Intensifying "rivers" of water vapour in the atmosphere over Africa caused by climate change are creating more dust storms for the UAE and the Middle East region, research has revealed.
The study by an international team that includes scientists at Khalifa University in Abu Dhabi demonstrates how complex the effects of human-induced climatic changes are.
Warning of potentially "disastrous" effects on human health, the researchers came to their conclusions after looking at dust storms that hit the Middle East, including the UAE, in May.
By analysing satellite data and other meteorological measurements, they found that the dust storms resulted from air currents in Turkey. These were caused by low-pressure systems fed by what meteorologists call African atmospheric rivers.
"Atmospheric rivers are rivers of water vapour in the sky. We can imagine them as the rivers we see on land but instead of liquid water, atmospheric rivers are made of water vapour and clouds," said Dr Diana Francis, head of the Environmental and Geophysical Sciences Laboratory at Khalifa University and the study’s first author.
"By virtue of their ability to transport large amounts of water vapour over long distances and in a relatively short time, African atmospheric rivers fuel the development of clouds [convective cloud] over the Middle East which in turn generates dust storms due to cold outflows [or density currents] that fall towards the ground during the natural process of cloud formation."
When occurring over desert regions, the high winds in these downdrafts generate what Dr Francis described as "massive dust storms".
These African atmospheric rivers are becoming more frequent and intense because of climate change, Dr Francis said. This is the result of increased evaporation over oceans and the capacity of a warmer atmosphere to hold more water vapour.
Droughts, too, are creating new sources of dust, the researchers wrote in their paper published in the Atmospheric Environment journal.
"Recent studies suggest dust storms are becoming more frequent in the Middle East, with the recent droughts leading to new emission sources, and this trend can be amplified in a warmer world, with potentially disastrous consequences for human health," they said.
The drying of Lake Sawa in southern Iraq, caused by drought and too much water being used by local industry and agriculture, represents the type of change that could be making dust storms more likely.
"Dried lakes are a very important source of atmospheric dust because the particles at the surface are not compacted and can easily be eroded," Dr Francis said.
The study, titled On the Middle East’s Severe Dust Storms in Spring 2022: Triggers and Impacts, is co-written by researchers from Khalifa University and from the Federal Authority for Nuclear Regulation in Abu Dhabi, the University of Valparaiso in Chile, Paris-East Creteil University and Paris Cité University.
As The National reported when the dust storms hit in May, UAE residents were advised to be "extremely vigilant", with visibility affected.
Late in the month, the National Centre of Meteorology forecast "hazardous weather events of exceptional severity".
Air quality in Dubai and Abu Dhabi became "very poor", according to the Plume app, which provides updates on pollution levels in cities across the globe.
Abu Dhabi Police warned motorists to be careful and told them not to take photographs of the dusty conditions when behind the wheel.
Neighbouring countries, including Syria, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, were affected, causing some flights to be suspended.
The latest study may help to forecast dust storms, because identifying the processes that cause the events "is a key milestone" in predicting when they might occur, Dr Francis said. This, in turn, allows authorities to issue warnings so the public can protect themselves.
"The first measure once a warning is issued is to advise the public to stay indoors when possible," Dr Francis said.
"Air and road traffic can be prepared in advance as well to avoid accidents."
Another pre-emptive measure is for solar power plants, of which there are many in the UAE, to prepare cleaning operations to limit the impact of dust storms on power generation, according to Dr Francis.
The Middle East is not the only region experiencing more dust storms as a result of climate change, with areas including northern China having suffered severe effects blamed in part on higher temperatures and reduced rainfall in neighbouring Mongolia.
In another demonstration of how complex the reasons behind dust storms are, two years ago The National reported on other work by Dr Francis and colleagues that showed how a major dust storm, named "Godzilla", which blew to the US from the Sahara, was caused by lower levels of ice in the Arctic.
The loss of polar ice can change temperature gradients between high latitudes and warmer regions, altering atmospheric circulation and resulting in winds that whip up dust.
Dust storms blanket UAE - in pictures
Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer
'Operation Mincemeat'
Director: John Madden
Cast: Colin Firth, Matthew Macfayden, Kelly Macdonald and Penelope Wilton
Rating: 4/5
Key products and UAE prices
iPhone XS
With a 5.8-inch screen, it will be an advance version of the iPhone X. It will be dual sim and comes with better battery life, a faster processor and better camera. A new gold colour will be available.
Price: Dh4,229
iPhone XS Max
It is expected to be a grander version of the iPhone X with a 6.5-inch screen; an inch bigger than the screen of the iPhone 8 Plus.
Price: Dh4,649
iPhone XR
A low-cost version of the iPhone X with a 6.1-inch screen, it is expected to attract mass attention. According to industry experts, it is likely to have aluminium edges instead of stainless steel.
Price: Dh3,179
Apple Watch Series 4
More comprehensive health device with edge-to-edge displays that are more than 30 per cent bigger than displays on current models.
The National Archives, Abu Dhabi
Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.
Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en
Quick pearls of wisdom
Focus on gratitude: And do so deeply, he says. “Think of one to three things a day that you’re grateful for. It needs to be specific, too, don’t just say ‘air.’ Really think about it. If you’re grateful for, say, what your parents have done for you, that will motivate you to do more for the world.”
Know how to fight: Shetty married his wife, Radhi, three years ago (he met her in a meditation class before he went off and became a monk). He says they’ve had to learn to respect each other’s “fighting styles” – he’s a talk it-out-immediately person, while she needs space to think. “When you’re having an argument, remember, it’s not you against each other. It’s both of you against the problem. When you win, they lose. If you’re on a team you have to win together.”
THE SPECS
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How to watch Ireland v Pakistan in UAE
When: The one-off Test starts on Friday, May 11
What time: Each day’s play is scheduled to start at 2pm UAE time.
TV: The match will be broadcast on OSN Sports Cricket HD. Subscribers to the channel can also stream the action live on OSN Play.