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      Tim Fox

      Tim Fox

      Location
      Dubai
      Tim Fox is a partner at Capital Gate Advisors and the former chief economist at Emirates NBD

      Articles

      President Sheikh Mohamed with Narendra Modi in New Delhi in January. Abdulla Al Bedwawi / UAE Presidential Court
      Business Insights Why Modi's UAE visit matters beyond bilateral headlines

      Energy and defence co-operation likely to be discussed

      EconomyMay 14, 2026
      If inflation persists, it could erode the attractiveness of dollar assets even amid relatively high interest rates. AFP
      Business InsightsUS dollar's resilience masks its deepening structural risks

      The key issue is whether the pace of its relative erosion is accelerating

      MoneyApril 02, 2026
      It would seem to be only a matter of time before the growing gloom in the US begins to filter its way around the world. Bloomberg
      Business InsightsHow Trump’s recession could impact the Gulf

      Although this region is not an explicit target of US president's tariffs, it could still be affected by sanctions on specific sectors, such as aluminium and steel imports

      EconomyMarch 23, 2025
      The US Federal Reserve last month hastened plans for a move towards tapering and will probably feel that it can observe the economy for a little longer before feeling any pressure to act. Reuters
      Why it may not be plain sailing for the Fed on inflation

      There are widespread indications that price pressures are building across several sectors

      MoneyJuly 05, 2021
      A currency exchange worker counts Turkish lira banknotes in Istanbul. The sacking of Turkish Central Bank governor Naci Agbal triggered a sharp sell-off in the Turkish lira. Photo: AFP
      Turkey reopens ‘self-inflicted’ wounds with its unorthodox monetary policies

      Markets are concerned that the new central bank chief could reverse recent monetary policy tightening

      MoneyMarch 28, 2021
      Pedestrians pass the New York Stock Exchange in New York. AP
      US market sentiment weakens as bond yields and inflation concerns remain in focus

      The Fed is taking a relaxed view of firming yields, but the UK offers a glimpse of a post-Covid-19 recovery earlier than expected

      MoneyMarch 07, 2021
      While the US Federal Reserve may currently be patiently accommodative, by how much and for how long it can remain so is unclear. Reuters
      Will the rise in US bond yields trigger an equity markets slide?

      Inflation is key as evidence emerges that energy, housing, agricultural and commodity prices are rising

      MoneyFebruary 21, 2021
      The Bank of England left the policy rate unchanged at 0.1 per cent and voted to keep the size of its bond buying programme steady at £895 billion. Photo: AFP
      Pound gains on BoE’s upbeat analysis and strong vaccine rollout

      Bank of England raises longer-term economic forecasts despite hinting at negative interest rates

      MoneyFebruary 07, 2021
      The Federal Reserve building in Washington, D.C. The Fed is not likely to act preemptively to rein in price pressures, instead allowing inflation to overshoot as it continues with quantitative easing and to monetise the Treasury’s debt. Photo: Bloomberg
      Market focus moves on from Biden handover to challenge of passing stimulus bill

      The Federal Reserve has, and will act to avoid the risk of a correction in markets

      MoneyJanuary 25, 2021
      The UK will launch legislation to bring back trading in Swiss shares on to the London Stock Exchange, having lost the bulk of volume of trading in European Union shares due to Brexit. AFP
      Vaccine rollouts and prospect of political stability drive market optimism

      Investors ignored the clashes in Washington and focused on the bigger picture

      MoneyJanuary 10, 2021
      The initial public offering frenzy in the technology space continued last week, with Airbnb making its debut on the Nasdeq in New York. EPA
      Markets remain buoyant despite continuing Covid-19 headwinds

      Ongoing stock rally causes concern, with analysts warning inflation could begin to recover in 2021 as a vaccine-charged recovery takes hold

      MoneyDecember 13, 2020
      November looks likely to be a very strong month for equity markets, with global stocks on course for one of their biggest monthly rises on record. Reuters
      Investor optimism in global equity markets faces risks

      Strict virus control measures could weigh on economic data and Biden’s reforms may be impeded by a gridlock in the Senate

      MoneyNovember 29, 2020
      The mood of equity investors has been buoyant, with new historic highs on the Dow and S&P 500, up 4.08 per cent and 2.16 per cent, respectively. AP Photo
      Markets pivot 180 degrees as normality begins to take hold

      Biden’s win and the Covid-19 vaccine breakthrough caused equities to rally and bond markets to question how long zero rates and QE will persist

      MoneyNovember 15, 2020
      Even with former vice president Joe Biden leading in both the national opinion polls and in many of the key swing states, memories of President Donald Trump’s surprise 2016 victory are still vivid, meaning that with hours to go, nothing can be taken for granted. Saul Loeb / AFP
      Camera32
      A contested US presidential election will trigger a flight to safety

      It could create more volatility across the board and prompt the Fed to increase quantitative easing

      MoneyNovember 02, 2020
      The International Monetary Fund reduced the extent of the global contraction expected this year to -4.4 per cent from -5.2 per cent in June, and signalled a still relatively strong rebound in 2021 of 5.2 per cent. Reuters
      Is the IMF's global economic outlook upgrade at odds with reality?

      With many countries confronting a second phase of Covid-19, economic activity is likely to slump again

      MoneyOctober 19, 2020
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