Moro Islamic Liberation Front chief Murad Ibrahim addresses reporters on Monday.
Moro Islamic Liberation Front chief Murad Ibrahim addresses reporters on Monday.
Moro Islamic Liberation Front chief Murad Ibrahim addresses reporters on Monday.
Moro Islamic Liberation Front chief Murad Ibrahim addresses reporters on Monday.

Muslim rebel leader hopes for peace under Aquino


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CAMP DARAPANAN, MAGUINDANAO // In a clearing just outside the southern Philippine town of Sultan Kudarat, the leader of the country's biggest Muslim group contemplates an uncertain future. After 40 years of conflict, Al Haj Murad Ebrahim hopes the new Philippine government of President Benigno Aquino will finally do what past presidents have failed to do - bring peace to this south-eastern corner of the Philippine archipelago by allowing the establishment of a Muslim homeland.

But Mr Murad, leader of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), is unsure whether Mr Aquino and his government are interested in talking. Some commanders having already broken away from the MILF central command, and the government is considering starting negotiations from scratch. "At the moment we are getting mixed signals from Manila," Mr Murad told a group of foreign correspondents at the MILF's headquarters at Camp Darapanan in the southern Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao. It is a neat, well-run compound surrounded by lush green rice paddies, corn fields and banana plantations.

"We already have a comprehensive compact with the last government that will bring peace to Mindanao. Now we are told the government wants to start from scratch," he said. After negotiating with successive Philippine governments for 13 years, he said that the country's new president, Mr Aquino, has six years to solve the problem if he is serious. Mr Murad said his group wants a homeland, "not some sort of bogus autonomy."

"We can't start the process all over again," Mr Murad said. "We have signed 87 agreements and documents with the Philippine government, and we also initialed a landmark Memorandum of Agreement on Ancestral Domain (MOA-AD) with both sides committed to move forward with a comprehensive compact that will bring about a lasting political settlement". Ethnic Moros are the largest non-Christian group in the Philippines, making up between five and 10 per cent of the country's 100 million people. An agreement signed in August 2008 called for the establishment of a Moro state, but the Supreme Court quashed the agreement. Critics claimed the agreement would lead to the breakup of the Philippines.

Within days of the ruling, a number of commanders broke away from the central MILF leadership, burning towns and villages in northern and Central Mindanao. The violence led to the displacement of about 750,000 people. An estimated 10,000 to 20,000 families are still living with relatives or in displacement centres. Late Monday the government said it was eager to start talks that will lead to a "just, comprehensive and durable peace in Mindanao". Those talks are expected resume at the end of Ramadan.

"Definitely, it is not the intention of the government's panel to start from scratch, but we don't want to start without a viable proposal," Marvic Leonen, the head of the government's negotiating team, said in a statement. "Our hope, however, is that the MILF understands that the fresh mandate given to the present administration which was very critical to the past one compels us to do our proper due diligence of all the statements, agreements and negotiating parameters," Mr Leonen said.

Peace talks between the MILF and the government began in 1997 after years of bitter fighting. Although not designated a terrorist organisation by the United States, some factions within the MILF have associations with the Jemaah Islamiyah and bandits who hide under the umbrella of the Abu Sayyaf. The Abu Sayyaf (Father of the Sword) was founded in 1990 by Abdurazzak Abubakar Janjalani who was educated in Saudi Arabia. His group had close links with other extremist groups in Southeast Asia wanting to create a pan-Islamic state. The group had close links with the Indonesian Jemaah Islamiyah.

After Janjalani's death in 1998 in a firefight with the Philippine military, the group split into at least 14 factions. Together the factions have been responsible for the worst terrorist attacks in the Philippines, including the 2004 sinking of a passenger ferry in Manila Bay with the loss of more than 100 people. It has been involved in kidnappings of foreign priests and International Red Cross workers and tourists.

Although the Jemaah Islamiyah is reported to have been neutralised by the Indonesian authorities, it is starting to regroup. It was responsible for the Bali bombings in 2002 in which more than 200 people were killed, attacks on the Australian embassy and Marriott hotel in Jakarta. Mr Murad is well aware of the burden of history that he carries. In 1996 the government negotiated a peace agreement with the Moro National Liberation Front, the country's first Muslim revolutionary group, which saw the establishment of the Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao. But it did not bring a lasting peace.

