Trade war declared on Gulf airlines


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The biggest flag-carrying airlines in Europe are joining forces in an effort to thwart the rapid global expansion of rivals from the Gulf amid a rising tide of protectionism in the industry.

Air France's chief executive, Pierre-Henri Gourgeon, took the vanguard in a blistering public attack against Emirates, Etihad and other Gulf-based airlines yesterday.

"Europe is at the crossroads of international air travel, and this is a role we need to value and defend," Mr Gourgeon told Bloomberg. "What we're telling the authorities is that we need a strategy that gives us a chance to resist."

Air France and other European airlines are lobbying their governments to put an end to export credit rules that benefit Middle Eastern airlines, citing the competitive threat posed by the likes of Emirates, Etihad Airways and Qatar Airways.

The complaints come as a rising chorus of airlines have sought to limit the expansion of the three carriers by other means, primarily by asking their governments to oppose additional landing slots. This week the UAE's ambassador to Canada made a rare public statement expressing its disappointment that Canadian authorities had blocked attempts to increase landing slots for Emirates and Etihad for the past five years.

Executives from Air France, British Airways and Lufthansa will attend a meeting of the Association of European Airlines in the coming days to discuss a joint push with US rivals for a change to the export-guarantee regime, said Christian de Barrin, a spokesman of the Brussels-based industry group.

The Gulf airlines, led by Emirates, the oldest and largest of the three, are some of the most well-known brands from the Arab world and have made air travel one the greatest exports out of the UAE and Qatar, after oil and gas.

This year, Emirates became the largest international airline by capacity, surpassing Lufthansa, while Etihad and Qatar Airways have also experienced double-digit traffic growth last year. Both also have tens of billions of dollars worth of new aircraft on order.

"I think it's very dangerous for Europe," Mr Gourgeon said of the Gulf carriers. At issue are cheaper forms of financing available to airlines outside of Europe and the US, called export credit guarantees. Export credit agencies in the nations that manufacture Airbus and Boeing airlines - US, UK, France, Germany and Spain - often help foreign buyers of these planes arrange cheaper financing than their own home carriers pay.

"Our ability to fund the acquisition of new aircraft is handicapped by the so-called 'home-country' rule," BA spokesman Paul Marston said. "These guarantees are not operating in the way they were intended - and we urge the EU to amend the rules to remove the competitive distortions that have developed."

One example cited by the US-based Air Transport Association was the financing of three Boeing 777s to Delta Airlines. Without any export backed credit insurance, last year it raised capital directly from banks and arranged interest rates at more than 8 per cent.

By contrast, Emirates raised US$414million (Dh1.5 billion)for three 777s the same year, paying an interest rate of 3.4 per cent through bonds backed by the US Export-Import Bank.

Tim Clark, the president of Emirates, defended the airline, saying: "We have grown without subsidy through the success of our commercially-driven business model - and see no reason to apologise for what we have achieved. When so many entities and economies around the world are being shored up by governments in order to survive, it is surprising to single out Emirates with unsubstantiated claims of being subsidised."

F1 drivers' standings

1. Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes 281

2. Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari 247

3. Valtteri Bottas, Mercedes 222

4. Daniel Ricciardo, Red Bull 177

5. Kimi Raikkonen, Ferrari 138

6. Max Verstappen, Red Bull 93

7. Sergio Perez, Force India 86

8. Esteban Ocon, Force India 56

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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TOUCH RULES

Touch is derived from rugby league. Teams consist of up to 14 players with a maximum of six on the field at any time.

Teams can make as many substitutions as they want during the 40 minute matches.

Similar to rugby league, the attacking team has six attempts - or touches - before possession changes over.

A touch is any contact between the player with the ball and a defender, and must be with minimum force.

After a touch the player performs a “roll-ball” - similar to the play-the-ball in league - stepping over or rolling the ball between the feet.

At the roll-ball, the defenders have to retreat a minimum of five metres.

A touchdown is scored when an attacking player places the ball on or over the score-line.

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German intelligence warnings
  • 2002: "Hezbollah supporters feared becoming a target of security services because of the effects of [9/11] ... discussions on Hezbollah policy moved from mosques into smaller circles in private homes." Supporters in Germany: 800
  • 2013: "Financial and logistical support from Germany for Hezbollah in Lebanon supports the armed struggle against Israel ... Hezbollah supporters in Germany hold back from actions that would gain publicity." Supporters in Germany: 950
  • 2023: "It must be reckoned with that Hezbollah will continue to plan terrorist actions outside the Middle East against Israel or Israeli interests." Supporters in Germany: 1,250 

Source: Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution