If Britain’s leaders ventured into London’s West End during the day they would notice there are some tourists, but they are predominantly British or school parties from Europe.
If Rishi Sunak or for that matter, Jeremy Hunt, walked the pavements of the shopping districts of Covent Garden, Bond Street, Oxford Street and Knightsbridge, they would find the high-end designer shops largely empty.
At night, the theatres and restaurants are busy, but not as much as they were pre-pandemic. Noticeably absent or not in the same numbers, are the foreign tourists.
It’s not confined to London. If Sunak and Hunt were to go to the Lake District, where I was recently, they would again notice plenty of domestic visitors but few from overseas. Luxury hotels and restaurants are struggling to attract their staple, big-spending Americans and other international guests.
It does not take a genius to work out what is going on, especially as reports circulate that other parts of the world that rely on the tourist trade are reporting healthy traffic. In 2021, the Treasury scrapped the scheme that had been around for ages allowing foreign visitors to shop tax-free. The claim was that it was a “costly relief which does not benefit the whole of GB equally”.
So, tourists are charged 20 per cent VAT, the same as a Briton. This, while other countries offer tax-free shopping to attract tourists. The tax reclaim counter at Abu Dhabi International Airport was doing a brisk trade when I passed through there two weeks ago. The Louvre in Abu Dhabi was busy the afternoon I toured, with groups of visitors from abroad — not something you would find repeated if you currently looked in on London’s equivalent National or Tate galleries.
The amount the tax brings into the Exchequer is £2 billion a year. It’s a tiny amount when set against the gigantic public purse. Still, every little helps and all that.
But consider this: research by Oxford Economics estimates that scrapping the charge and reintroducing tax-free shopping for tourists would boost GDP by £4.1 billion and support 78,000 jobs. There would, in fact, be a net gain to the Treasury of at least £350 million a year.
To say the business community that relies on overseas visitors is frustrated is an understatement. They’re furious. Now, 68 leaders of organisations including British Airways, Mulberry, the Royal Opera House, Fortnum & Mason and Bicester Village, the designer shops outlet, have signed a joint letter to Hunt pleading for a rethink.
The letter, published in the Daily Mail and organised by hotelier Sir Rocco Forte, calls the decision to abandon the tax-free incentive “puzzling” and “ill-timed”.
“The impact of its removal is already being seen,” they write. “It was depressing to witness a great British brand like Mulberry closing its doors of one of its flagship stores as a direct result of the loss of tax-free shopping as it did earlier this year.”
Their letter cites new research from tax-free shopping experts Global Blue. They say: “The UK is losing out on the significant spending by international travellers as global travel resumes. Paris, Madrid and Milan can’t believe their luck as the UK’s lack of tax-free shopping drives travellers to spend in Europe.”
Gucci is among 11 companies to urge the British government to abandon plans to end tax-free shopping in the UK. Getty
The 68 chiefs say: “Data covering international visitors from the USA, Gulf Cooperation Council and South-East Asia regions from a sample of 11 leading retailers shows that whilst the UK has recovered post-pandemic to 64 per cent of 2019 levels of consumer spending, Italy is at 79 per cent, Spain at 84 per cent and France, which is benefiting most from the UK Government’s decision to remove tax-free shopping has recovered to 108 per cent.”
What’s also happening is that UK residents “are starting to take advantage of tax-free shopping in Europe, with £450 million disappearing from high streets”.
They describe the reimposition of the tax as “an extraordinary own goal for the UK”.
Reintroducing tax-free shopping, says Forte, would be an “easy win” for ministers. “Jeremy Hunt blithely talks about growth, and is doing nothing to help growth at the present time. This would help growth significantly and it certainly has no impact on inflation. There’s no reason not to do it.”
Well, there is of course, which is that the Chancellor who took the decision to ditch tax-free was one Rishi Sunak. He would be eating humble pie if only two years later he made an about-turn.
His reasoning, though, for making the move in the first place did not stand up to scrutiny. It’s true that not all of the UK benefited equally from the tourist trade, but since when did we have a rule that says tax benefits must apply to all? Our tax system contains numerous examples of sectional advantages.
At the same time, surely the tourist industry is an enormous winner for the whole country. There are the hotspots that attract overseas visitors, such as London, York, Bath, Stratford, the Lake District. But to say they are drawn to just those places is plain wrong. The entire nation is set up like one giant heritage site. Everywhere you go there are museums and galleries and historic locations aimed at appealing to sightseers from anywhere, not only from the UK.
It’s one of the few activities that Britain does best and in which it can claim to be a world leader. Taxing people who want to come and spend their money here and delight in our glorious past and colourful traditions and customs is a cast iron case of cutting our nose off to spite our face. For the sake of £2 billion, it’s nonsensical.
This would be the ideal moment for Sunak to relent. We’re about to embark on a display of pageantry, the like of which has not been witnessed for 70 years. King Charles’s coronation will be a scaled-down version of his mother’s ceremony, but it will be spectacular nevertheless. The world will be watching and they could also be visiting and sharing in the occasion, and at a time, when the economy is fragile, spending their cash and critically, underpinning jobs.
