Reported typhoid cases double in the past year



ABU DHABI // Reports of typhoid have more than doubled in the first quarter of 2012 compared with the same period last year.

The case figures were recorded by the Health Authority–Abu Dhabi (Haad) and published in the latest Communicable Diseases Bulletin.

Reported cases of typhoid from January to March of this year were 130, compared with 55 over the same period in 2011.

Other foodborne illnesses, such as diarrhoea and respiratory infections, did not rise as much, but did increase from 197 to 253.

This has been partly attributed to a rise in the number of people contracting the rotavirus that causes gastroenteritis. Rotavirus infection accounted for almost half the total number of cases.

About 14 per cent of typhoid cases were found to have originated outside of the country, in areas where the disease is rampant.

"That 14 per cent [of cases] travelled to risky areas was proven. The vast majority travelled to and from Southern Asia, an area well-known to be highly endemic," said Dr Ghada Yahia, a senior regional officer with Haad's communicable diseases section who worked on the bulletin.

People should be wary when visiting Southern Asia, said Dr Asim Malik, a consultant and chief of infectious disease at Mafraq Hospital in Abu Dhabi.

"The bulk of the disease exists in this part of the world.

"Subsequently, travel through those countries is a significant risk and typhoid can be acquired via contaminated water or food items that you may purchase from a street vendor."

The increase in foodborne illnesses was to be expected, said Dr Yahia. "Rotavirus is seasonal, rising especially from December to June, and that's what happened [in our records]."

As a result, a rotavirus vaccine will be included in the Haad immunisation schedule for children under the age of one from this time next year.

This new data will help authorities pinpoint areas of weakness, said Mohamed Jalal Al Rayaysa, the director of communication and community service for The Abu Dhabi Food Control Authority, which works alongside Haad whenever foodborne illnesses which occur outside of the home are found. "These are very important figures for us. This encourages more work for both sides to highlight the important message of how to deal with food and food consumption," Mr Al Rayaysa said.

When it comes to the reported increase in typhoid, this does not signal any problems, said Dr Yahia.

Unreliable methods of testing for the infectious disease may have lead to the authority over-inflating the prevalence of it within the Abu Dhabi community, she said.

"Most of the cases reported were only found using a Widal test. This can lead to a big over-estimation of the confirmed number of typhoid fever cases."

A Widal test consists of mixing the bacteria responsible for causing typhoid with certain antibodies from the infected person.

Through further investigation, using blood cultures, only 10 per cent of the 130 cases recorded at the beginning of this year were confirmed. The vast majority (88 per cent) were only diagnosed using the Widal test, which decreases their validity.

Through continued campaigns, the number of false-positive cases should fall, said Dr Yahia.

"We specify what to report as expected and what to report as confirmed."

Referred to as a febrile illness, in that it is onset by a sudden fever, a person will not normally begin to show symptoms of typhoid fever until about two weeks after contracting salmonella typhi, the bacteria from which typhoid takes its name.

Symptoms include fever, abdominal pain or delirium, depending on the stage of the disease.

Most patients who are seen at Mafraq present at this stage. If left undetected for more than three weeks, further complications can arise, said Dr Malik.

"At times patients can develop meningitis, pneumonia and even abscesses in various parts of the body like the liver or spleen."

The mortality rate among untreated patients is between 10 and 20 per cent, but death is a rare end result, said the doctor.

Overall, the continued efficiency with which records are collected by Haad will continue to shape the future of health care in the emirate, said Dr Yahia.

"These records provide us with evidence on which we can make changes.

"This information gives us early warning signs for upcoming epidemics, giving us the chance to act and prepare more.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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