Residents leave Jakhau village in Gujarat state as Cyclone Biparjoy approaches India's west coast. AP Photo
Residents leave Jakhau village in Gujarat state as Cyclone Biparjoy approaches India's west coast. AP Photo
Residents leave Jakhau village in Gujarat state as Cyclone Biparjoy approaches India's west coast. AP Photo
Residents leave Jakhau village in Gujarat state as Cyclone Biparjoy approaches India's west coast. AP Photo

Indian authorities 'pray for less damage' as Cyclone Biparjoy nears


Taniya Dutta
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LATEST - Follow Cyclone Biparjoy updates here

Wind and rain intensified along parts of India’s west coast on Thursday before the expected landfall of "very severe cyclonic storm" Cyclone Biparjoy.

The storm is in the east-central Arabian Sea, about 180km off the coast of Gujarat state and is on course to cross Saurashtra and Kutch districts as well as adjoining areas of Pakistan.

It is expected to make landfall between Jakhau Port in Kutch and Pakistan port city of Karachi at about 5pm and cause tidal surges of between two and three metres.

Indian authorities have moved nearly 75,000 people from low-lying areas to temporary shelters in the coastal districts of Kutch, Jamnagar, Morbi, Rajkot, Devbhumi Dwarka, Junagadh, Porbandar and Gir Somnath.

In Kutch, 47,000 people and more than 20,000 animals were moved to safer areas.

Strong winds have already started pounding the area.

“Wind speed has increased at Jakhau to around 70-75kph. It is drizzling,” Amit Arora, the top district official, told The National.

“We are worried and praying for minimum damage as ultimately it is nature. We can only mitigate the effect but can’t control it,” he said.

People evacuated from a village near Jakhau at a shelter in Kutch district. AP Photo
People evacuated from a village near Jakhau at a shelter in Kutch district. AP Photo

Authorities have sent additional medical staff and doctors to the shelters, he said.

“They are helping people who are panicking. We have an adequate amount of food rations, medicines and milk powder available at all shelter homes.”

Kutch was completely shut and authorities suspended public transport.

At a school that has been converted into a temporary shelter in Pipri village, about 7km from the town of Mandvi, Roshni Bano was anxious about the fate of her four-room house.

Ms Bano, from the fishing community in Mondwa village, was moved to the shelter on Tuesday with five family members.

“We are getting all the help here. We have no complaints with the arrangements but I am anxious about my house. It is walking distance from the Mandvi beach. I am praying for no damage to my home,” she told The National.

There are 350 villagers, including 35 children and 50 elderly people, sheltering in 13 rooms at the school.

“We are giving them regular food, milk and medicine. A primary healthcare doctor is also here and we have kept an ambulance on standby. We are leaving no stone unturned in giving them comfort,” said Laxmichand Sangar, a local council official.

In Jamnagar, villagers at Rasulnagar have put have ropes across their village as a means to ensure safe movement while braving the strong winds and heavy rainfall.

Home Minister Amit Shah will visit Bhuj in Kutch to oversee relief and rescue operations.

Arabian Sea doesn’t get many cyclones but it is not unnatural or rare
Mritunjay Mohapatra,
director general of meteorology, IMD

High tides and strong winds were also reported in Mumbai – India's financial capital in Maharashtra state, south of Gujarat.

Authorities there warned against venturing out to sea and posted guards along the coast after four teenagers drowned in big waves this week.

Cyclone Biparjoy is only the third cyclone in 60 years to hit the India's west coast.

According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), 13 cyclones developed over the Arabian Sea in the month of June between 1965 and 2022.

Of these, two crossed the Gujarat coast, one hit Maharashtra, and one made landfall in Pakistan. Three of the cyclones hit the Oman-Yemen coastline and six weakened over the sea.

"In the month of May and June during the onset of monsoon, cyclones usually develop. The Arabian Sea doesn’t get many cyclones but it is not unnatural or rare,” Mritunjay Mohapatra, the director general of meteorology at IMD, told The National.

He said there were relatively fewer cyclones in the Arabian Sea because it is narrower and has a relatively cooler surface, and because of the dry air from the Arabian Peninsula.

On average, each year “five cyclones develop, four over the Bay of Bengal and one over the Arabian Sea, but we don’t expect every year there will be a cyclone" in the Arabian Sea, he said.

For many in Gujarat, Biparjoy is bringing back memories of the cyclone that hit the town of Kandla in June 1998, killing at least 10,000 people.

“No one knew about the cyclone then, not even the administration. Biparjoy is the second such cyclone of that scale but now the administration is active and helping us vigorously,” said Jitendra Soda, a government employee and a resident of Talvana village near Mandvi.

“It is raining on and off and winds are strong. It is risky but we are hoping that this time, there won’t be such destruction,” he said.

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  • Previously worked at The Guardian, BBC’s Newsnight programme and ITV News
  • Took up a public relations role for Chancellor Rishi Sunak in April 2020
  • In October 2020 she was hired to lead No 10’s planned daily televised press briefings
  • The idea was later scrapped and she was appointed spokeswoman for Cop26
  • Ms Stratton, 41, is married to James Forsyth, the political editor of The Spectator
  • She has strong connections to the Conservative establishment
  • Mr Sunak served as best man at her 2011 wedding to Mr Forsyth
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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