Starmer as 'crackdown Keir' needs to make sure government works well under him


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August 12, 2024

The entry of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer into No 10 Downing Street and US Vice President Kamala Harris at the top of the US presidential ticket means the 2024 election outcomes could define this as the year of the prosecutor.

Both have acted as overseers of criminal law in the past.

Just over a month after Mr Starmer became British Prime Minister, he has reprised his prosecutor credentials to take on nationwide protests.

The events of the past two weeks are now set to define his premiership and the kind of UK he will eventually hand on.

Mass riots with an ugly, prejudiced undertow led to many countries, including the UAE, warning their citizens against travel to the UK. On the world stage the surge in criminality presented a face of the country as divided and self-harming.

Parallels were made with looting and urban chaos in 2011 when former British prime minister David Cameron was not long in office. At a political level, the two events were comparable because they tested the character of the new team in extremis.

As it happens, Mr Starmer had his own playbook this time. Twelve years earlier he had mobilised his prosecutor teams to quickly punish the offenders with 24-hour courts. These have been revived.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer views CCTV screens at Lambeth police headquarters in London. Getty Images
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer views CCTV screens at Lambeth police headquarters in London. Getty Images

The case last week of the 69-year-old man given almost three years in prison after he lost self-control to take part in a riot quickly became an example to others of the pointless violence.

Judge Andrew Menary, in sentencing the man, said it was still not clear what the protesters were protesting about when they came onto the streets after the murder of children in Southport two weeks ago.

King Charles III paid tribute to those who stood against the “aggression and criminality of the few”.

Right-wing messages powering the 2024 protests (“give us our country back”) were the opposite of the social justice youth and gangs-led revolt in 2011.

The fringe politics that contested the streets of the UK last week are also a wellspring of the distrust in leadership that social media tends to actively promote

Mr Starmer knows the outcome of the UK general election makes this challenge from the hardest fringes of the right the most potent politics he faces over the coming years.

The July election came within a whisker of destroying the Conservative party. It has little now but vapours to run on. It is deeply split over the emergence of Nigel Farage's Reform UK as a parliamentary party on its flank.

One of the leading contenders to succeed Rishi Sunak, Robert Jenrick, has already called for the phrase "Allahu Akbar” (or God is the greatest) to be banned after counter-demonstrations became the focus of the right-wing press.

The sobriquet of the Conservatives as "the stupid party" is not always empty political rhetoric. There is a tradition of leading figures behaving deliberately irresponsibly to pander to the base. It is an important element of its ability to restore its mandate in times of trouble. For Mr Jenrick and other contenders, it is the only obvious strategy. The problem is the last government tried that approach to the point of disaster.

But there are other dangers at the current juncture. For Mr Starmer, there are internal political dangers he must decide about. A letter last week from a senior Labour backbencher made a public call on the Prime Minister to hold formal talks with the Muslim Council of Britain (MCB), a group that has been more or less excluded from officials since the Gordon Brown premiership.

Taking the opportunity for re-entry into the bureaucracy has since been a prime goal of the MCB, which has well-documented roots in the Muslim Brotherhood.

The potential opening to barge back in is boosted by a weakness at the heart of Labour's massive majority.

The election saw some leading members of Mr Starmer’s team returned with diminished majorities, challenged by independents over its Gaza policies. Defraying this electoral threat next time round is uppermost for many, including no doubt, Jess Philips, a home office minister who (unfairly) came under fire last week for appearing to take a two-tier response to violence from the rioters compared to the counter-demonstrators.

For Mr Starmer, the prosecutor PM, the way forward is fairly obvious, assuming that the worst of the violence has now been seen.

The Labour party has a tradition of drastic law and order policy. Having not revealed much about his approach in this sphere in the manifesto, he can now pivot to a “crackdown Keir” and control his government on its lines. New and pliant MPs can be corralled behind this approach.

There is a second front he appears to be launching as well. Good politics can be built around the idea that the government is an active player representing the people's interest against the ugly fallouts of social media.

Mr Starmer can project the UK government as a fighter against the big (and foreign) unaccountable corporations that are shaping lives in ways that appear to be reckless or actively damaging. Researchers at the British not-for-profit organisation Centre for Countering Digital Hate estimate that 10 accounts reinstated by Elon Musk on X earned $19 million after reaching 2.5 billion tweet impressions – money for their poison, so to speak.

It is important to note that Mr Starmer has already detached the government from the Sunak-era cultivation of AI with a process of self-regulation.

Funds had been cut from the Sunak AI team and key members had left. It is now up to the UK to see if it can pioneer a regulatory framework for AI and social media that is tough, provides meaningful wages and financial penalties – and that retains the UK's foothold as a base for the development of the industry.

It does not hurt Mr Starmer that he has the wrath of Elon Musk as a foil to magnify his announcements and bolster his relevance.