Once the coronation is over, we go into the Summer Season, the like of which is also uniquely British and a traditional magnet for international tourists.
Come on Rishi, swallow your pride. You know it makes sense.
Red flags
Promises of high, fixed or 'guaranteed' returns.
Unregulated structured products or complex investments often used to bypass traditional safeguards.
Lack of clear information, vague language, no access to audited financials.
Overseas companies targeting investors in other jurisdictions - this can make legal recovery difficult.
'The Coddling of the American Mind: How Good Intentions and Bad Ideas are Setting up a Generation for Failure'
Greg Lukianoff and Jonathan Haidt, Penguin Randomhouse
BUNDESLIGA FIXTURES
Friday (all kick-offs UAE time)
Hertha Berlin v Union Berlin (10.30pm)
Saturday
Freiburg v Werder Bremen (5.30pm)
Paderborn v Hoffenheim (5.30pm)
Wolfsburg v Borussia Dortmund (5.30pm)
Borussia Monchengladbach v Bayer Leverkusen (5.30pm)
1. Henri Schoeman (RSA) 57:03
2. Mario Mola (ESP) 57:09
3. Vincent Luis (FRA) 57:25
4. Leo Bergere (FRA)57:34
5. Jacob Birtwhistle (AUS) 57:40
6. Joao Silva (POR) 57:45
7. Jonathan Brownlee (GBR) 57:56
8. Adrien Briffod (SUI) 57:57
9. Gustav Iden (NOR) 57:58
10. Richard Murray (RSA) 57:59
Seemar’s top six for the Dubai World Cup Carnival:
1. Reynaldothewizard
2. North America
3. Raven’s Corner
4. Hawkesbury
5. New Maharajah
6. Secret Ambition
PFA Team of the Year: David de Gea, Kyle Walker, Jan Vertonghen, Nicolas Otamendi, Marcos Alonso, David Silva, Kevin De Bruyne, Christian Eriksen, Harry Kane, Mohamed Salah, Sergio Aguero
Name: Peter Dicce
Title: Assistant dean of students and director of athletics
Favourite sport: soccer
Favourite team: Bayern Munich
Favourite player: Franz Beckenbauer
Favourite activity in Abu Dhabi: scuba diving in the Northern Emirates
'Unrivaled: Why America Will Remain the World’s Sole Superpower'
Michael Beckley, Cornell Press
What should do investors do now?
What does the S&P 500's new all-time high mean for the average investor?
Should I be euphoric?
No. It's fine to be pleased about hearty returns on your investments. But it's not a good idea to tie your emotions closely to the ups and downs of the stock market. You'll get tired fast. This market moment comes on the heels of last year's nosedive. And it's not the first or last time the stock market will make a dramatic move.
So what happened?
It's more about what happened last year. Many of the concerns that triggered that plunge towards the end of last have largely been quelled. The US and China are slowly moving toward a trade agreement. The Federal Reserve has indicated it likely will not raise rates at all in 2019 after seven recent increases. And those changes, along with some strong earnings reports and broader healthy economic indicators, have fueled some optimism in stock markets.
"The panic in the fourth quarter was based mostly on fears," says Brent Schutte, chief investment strategist for Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. "The fundamentals have mostly held up, while the fears have gone away and the fears were based mostly on emotion."
Should I buy? Should I sell?
Maybe. It depends on what your long-term investment plan is. The best advice is usually the same no matter the day — determine your financial goals, make a plan to reach them and stick to it.
"I would encourage (investors) not to overreact to highs, just as I would encourage them not to overreact to the lows of December," Mr Schutte says.
All the same, there are some situations in which you should consider taking action. If you think you can't live through another low like last year, the time to get out is now. If the balance of assets in your portfolio is out of whack thanks to the rise of the stock market, make adjustments. And if you need your money in the next five to 10 years, it shouldn't be in stocks anyhow. But for most people, it's also a good time to just leave things be.
Resist the urge to abandon the diversification of your portfolio, Mr Schutte cautions. It may be tempting to shed other investments that aren't performing as well, such as some international stocks, but diversification is designed to help steady your performance over time.
Will the rally last?
No one knows for sure. But David Bailin, chief investment officer at Citi Private Bank, expects the US market could move up 5 per cent to 7 per cent more over the next nine to 12 months, provided the Fed doesn't raise rates and earnings growth exceeds current expectations. We are in a late cycle market, a period when US equities have historically done very well, but volatility also rises, he says.
"This phase can last six months to several years, but it's important clients remain invested and not try to prematurely position for a contraction of the market," Mr Bailin says. "Doing so would risk missing out on important portfolio returns."
The lowdown
Badla
Rating: 2.5/5
Produced by: Red Chillies, Azure Entertainment
Director: Sujoy Ghosh
Cast: Amitabh Bachchan, Taapsee Pannu, Amrita Singh, Tony Luke
This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.
Benefits of first-time home buyers' scheme
Priority access to new homes from participating developers
Discounts on sales price of off-plan units
Flexible payment plans from developers
Mortgages with better interest rates, faster approval times and reduced fees
DLD registration fee can be paid through banks or credit cards at zero interest rates
Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer