A man casts his vote during provincial assembly by-elections in Pakistan's Punjab province on Sunday. EPA
A man casts his vote during provincial assembly by-elections in Pakistan's Punjab province on Sunday. EPA
A man casts his vote during provincial assembly by-elections in Pakistan's Punjab province on Sunday. EPA
A man casts his vote during provincial assembly by-elections in Pakistan's Punjab province on Sunday. EPA

Pakistan: Imran Khan's PTI party poised for big win in Punjab by-elections


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Imran Khan has renewed demands for an immediate general election in Pakistan after his party trounced the struggling government in its own political heartland.

The former prime minister's Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party took enough seats in Sunday’s by-elections to the Punjab provincial assembly to snatch back control from the ruling Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N) and rock the central government.

The bitterly contested local polls had been seen as a key test for Mr Khan's popularity and his claim that the no-confidence vote that saw him removed from power in April was in fact a foreign conspiracy.

The 69-year-old has spent the past three months gathering large rallies in which he has accused the US of conspiring against him and made unusually outspoken attacks on the powerful Pakistan military that once backed him.

The new PML-N government led by Shehbaz Sharif has meanwhile struggled with galloping inflation and had to make painful economic decisions to remove subsidies to win an international bailout.

The contest for 20 Punjab assembly seats was also seen as a bellwether for national elections that must be held by October next year. Mr Khan has said elections should be held sooner.

“The only way forward from here is to hold free and transparent elections,” Mr Khan tweeted early on Monday, as the votes were tallied.

“Any other way will only lead to increased political uncertainty and further economic chaos.”

He said his party had prevailed over biased election authorities, police harassment and “the entire state machinery”.

An unofficial preliminary tally showed the PTI had won 15 of the 20 seats, compared with only four for the PML-N. An independent candidate was on course to win the remaining seat.

If confirmed, the result would raise the PTI’s strength in the 371-seat Punjab assembly to 178 which, together with 10 seats from its ally, the Pakistan Muslim League (Qaid e Azam), would give it a majority.

Washington denies any involvement in Mr Khan's downfall in April, but his allegations that he was ousted for defying the US over foreign policy have found widespread sympathy.

“With this historic win you have told the world we are a self-respecting nation,” the PTI's Twitter account told supporters.

“Now whatever the Pakistani people decide, will happen. No foreign power has the right to decide our fate.”

Michael Kugelman, deputy director of the Asia programme at the Washington-based Wilson Centre, said Mr Khan's victory showed he could translate street power into electoral power.

“If the new beleaguered government was looking for a boost to its mandate, it clearly didn’t get it,” he said.

The PML-N leadership accepted defeat in Punjab.

“One should bow before the decision of the people,” Maryam Nawaz Sharif, niece of the prime minister, said. “In politics there are always wins and losses.”

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Company Profile

Name: Thndr
Started: 2019
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

Bloomberg

If you go

Flight connections to Ulaanbaatar are available through a variety of hubs, including Seoul and Beijing, with airlines including Mongolian Airlines and Korean Air. While some nationalities, such as Americans, don’t need a tourist visa for Mongolia, others, including UAE citizens, can obtain a visa on arrival, while others including UK citizens, need to obtain a visa in advance. Contact the Mongolian Embassy in the UAE for more information.

Nomadic Road offers expedition-style trips to Mongolia in January and August, and other destinations during most other months. Its nine-day August 2020 Mongolia trip will cost from $5,250 per person based on two sharing, including airport transfers, two nights’ hotel accommodation in Ulaanbaatar, vehicle rental, fuel, third party vehicle liability insurance, the services of a guide and support team, accommodation, food and entrance fees; nomadicroad.com

A fully guided three-day, two-night itinerary at Three Camel Lodge costs from $2,420 per person based on two sharing, including airport transfers, accommodation, meals and excursions including the Yol Valley and Flaming Cliffs. A return internal flight from Ulaanbaatar to Dalanzadgad costs $300 per person and the flight takes 90 minutes each way; threecamellodge.com

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'The worst thing you can eat'

Trans fat is typically found in fried and baked goods, but you may be consuming more than you think.

Powdered coffee creamer, microwave popcorn and virtually anything processed with a crust is likely to contain it, as this guide from Mayo Clinic outlines: 

Baked goods - Most cakes, cookies, pie crusts and crackers contain shortening, which is usually made from partially hydrogenated vegetable oil. Ready-made frosting is another source of trans fat.

Snacks - Potato, corn and tortilla chips often contain trans fat. And while popcorn can be a healthy snack, many types of packaged or microwave popcorn use trans fat to help cook or flavour the popcorn.

Fried food - Foods that require deep frying — french fries, doughnuts and fried chicken — can contain trans fat from the oil used in the cooking process.

Refrigerator dough - Products such as canned biscuits and cinnamon rolls often contain trans fat, as do frozen pizza crusts.

Creamer and margarine - Nondairy coffee creamer and stick margarines also may contain partially hydrogenated vegetable oils.

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Updated: July 18, 2022, 7:35 AM