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Big away wins for Man City and Tottenham, Arsenal to get title quest back on track – EPL predictions


Steve Luckings
  • English
  • Arabic

Each week, The National predicts the outcomes of the English Premier League. This week senior sports editor Steve Luckings guest predicts the midweek matches, with all the top-four of Arsenal, Leicester City, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur taking three points. You can find our results here.

Arsenal v Southampton, Tuesday, 11.45pm

Was it the start of a mid-season wobble, or just a blip against a bogey team? Arsenal's 1-0 defeat of Chelsea last time out in the Premier League was undoubtedly aided by Per Mertesacker's sending off midway through the first half. Had Arsene Wenger's side had their full complement of players, it is not inconceivable they would have found a way through Chelsea's rearguard. Only time will tell if this is the game where the wheels came off Arsenal's quest for a first Premier League title since 2003/04. If supporters can look to one sign of encouragement it has to be the goalscoring return of their best player Alexis Sanchez in the FA Cup win over Burnley at the weekend. The Chilean attacker can provide the goals and the impetus to help get Arsenal over the finish line.

Prediction: 2-0 Arsenal

Leicester City v Liverpool, Tuesday, 11.45pm

Who would have thought it? Leicester City, propping up the division just over 12 months ago now lead it, with three points worth of daylight between them and closest challengers Arsenal. Claudio Ranieri’s side welcome Liverpool to the King Power Stadium on the back of a five-match unbeaten run in the Premier League. The last team to beat them in the league were Liverpool, who won the corresponding fixture at Anfield on Boxing Day through a Christian Benteke goal. While Liverpool were held to a 0-0 draw by West Ham United in the FA Cup’s fourth round on Sunday, Leicester players were given some much-needed rest time to recuperate. Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp gave plenty of the club’s young players an outing against West Ham, so expect several changes to the starting XI. Although Liverpool won a 5-4 epic against Norwich City last time out, their fragility in the backline was once against exposed by a team not renown for their attacking prowess. Jamie Vardy will play on the shoulder of the two Liverpool centre-backs, and whichever combination Klopp goes with, they will struggle to keep pace with the flying frontman.

Prediction: 3-2 Leicester

Norwich City v Tottenham Hotspur, Tuesday, 11.45pm

As mentioned previously, Norwich put four goals past a fragile Liverpool defence, with new £8.5 million (Dh44.4m) signing Steven Naismith scoring on debut, his first goals since a hat-trick against Chelsea in September for previous club Everton. Norwich are unlikely to find Tottenham’s defence in such generous mood, even with Jan Vertonghen being ruled out for the foreseeable future with a knee injury. That should see Austria international Kevin Wimmer given an extended run in the side at centre-back alongside Toby Alderweireld, the unsung hero of Spurs’ campaign. Farther up the pitch and Tottenham possess goals and creativity in abundance in Mousa Dembele, Erik Lamela, Christian Eriksen and Harry Kane. Put that attack against the league’s most porous defence, and expect another high-scoring encounter.

Prediction: 3-0 Tottenham

Sunderland v Manchester City, Tuesday, 11.45pm

With Sergio Aguero back doing what he does best – scoring goals at a rate of knots – expect Sunderland to line up against Manchester City with their defence stationed roughly 10 yards away from their goalkeeper, their midfield 10-yards further ahead, and a lone striker desperately chasing lost causes. The Argentina international has scored four goals in his last two Premier League games for City, and you can expect him to add to his season’s tally of 12 goals against Sam Allardyce’s relegation strugglers.

Prediction: 4-0 Manchester City

West Ham United v Aston Villa, Tuesday, 11.45pm

West Ham have designs on qualifying for Europe; Aston Villa on trying to avoid relegation. While West Ham’s aims are pretty realistic, Aston Villa’s are mere pipe dreams. Although there has been some improvement under new manager Remi Garde, Villa would need to produce something close to West Ham’s Europa League-chasing form to avoid the embarrassment of relegation to England’s second tier. Mark Bunn has replaced the hopeless Brad Guzan in goal and the understudy’s goal has been breached just once in three games. So while there are signs of encouragement at one end, the worries at the business end of the pitch continue. Villa are by far the lowest scorers in the top tier, with just 18 goals in 23 league games, with Jordan Ayew’s return of five goals their best effort. West Ham are just a point behind Manchester United in fifth place, expect Slaven Bilic’s team to be above them come Wednesday.

Prediction: 2-0 West Ham

Crystal Palace v Bournemouth, Tuesday, midnight

Emmanuel Adebayor gets another crack at the Premier League and another shot at getting fans to try to appreciate his skills on the pitch instead of moaning about his attitude off it. The Togolese has been brought in till the end of the season to try to boost goals among Alan Pardew’s strikers, which stands at a miserly one, scored by Connor Wickham, who is serving a three-match suspension for violent conduct, from the penalty spot. Adebayor has a record of getting off to good starts at all of his previous clubs, which include fellow Londoners Arsenal and Tottenham, although departures seem to be done on a rather more sour note. But the thought of him feeding in and feeding off the unpredictability of Wilfried Zaha and Yannick Bolasie of either wing makes for an intriguing prospect.