Many young Muslims became disenchanted and broke off to form the MILF, which was sidelined during the 1996 talks that led to the establishment of autonomous region in Mindanao. Looking back, Mr Murad said Muslims "have been fighting for a homeland now for 40 years - a generation". He warned that their resolve would not diminish. "The next generations of leaders were born during the struggle and have only known violence and the hardship of war. My concern is that unless a solution is found now, the next generation will be more militant and more radical. You can feel it among the youth," he said.

Mr Murad denied that there were any serious divisions within MILF but did acknowledge some breakaway factions. "But we are dealing with the problem," he said. While the military estimates the MILF has some 12,000 armed troops, Murad said the figure was a "gross underestimate." "In fact we have 60,000 armed men and can mobilise 120,000 at short notice." He said the MILF had 42 active camps in Mindanao.

"I would estimate our support overall at about one million people," he said. @Email:foreigndesk@thenational.ae

Paatal Lok season two

Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy 

Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong

Rating: 4.5/5

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Name: Yousef Al Bahar

Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994

Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Essentials

The flights
Emirates, Etihad and Malaysia Airlines all fly direct from the UAE to Kuala Lumpur and on to Penang from about Dh2,300 return, including taxes. 
 

Where to stay
In Kuala Lumpur, Element is a recently opened, futuristic hotel high up in a Norman Foster-designed skyscraper. Rooms cost from Dh400 per night, including taxes. Hotel Stripes, also in KL, is a great value design hotel, with an infinity rooftop pool. Rooms cost from Dh310, including taxes. 


In Penang, Ren i Tang is a boutique b&b in what was once an ancient Chinese Medicine Hall in the centre of Little India. Rooms cost from Dh220, including taxes.
23 Love Lane in Penang is a luxury boutique heritage hotel in a converted mansion, with private tropical gardens. Rooms cost from Dh400, including taxes. 
In Langkawi, Temple Tree is a unique architectural villa hotel consisting of antique houses from all across Malaysia. Rooms cost from Dh350, including taxes.

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6.30pm: Handicap (Turf) | US$175,000 2,410 metres

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Four reasons global stock markets are falling right now

There are many factors worrying investors right now and triggering a rush out of stock markets. Here are four of the biggest:

1. Rising US interest rates

The US Federal Reserve has increased interest rates three times this year in a bid to prevent its buoyant economy from overheating. They now stand at between 2 and 2.25 per cent and markets are pencilling in three more rises next year.

Kim Catechis, manager of the Legg Mason Martin Currie Global Emerging Markets Fund, says US inflation is rising and the Fed will continue to raise rates in 2019. “With inflationary pressures growing, an increasing number of corporates are guiding profitability expectations downwards for 2018 and 2019, citing the negative impact of rising costs.”

At the same time as rates are rising, central bankers in the US and Europe have been ending quantitative easing, bringing the era of cheap money to an end.

2. Stronger dollar

High US rates have driven up the value of the dollar and bond yields, and this is putting pressure on emerging market countries that took advantage of low interest rates to run up trillions in dollar-denominated debt. They have also suffered capital outflows as international investors have switched to the US, driving markets lower. Omar Negyal, portfolio manager of the JP Morgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust, says this looks like a buying opportunity. “Despite short-term volatility we remain positive about long-term prospects and profitability for emerging markets.” 

3. Global trade war

Ritu Vohora, investment director at fund manager M&G, says markets fear that US President Donald Trump’s spat with China will escalate into a full-blown global trade war, with both sides suffering. “The US economy is robust enough to absorb higher input costs now, but this may not be the case as tariffs escalate. However, with a host of factors hitting investor sentiment, this is becoming a stock picker’s market.”

4. Eurozone uncertainty

Europe faces two challenges right now in the shape of Brexit and the new populist government in eurozone member Italy.

Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, which has offices in Dubai, says the stand-off between between Rome and Brussels threatens to become much more serious. "As with Brexit, neither side appears willing to step back from the edge, threatening more trouble down the line.”

The European economy may also be slowing, Mr Beauchamp warns. “A four-year low in eurozone manufacturing confidence highlights the fact that producers see a bumpy road ahead, with US-EU trade talks remaining a major question-mark for exporters.”

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How to wear a kandura

Dos

  • Wear the right fabric for the right season and occasion 
  • Always ask for the dress code if you don’t know
  • Wear a white kandura, white ghutra / shemagh (headwear) and black shoes for work 
  • Wear 100 per cent cotton under the kandura as most fabrics are polyester

Don’ts 

  • Wear hamdania for work, always wear a ghutra and agal 
  • Buy a kandura only based on how it feels; ask questions about the fabric and understand what you are buying
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