At this time of year, London is heaving with wealthy foreigners. You could be forgiven for supposing that the UK capital is a major global draw, offering that unique combination of history, pageantry and charm as well as world-leading restaurants, shops, galleries and theatre.
To an extent that is true. But take another look in a few weeks’ time and the picture will most likely prove different.
The high-net worths are currently in London all right, but only temporarily. They’re attracted by the Summer Season, the quintessentially English period that begins with the Chelsea Flower Show and includes horse racing at Royal Ascot and tennis at Wimbledon. Once those top-drawer international magnets are over, many of them will disappear.
In the past, that soft power, which ‘the Season’ vividly symbolises and extends right across the arts and culture, and takes in education, the legal system, architecture, fashion, sport, the City and business, would be enough to persuade a substantial number to settle in Britain. This year, the figures tell another story: members of the super-rich are leaving and not being replaced.
Apocryphal evidence abounds, with tales of empty high-end tables, struggling fee-paying schools and darkened prime residential streets.
Hard facts are more difficult to ascertain. One analysis by Bloomberg puts the number of company directors who have left at 4,400 in the past year. Examination of Companies House filings shows departures were 75 per cent higher in April than in the same month last year. The worst-affected sectors were finance, insurance and property, all popular with wealthy foreigners or as they are known in the UK, the ‘non-doms’ – those who qualify for favourable tax treatment.
Rachel Reeves, the Chancellor, wishes to end that privilege and make their worldwide assets including those held in trusts, liable to UK inheritance tax. Since her intention was announced there has been a rush for the exit. An Oxford Economics survey found that 60 per cent of tax advisers expect more than 40 per cent of their non-dom clients to leave within two years of Reeves ending their beneficial status. With them will go their families, close staff and their money.
According to the Henley Private Wealth Migration Report 2025, Britain is estimated to lose a record 16,500 millionaires this year — more than double the projected net outflow from China, which has held the top spot every year for the past decade. This marks the highest total from any country since wealth adviser Henley & Partners and global wealth intelligence firm New World Wealth began tracking the data 10 years ago.
That finding is heavily disputed by campaigners Tax Justice Network. They point out that Henley, which obtains its income from advising the wealthy, has a vested interest in advancing this claim. The firm made the same claim last year of an "exodus" – which was duly repeated everywhere and is again this year – and there was no such thing: the 16,500 represent only 0.63 per cent of the UK’s millionaire population, which hardly counts as an exodus.
They add that taking Henley’s own estimates at face value, this UK move is smaller than India’s supposed 0.77 per cent (6,500) migration of its millionaire population in 2023, and South Africa’s supposed 0.66 per cent (600) in 2024.
It is unarguable that most millionaires want to stay put, in the country where they were raised, where they made their fortune and they call home. But even if the proportion relocating is tiny, the actual number is sufficiently great enough – Henley projects a record 142,000 this year, set to rise to 165,000 in 2026 - to persuade countries to do their level best to woo them.
Topping the list of destinations are UAE, US, Italy, Switzerland and Saudi Arabia. It’s no coincidence that they are all locations that welcome the overseas wealthy and offer them various benefits. In that sense the super-rich have never had it so good. Thanks to technology and quicker transport links they can work from pretty much anywhere. In today’s competitive world, they are able to choose from a buffet of golden visas and low tax rates. Why do they matter so much, why do nations seek to persuade them? Money is the answer.
While they may not be adding significantly to the public purse by direct means, the contribution they make indirectly is substantial. Henley’s study is not wrong in this respect. They provide a boost across an array of areas:
- Forex revenue: Migrating millionaires are a vital source of forex revenue as they tend to bring wealth with them when they move to a new country. A migrant bringing $10 million is equivalent to a country generating $10 million in export revenue, as both transactions generate $10 million of forex revenue for the country.
- New business: Many relocating high-net-worth individuals (about 15 per cent) are entrepreneurs and company founders, who often start businesses in their new country, creating local jobs. This percentage rises to more than 60 per cent for centi-millionaires and billionaires.
- Stock markets: Millionaires supply and support the local stock market through their equity investments. Also, some high-net-worth business owners may publicly list their companies on the local stock exchange.
- Job creation: High-net worths indirectly support thousands of jobs in those sectors where they spend their cash, in hotels, restaurants, retail, fashion, property and services.
