberg
  • German police officers patrol the area surrounding the conference venue. EPA
    German police officers patrol the area surrounding the conference venue. EPA

Axel van Trotsenburg, the World Bank's senior managing director for development policy, said the post-Cop28 agenda would support its work to support fragile states where climate change was triggering instability.

"I think for the multilateral system to be relevant it needs to be in a constant state of adapting, learning and changing," he told The National in Munich. "I think that has been certainly the case for the World Bank.

"There are two big trends over the last couple of years that are quite important for our operations. First is clearly climate change. That has become very important, as well as fragility.

"Our work in fragile states has indeed increased enormously so it's also very important that organisations like the bank stay engaged in those countries."

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Scores in brief:

Day 1

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Pakistan (1st innings) 59-2 (23 overs)

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Updated: February 24, 2024, 11:38 AM