Every few days another sore in the global economy is exposed: inflation rose to a 40-year high in the UK on Wednesday. The US Federal Reserve bumped its target interest rate up by three quarters of a point last week. Parts of Europe are braced for a summer of industrial action, as people protest against high prices and stretched pay packets. In this region, Lebanon, already beset by political problems and stalemate, reported an inflation that reached 211 per cent in May. If Lebanon is an extreme example, inflation is a clear and present danger across the world.
The markets are also spooked – stumbling and then tumbling in the early months of the year. Gold, a traditional safe haven asset, has endured an equally rough ride in 2022. Cryptos, the much-talked about newer asset class, have dipped by so much that our money pages were prompted to ask this week whether Bitcoin was in a death spiral. Those who used to fear missing out on the crypto-wave of huge profits that was supposedly there for the taking now wonder if they should hold or fold. There are many sore heads watching the sea of red evident in digital portfolios.
The benefits of teaching financial literacy are many
This is a moment of searing complexity and potential uncertainty for every one of us. And how you feel about the dynamics of the world economy will depend on your personal circumstances and, probably, who you lean on for advice.
Over the past few years there has been greater focus on improving financial literacy both here and elsewhere. Earlier this year, for instance, a major bank and a non-profit introduced a programme to help young people save and budget. There are plenty of other examples of this kind of initiative.
The benefits of teaching financial literacy are many. These schemes are empowering, helping people to figure out the money that flows towards them, how they use that money and, hopefully, they will instil a better understanding of personal attitudes to debt, saving, investment and well-being. Statistics suggest schemes like this are urgently needed. A survey conducted by Visa among people under 25 found that almost half were not ready to manage their own money.
But how do you teach financial literacy in this particular moment and are those lessons really going to be valuable ones right now?
Perhaps, the answer is most of us need to do better far beyond these courses and initiatives.
Very few of us talk honestly and openly about money. Instead, we tend to obfuscate. We grow up with neat phrases like “the best things in life are free” or reminders to “look after the pennies” so the bigger sums will mind themselves, or we are told that “cash is king” even as inflation eats away its value or even that “money can’t buy you happiness”.
The financial institutions we intersect with also need to do better. One of the other homespun bits of advice that most of us will have received at some stage in our life is to “read the small print” before we sign a document to borrow money or invest our savings, putting the onus on the customer to discover any downsides rather than on the institution to articulate the terms of the agreement. If the financial world was a little more straightforward, maybe customers would make fewer mistakes. Financial arrangements too often codify no-detriment to the institution in the event of their investment recommendations not working out.
Indebtedness is also a complex issue. Sadly, debt is mostly hidden and wrapped in shame and anxiety. In our taboo-smashing world, debt remains as a subject that is rarely discussed. Not all debt is bad, of course, especially if used for personal improvement via education or to purchase a property that will increase in value.
Most of us fear being judged for the wrong turns we make in our financial decisions or the debts we accrue when circumstances change or an unexpected bill disrupts the best laid plans. This organisation’s debt panel column has helped bring some of those conversations out, but some of the people who have sought its help do so only as a last resort.
Financial advisers will hammer home that all of us should have rainy day funds to cover these unexpected twists and turns of life, but that is of little comfort to anyone who may be finding it hard just to meet the demands of everyday expenditure. Some influencers on social media may also be overly weighed on the side of hot takes and easy money schemes.
It is a difficult landscape and there is no magic formula to "winning" in financial literacy. But if we want to be better at it – particularly at a time when predicting what happens next in the global economy is somewhere between a best guess and a fool’s errand – then we need to talk about the impulses that drive our spending and financial decisions. And we need to have more conversations about debt, ambition, budgeting and goals. Personal finance is too often wrapped in the opposite forces of silence, lecturing or incomprehensible jargon.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Du Football Champions
The fourth season of du Football Champions was launched at Gitex on Wednesday alongside the Middle East’s first sports-tech scouting platform.“du Talents”, which enables aspiring footballers to upload their profiles and highlights reels and communicate directly with coaches, is designed to extend the reach of the programme, which has already attracted more than 21,500 players in its first three years.
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Russia's Muslim Heartlands
Dominic Rubin, Oxford
Two-step truce
The UN-brokered ceasefire deal for Hodeidah will be implemented in two stages, with the first to be completed before the New Year begins, according to the Arab Coalition supporting the Yemeni government.
By midnight on December 31, the Houthi rebels will have to withdraw from the ports of Hodeidah, Ras Issa and Al Saqef, coalition officials told The National.
The second stage will be the complete withdrawal of all pro-government forces and rebels from Hodeidah city, to be completed by midnight on January 7.
The process is to be overseen by a Redeployment Co-ordination Committee (RCC) comprising UN monitors and representatives of the government and the rebels.
The agreement also calls the deployment of UN-supervised neutral forces in the city and the establishment of humanitarian corridors to ensure distribution of aid across the country.
TEACHERS' PAY - WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
Pay varies significantly depending on the school, its rating and the curriculum. Here's a rough guide as of January 2021:
- top end schools tend to pay Dh16,000-17,000 a month - plus a monthly housing allowance of up to Dh6,000. These tend to be British curriculum schools rated 'outstanding' or 'very good', followed by American schools
- average salary across curriculums and skill levels is about Dh10,000, recruiters say
- it is becoming more common for schools to provide accommodation, sometimes in an apartment block with other teachers, rather than hand teachers a cash housing allowance
- some strong performing schools have cut back on salaries since the pandemic began, sometimes offering Dh16,000 including the housing allowance, which reflects the slump in rental costs, and sheer demand for jobs
- maths and science teachers are most in demand and some schools will pay up to Dh3,000 more than other teachers in recognition of their technical skills
- at the other end of the market, teachers in some Indian schools, where fees are lower and competition among applicants is intense, can be paid as low as Dh3,000 per month
- in Indian schools, it has also become common for teachers to share residential accommodation, living in a block with colleagues
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Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Zayed Sustainability Prize
The President's Cake
Director: Hasan Hadi
Starring: Baneen Ahmad Nayyef, Waheed Thabet Khreibat, Sajad Mohamad Qasem
Rating: 4/5