- Multiplier effect: Inward wealth migration can have a multiplier effect on wealth growth due to the spillover effect on asset prices. So 100 rich people moving to a country can result in its high-net-worth population increasing by well over 200 as it pushes local asset prices up and therefore drives up the wealth of locals living in that country.
- Boosts middle-class: The businesses started by millionaires and billionaires have a significant positive spillover effect on the middle-class as they create large numbers of well-paying jobs in their base country. Microsoft, say, has created thousands of jobs in the US and has also pushed America’s dominance in global tech for more than 30 years.
The not-so-rooted rich are desired and increasingly fought over. That is why Reeves is said to be having second thoughts about scrapping the UK’s non-dom tax benefits. The Treasury is not denying the speculation that a U-turn is under consideration: "The government will continue to work with stakeholders to ensure the new regime is internationally competitive and continues to focus on attracting the best talent and investment in the UK."
I would absolutely stay and it’s not about protecting my money from the tax man
Magda Wierzycka,
billionaire
It is odd that Reeves and her colleagues did not anticipate what would occur. They seemingly did not realise that non-doms would quit, or choose not to live in the UK. They did not appreciate that in today’s world, rich people can move freely and easily, and work from anywhere. Clearly, they had not read reports such as the one from Henley.
Either they thought that wealthy foreigners would ignore the effect on their finances, or they simply did not care and allowed political ideology to prevail.
The question now is, will a reversal be enough? Already, South Africa’s richest self-made woman Magda Wierzycka, the billionaire behind UK venture capital fund Braavos, has said she will shelve plans to leave should the Chancellor ditch the inheritance tax sweep. "I would absolutely stay and it’s not about protecting my money from the tax man. I pay all my taxes, but South Africa has foreign exchange controls and I don’t know whether [my estate] would be able to pay the [inheritance tax] bill under the current rules."
The problem for Reeves and her boss, Keir Starmer, is that even if they change their minds, the tone has been set. The suspicion is that this Labour government (as opposed to that of Tony Blair which famously declared it did) cannot abide well-off people. The targeting of non-doms joined VAT on private schools, refusal to abolish the ‘tourist tax’, removal of the winter fuel allowance, also hitting farmers with inheritance tax and other measures, all aimed at the more advantaged end of society.
It may prove hard to dislodge that view and comparisons will inevitably be made with nations that do not carry that ideological baggage. The hope must be that UK soft power will prevail, departures will cease and many of those who left will return. Wimbledon, set to begin on June 30, has never been so important.
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
More from Neighbourhood Watch:
LAST-16 FIXTURES
Sunday, January 20
3pm: Jordan v Vietnam at Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
6pm: Thailand v China at Hazza bin Zayed Stadium, Al Ain
9pm: Iran v Oman at Mohamed bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Monday, January 21
3pm: Japan v Saudi Arabia at Sharjah Stadium
6pm: Australia v Uzbekistan at Khalifa bin Zayed Stadium, Al Ain
9pm: UAE v Kyrgyzstan at Zayed Sports City Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Tuesday, January 22
5pm: South Korea v Bahrain at Rashid Stadium, Dubai
8pm: Qatar v Iraq at Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Navdeep Suri, India's Ambassador to the UAE
There has been a longstanding need from the Indian community to have a religious premises where they can practise their beliefs. Currently there is a very, very small temple in Bur Dubai and the community has outgrown this. So this will be a major temple and open to all denominations and a place should reflect India’s diversity.
It fits so well into the UAE’s own commitment to tolerance and pluralism and coming in the year of tolerance gives it that extra dimension.
What we will see on April 20 is the foundation ceremony and we expect a pretty broad cross section of the Indian community to be present, both from the UAE and abroad. The Hindu group that is building the temple will have their holiest leader attending – and we expect very senior representation from the leadership of the UAE.
When the designs were taken to the leadership, there were two clear options. There was a New Jersey model with a rectangular structure with the temple recessed inside so it was not too visible from the outside and another was the Neasden temple in London with the spires in its classical shape. And they said: look we said we wanted a temple so it should look like a temple. So this should be a classical style temple in all its glory.
It is beautifully located - 30 minutes outside of Abu Dhabi and barely 45 minutes to Dubai so it serves the needs of both communities.
This is going to be the big temple where I expect people to come from across the country at major festivals and occasions.
It is hugely important – it will take a couple of years to complete given the scale. It is going to be remarkable and will contribute something not just to the landscape in terms of visual architecture but also to the ethos. Here will be a real representation of UAE’s pluralism.