Prediction: 2-1 Palace

Manchester United v Stoke City, Tuesday, midnight

A 2-0 defeat away to Stoke City a little over a month ago had many analysts predicting that Louis van Gaal would struggle to see in the New Year as manager of Manchester United. And while the results since then have hardly done anything to dampen the doom-mongers, the Dutchman is still in a job having presided over his team's 3-1 victory over Derby County on Friday to secure their place in the fifth round of the FA Cup. A 1-0 defeat to Southampton last time out in the league last week had Old Trafford in open revolt; the beleaguered Van Gaal can ill-afford another home defeat or even a lacklustre performance that has characterised far too many United games this season.

Prediction: 1-1 draw

West Bromwich Albion v Swansea City, Tuesday, midnight

If ever a game had 0-0 written all over it, it’s this fixture. Swansea City are enjoying a mini renaissance under new coach Francesco Guidolin, beating Watford (1-0) and Everton (2-1) under the Italian’s watch. But the Welsh club are up against one of the most well-drilled outfits in the Premier League; not many teams go to The Hawthorns and come away with positive results. Expect both teams to cancel each other out.

Prediction: 0-0 draw

Everton v Newcastle United, Wednesday, 11.45pm

Neither side can defend, Newcastle need to start putting wins on the board to get clear of relegation, Everton need to start winning to take some heat off manager Roberto Martinez. This should be a cracker. Everton are an exciting side going forward and the duel between their pacey winger Gerard Deulofeu and Newcastle left-back Paul Dummett should be enthralling. Likewise, Newcastle have invested well in the transfer window. Andros Townsend, an England first choice two seasons ago, could do well on debut here.

Prediction: 2-2 draw

Watford v Chelsea, Wednesday, 11.45pm

Chelsea’s slow but steady return to form faces a big challenge here in the shape of a resilient Watford team with one of the leagues in-form strikers – Odion Ighalo. His pace will trouble John Terry and company and keeping the Nigerian quiet will be key to Chelsea taking something from the game. Watford have been tough to beat at home, but the biggest teams – Arsenal, Manchester City and United and Spurs – have pulled off wins. With Diego Costa hitting the goals and Eden Hazard back to fitness, Chelsea can join that club.

Prediction: 1-0 Chelsea

Skewed figures

In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458. 

RESULTS

Welterweight

Tohir Zhuraev (TJK) beat Mostafa Radi (PAL)

(Unanimous points decision)

Catchweight 75kg

Anas Siraj Mounir (MAR) beat Leandro Martins (BRA)

(Second round knockout)

Flyweight (female)

Manon Fiorot (FRA) beat Corinne Laframboise (CAN)

(RSC in third round)

Featherweight

Bogdan Kirilenko (UZB) beat Ahmed Al Darmaki

(Disqualification)

Lightweight

Izzedine Al Derabani (JOR) beat Rey Nacionales (PHI)

(Unanimous points)

Featherweight

Yousef Al Housani (UAE) beat Mohamed Fargan (IND)

(TKO first round)

Catchweight 69kg

Jung Han-gook (KOR) beat Max Lima (BRA)

(First round submission by foot-lock)

Catchweight 71kg

Usman Nurmogamedov (RUS) beat Jerry Kvarnstrom (FIN)

(TKO round 1).

Featherweight title (5 rounds)

Lee Do-gyeom (KOR) v Alexandru Chitoran (ROU)

(TKO round 1).

Lightweight title (5 rounds)

Bruno Machado (BRA) beat Mike Santiago (USA)

(RSC round 2).

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Russia's Muslim Heartlands

Dominic Rubin, Oxford

The Comeback: Elvis And The Story Of The 68 Special
Simon Goddard
Omnibus  Press

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Avatar: Fire and Ash

Director: James Cameron

Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana

Rating: 4.5/5

Trump v Khan

2016: Feud begins after Khan criticised Trump’s proposed Muslim travel ban to US

2017: Trump criticises Khan’s ‘no reason to be alarmed’ response to London Bridge terror attacks

2019: Trump calls Khan a “stone cold loser” before first state visit

2019: Trump tweets about “Khan’s Londonistan”, calling him “a national disgrace”

2022:  Khan’s office attributes rise in Islamophobic abuse against the major to hostility stoked during Trump’s presidency

July 2025 During a golfing trip to Scotland, Trump calls Khan “a nasty person”

Sept 2025 Trump blames Khan for London’s “stabbings and the dirt and the filth”.

Dec 2025 Trump suggests migrants got Khan elected, calls him a “horrible, vicious, disgusting mayor”

What is a Ponzi scheme?

A fraudulent investment operation where the scammer provides fake reports and generates returns for old investors through money paid by new investors, rather than through ligitimate business activities.

'Falling%20for%20Christmas'
%3Cp%3EDirector%3A%20Janeen%20Damian%3Cbr%3E%3Cbr%3EStars%3A%20Lindsay%20Lohan%2C%20Chord%20Overstreet%2C%20Jack%20Wagner%2C%20Aliana%20Lohan%3Cbr%3E%3Cbr%3ERating%3A%201%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

The specs

Engine: four-litre V6 and 3.5-litre V6 twin-turbo

Transmission: six-speed and 10-speed

Power: 271 and 409 horsepower

Torque: 385 and 650Nm

Price: from Dh229,900 to Dh355,000

Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

At Eternity’s Gate

Director: Julian Schnabel

Starring: Willem Dafoe, Oscar Isaacs, Mads Mikkelsen

Three stars

Tamkeen's offering
  • Option 1: 70% in year 1, 50% in year 2, 30% in year 3
  • Option 2: 50% across three years
  • Option 3: 30% across five years