The fringe politics that contested the streets of the UK last week are also a wellspring of the distrust in leadership that social media tends to actively promote

With his sights set on a 10-year change government, Mr Starmer clearly wants to show he can make his government work. In the core area of making policing work, the prisons function as they should, and proving that he can balance community interests, he has now got a clear definition of where to shine the spotlight of his leadership.

The fringe politics that contested the streets of the UK last week are also a wellspring of the distrust in leadership that social media tends to actively promote.

The idea that vast sums of money are constantly poured into a state that doesn't work for its end users is the second wave of this social media-driven disillusionment.

Mr Starmer the prosecutor can mount his case against all of this with reforms that make a difference to how people perceive the UK.

And in the US, that to my mind has not really recovered from the Antifa/Portland demonstrations of 2020, messaging of this sort from Ms Harris would act as an antidote to Donald Trump's attacks that are imminent en route to the November presidential elections.

If she does follow Mr Starmer with a win, Ms Harris, like the British Prime Minister, will need to bring new thinking to the issue of migration through porous borders.

For all the revulsion at their violence and rhetoric, grievances at the fringes must also be addressed with a firm hand.

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Scores

Day 2

New Zealand 153 & 56-1
Pakistan 227

New Zealand trail by 18 runs with nine wickets remaining

Scores:

Day 4

England 290 & 346
Sri Lanka 336 & 226-7 (target 301)

Sri Lanka require another 75 runs with three wickets remaining

The specs

Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8
Power: 620hp from 5,750-7,500rpm
Torque: 760Nm from 3,000-5,750rpm
Transmission: Eight-speed dual-clutch auto
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh1.05 million ($286,000)

SANCTIONED
  • Kirill Shamalov, Russia's youngest billionaire and previously married to Putin's daughter Katarina
  • Petr Fradkov, head of recently sanctioned Promsvyazbank and son of former head of Russian Foreign Intelligence, the FSB. 
  • Denis Bortnikov, Deputy President of Russia's largest bank VTB. He is the son of Alexander Bortnikov, head of the FSB which was responsible for the poisoning of political activist Alexey Navalny in August 2020 with banned chemical agent novichok.  
  • Yury Slyusar, director of United Aircraft Corporation, a major aircraft manufacturer for the Russian military.
  • Elena Aleksandrovna Georgieva, chair of the board of Novikombank, a state-owned defence conglomerate.
While you're here
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
UAE tour of Zimbabwe

All matches in Bulawayo
Friday, Sept 26 – UAE won by 36 runs
Sunday, Sept 28 – Second ODI
Tuesday, Sept 30 – Third ODI
Thursday, Oct 2 – Fourth ODI
Sunday, Oct 5 – First T20I
Monday, Oct 6 – Second T20I

FIXTURES

Thu Mar 15 – West Indies v Afghanistan, UAE v Scotland
Fri Mar 16 – Ireland v Zimbabwe
Sun Mar 18 – Ireland v Scotland
Mon Mar 19 – West Indies v Zimbabwe
Tue Mar 20 – UAE v Afghanistan
Wed Mar 21 – West Indies v Scotland
Thu Mar 22 – UAE v Zimbabwe
Fri Mar 23 – Ireland v Afghanistan

The top two teams qualify for the World Cup

Classification matches 
The top-placed side out of Papua New Guinea, Hong Kong or Nepal will be granted one-day international status. UAE and Scotland have already won ODI status, having qualified for the Super Six.

Thu Mar 15 – Netherlands v Hong Kong, PNG v Nepal
Sat Mar 17 – 7th-8th place playoff, 9th-10th place play-off

TO A LAND UNKNOWN

Director: Mahdi Fleifel

Starring: Mahmoud Bakri, Aram Sabbah, Mohammad Alsurafa

Rating: 4.5/5

Company%20profile
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How to protect yourself when air quality drops

Install an air filter in your home.

Close your windows and turn on the AC.

Shower or bath after being outside.

Wear a face mask.

Stay indoors when conditions are particularly poor.

If driving, turn your engine off when stationary.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Tamkeen's offering
  • Option 1: 70% in year 1, 50% in year 2, 30% in year 3
  • Option 2: 50% across three years
  • Option 3: 30% across five years 
TEAMS

US Team
Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth
Justin Thomas, Daniel Berger
Brooks Koepka, Rickie Fowler
Kevin Kisner, Patrick Reed
Matt Kuchar, Kevin Chappell
Charley Hoffman*, Phil Mickelson*

International Team
Hideki Matsuyama, Jason Day 
Adam Scott, Louis Oosthuizen
Marc Leishman, Charl Schwartzel
Branden Grace, Si Woo Kim
Jhonattan Vegas, Adam Hadwin
Emiliano Grillo*, Anirban Lahiri*

denotes captain's picks

 

 