Founders: Abdulmajeed Alsukhan, Turki Bin Zarah and Abdulmohsen Albabtain.
Based: Riyadh
Offices: UAE, Vietnam and Germany
Founded: September, 2020
Number of employees: 70
Sector: FinTech, online payment solutions
Funding to date: $116m in two funding rounds
Investors: Checkout.com, Impact46, Vision Ventures, Wealth Well, Seedra, Khwarizmi, Hala Ventures, Nama Ventures and family offices
UAE%20PREMIERSHIP
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Earth under attack: Cosmic impacts throughout history
- 4.5 billion years ago: Mars-sized object smashes into the newly-formed Earth, creating debris that coalesces to form the Moon
- 66 million years ago: 10km-wide asteroid crashes into the Gulf of Mexico, wiping out over 70 per cent of living species – including the dinosaurs.
- 50,000 years ago: 50m-wide iron meteor crashes in Arizona with the violence of 10 megatonne hydrogen bomb, creating the famous 1.2km-wide Barringer Crater
- 1490: Meteor storm over Shansi Province, north-east China when large stones “fell like rain”, reportedly leading to thousands of deaths.
- 1908: 100-metre meteor from the Taurid Complex explodes near the Tunguska river in Siberia with the force of 1,000 Hiroshima-type bombs, devastating 2,000 square kilometres of forest.
- 1998: Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 breaks apart and crashes into Jupiter in series of impacts that would have annihilated life on Earth.
-2013: 10,000-tonne meteor burns up over the southern Urals region of Russia, releasing a pressure blast and flash that left over 1600 people injured.
Timeline
2012-2015
The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East
May 2017
The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts
September 2021
Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act
October 2021
Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence
December 2024
Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group
May 2025
The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan
July 2025
The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan
August 2025
Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision
October 2025
Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange
November 2025
180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Call of Duty: Black Ops 6
Developer: Treyarch, Raven Software
Publisher: Activision
Console: PlayStation 4 & 5, Windows, Xbox One & Series X/S
Rating: 3.5/5
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Our legal advisor
Ahmad El Sayed is Senior Associate at Charles Russell Speechlys, a law firm headquartered in London with offices in the UK, Europe, the Middle East and Hong Kong.
Experience: Commercial litigator who has assisted clients with overseas judgments before UAE courts. His specialties are cases related to banking, real estate, shareholder disputes, company liquidations and criminal matters as well as employment related litigation.
Education: Sagesse University, Beirut, Lebanon, in 2005.
Zombieland: Double Tap
Director: Ruben Fleischer
Stars: Woody Harrelson, Jesse Eisenberg, Emma Stone
Four out of five stars
UAE rugby in numbers
5 - Year sponsorship deal between Hesco and Jebel Ali Dragons
700 - Dubai Hurricanes had more than 700 playing members last season between their mini and youth, men's and women's teams
Dh600,000 - Dubai Exiles' budget for pitch and court hire next season, for their rugby, netball and cricket teams
Dh1.8m - Dubai Hurricanes' overall budget for next season
Dh2.8m - Dubai Exiles’ overall budget for next season
TV: World Cup Qualifier 2018 matches will be aired on on OSN Sports HD Cricket channel
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Sole survivors
- Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
- George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
- Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
- Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
UAE v Gibraltar
What: International friendly
When: 7pm kick off
Where: Rugby Park, Dubai Sports City
Admission: Free
Online: The match will be broadcast live on Dubai Exiles’ Facebook page
UAE squad: Lucas Waddington (Dubai Exiles), Gio Fourie (Exiles), Craig Nutt (Abu Dhabi Harlequins), Phil Brady (Harlequins), Daniel Perry (Dubai Hurricanes), Esekaia Dranibota (Harlequins), Matt Mills (Exiles), Jaen Botes (Exiles), Kristian Stinson (Exiles), Murray Reason (Abu Dhabi Saracens), Dave Knight (Hurricanes), Ross Samson (Jebel Ali Dragons), DuRandt Gerber (Exiles), Saki Naisau (Dragons), Andrew Powell (Hurricanes), Emosi Vacanau (Harlequins), Niko Volavola (Dragons), Matt Richards (Dragons), Luke Stevenson (Harlequins), Josh Ives (Dubai Sports City Eagles), Sean Stevens (Saracens), Thinus Steyn (Exiles)