MATCH INFO

Syria v Australia
2018 World Cup qualifying: Asia fourth round play-off first leg
Venue: Hang Jebat Stadium (Malacca, Malayisa)
Kick-off: Thursday, 4.30pm (UAE)
Watch: beIN Sports HD

* Second leg in Australia scheduled for October 10

Traces%20of%20Enayat
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Who's who in Yemen conflict

Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government

Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council

Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south

Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory

Pros%20and%20cons%20of%20BNPL
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Bio

Age: 25

Town: Al Diqdaqah – Ras Al Khaimah

Education: Bachelors degree in mechanical engineering

Favourite colour: White

Favourite place in the UAE: Downtown Dubai

Favourite book: A Life in Administration by Ghazi Al Gosaibi.

First owned baking book: How to Be a Domestic Goddess by Nigella Lawson.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

Sunday's fixtures
  • Bournemouth v Southampton, 5.30pm
  • Manchester City v West Ham United, 8pm
The specs

Price, base / as tested Dh12 million

Engine 8.0-litre quad-turbo, W16

Gearbox seven-speed dual clutch auto

Power 1479 @ 6,700rpm

Torque 1600Nm @ 2,000rpm 0-100kph: 2.6 seconds 0-200kph: 6.1 seconds

Top speed 420 kph (governed)

Fuel economy, combined 35.2L / 100km (est)

Company%20profile
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Dust and sand storms compared

Sand storm

  • Particle size: Larger, heavier sand grains
  • Visibility: Often dramatic with thick "walls" of sand
  • Duration: Short-lived, typically localised
  • Travel distance: Limited 
  • Source: Open desert areas with strong winds

Dust storm

  • Particle size: Much finer, lightweight particles
  • Visibility: Hazy skies but less intense
  • Duration: Can linger for days
  • Travel distance: Long-range, up to thousands of kilometres
  • Source: Can be carried from distant regions
Sole survivors
  • Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
  • George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
  • Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
  • Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
MATCH INFO

Chelsea 3 (Abraham 11', 17', 74')

Luton Town 1 (Clark 30')

Man of the match Abraham (Chelsea)

WHAT%20MACRO%20FACTORS%20ARE%20IMPACTING%20META%20TECH%20MARKETS%3F
%3Cp%3E%E2%80%A2%20Looming%20global%20slowdown%20and%20recession%20in%20key%20economies%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%E2%80%A2%20Russia-Ukraine%20war%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%E2%80%A2%20Interest%20rate%20hikes%20and%20the%20rising%20cost%20of%20debt%20servicing%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%E2%80%A2%20Oil%20price%20volatility%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%E2%80%A2%20Persisting%20inflationary%20pressures%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%E2%80%A2%20Exchange%20rate%20fluctuations%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%E2%80%A2%20Shortage%20of%20labour%2Fskills%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%E2%80%A2%20A%20resurgence%20of%20Covid%3F%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Results

6pm: Dubai Trophy – Conditions (TB) $100,000 (Turf) 1,200m 

Winner: Silent Speech, William Buick (jockey), Charlie Appleby
(trainer) 

6.35pm: Jumeirah Derby Trial – Conditions (TB) $60,000 (T)
1,800m 

Winner: Island Falcon, Frankie Dettori, Saeed bin Suroor 

7.10pm: UAE 2000 Guineas Trial – Conditions (TB) $60,000 (Dirt)
1,400m 

Winner: Rawy, Mickael Barzalona, Salem bin Ghadayer 

7.45pm: Al Rashidiya – Group 2 (TB) $180,000 (T) 1,800m 

Winner: Desert Fire, Hector Crouch, Saeed bin Suroor 

8.20pm: Al Fahidi Fort – Group 2 (TB) $180,000 (T) 1,400m 

Winner: Naval Crown, William Buick, Charlie Appleby 

8.55pm: Dubawi Stakes – Group 3 (TB) $150,000 (D) 1,200m 

Winner: Al Tariq, Pat Dobbs, Doug Watsons 

9.30pm: Aliyah – Rated Conditions (TB) $80,000 (D) 2,000m 

Winner: Dubai Icon, Patrick Cosgrave, Saeed bin Suroor  

Infiniti QX80 specs

Engine: twin-turbocharged 3.5-liter V6

Power: 450hp

Torque: 700Nm

Price: From Dh450,000, Autograph model from Dh510,000

Available: Now

BMW M5 specs

Engine: 4.4-litre twin-turbo V-8 petrol enging with additional electric motor

Power: 727hp

Torque: 1,000Nm

Transmission: 8-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 10.6L/100km

On sale: Now

Price: From Dh650,000

Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
  • 600-seat auditorium
  • Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
  • An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
  • Specialist robotics and science laboratories
  • AR and VR-enabled learning centres
  • Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
Updated: August 13, 2024, 1:54 PM