The revelation that the key suspect in the killing of Sir David Amess, the Conservative MP who was stabbed to death during a meeting of local residents, had previously been referred to a deradicalisation programme has raised concerns about its effectiveness.
The suspect, 25-year-old Ali Harbi Ali, is said to have previously been referred to Prevent, the British government’s flagship counter-extremism programme.
While details of Mr Ali’s referral are as yet unclear, reports suggest he was in contact with officials working for Prevent as a 17-year-old, but fell out of touch with them soon afterwards.
It appears he was not considered a serious threat and after leaving the programme was no longer deemed a person of interest by Britain’s security services, so he did not feature on the UK’s counterterrorism watch list.
So the fact that Ali has been charged with the murder of Amess, who was stabbed to death as he conducted his weekly constituency meeting at a church hall, has inevitably led to concerns about Britain’s ability to tackle the threat posed by extremists in the country.
Successive British governments have been accused of adopting a confused approach in their dealings with extremists. On one level, Britain has been at the forefront of the international campaign against terrorist groups like Al Qaeda and ISIS. But in terms of domestic policy, authorities have demonstrated a more tolerant approach, allowing extremist activists linked to organisations such as the Muslim Brotherhood to operate freely.
It is now being suggested that the British authorities’ laissez-faire attitude towards these extremists may explain why Prevent, in common with other government-funded deradicalisation programmes, is failing to deal effectively with young British Muslims at risk of being radicalised.
Prevent’s recent history certainly does not make for happy reading. Time after time in recent years, it has transpired that individuals who have carried out deadly acts of terror in the UK have previously had contact with Prevent, only to go on to commit heinous crimes.
This was the case with Khairi Saadallah, who last year “executed” three men on a summer’s evening in a Reading park with single knife strikes to the head. Saadallah, 27, was given a whole-life jail sentence for his crimes when he pleaded guilty earlier this year.
Arguably the most chilling example of Prevent’s failure is the case of Usman Khan, who in 2019 strapped blades to his wrists before killing two Cambridge University students at an event in London Bridge that had been arranged to celebrate the success of deradicalisation efforts.
According to A Preventable Tragedy, a report by Peter Clarke, the former head of the anti-terrorist branch at Scotland Yard, the Khan case exposed “extraordinary systemic failings that had unspeakably tragic consequences” as prison, probation, police and security services failed to share information effectively, or at all.
Prevent was initially created two decades ago in the wake of the September 11 attacks, as part of the UK’s wider counter-terrorism strategy, known as Contest. While other departments focused on tracking and disrupting Islamist terror cells, Prevent was given the task of identifying and helping British Muslims considered to be susceptible to radicalisation. Consequently, the organisation relies heavily on a wide network of police, teachers, religious leaders or concerned family members to flag up students, worshippers or relatives who may be at risk of radicalisation.
And, as the latest figures relating to recent referrals to Prevent indicate, the organisation continues to bear a heavy workload. In the year to March 2020, 6,287 referrals were made, roughly 20 a day, with 88 per cent being men and 54 per cent under the age of 20. One of the most notable occurred in 2017, when a nine-year-old boy was referred to Prevent after declaring his support for ISIS in class. He was one of 108 under-15s reported that year. It later turned out he had been watching the group’s grisly execution videos online.
One of the big criticisms of Prevent, though, is that participation in its deradicalisation programmes is voluntary, with the result that many referrals simply end their association with the organisation. If Prevent continues to have serious concerns about an individual, then they can be referred to organisations like MI5, Britain’s domestic security service, which has ultimate responsibility for preventing terror attacks on British soil. At any one time, MI5 could be looking at up to 3,000 cases, an enormous task that strains its resources to the limit.
Moreover, British counterterrorism officials say the task of monitoring potential extremists has made much more difficult by the pandemic, with fears that an army of “bedroom radicals” has been created with extremists who spent lockdown in their homes, being radicalised online by accessing a hidden network of sites on the dark web.
Consequently, the focus now in Britain is on taking measures to improve the performance of groups like Prevent to improve their ability to prevent further attacks by so-called “lone wolf” extremists. One suggestion being given serious consideration in British government circles is to give MI5 and counterterrorism police a greater say on whether people at risk of radicalisation are placed in anti-extremism programmes. That would at least be a move in the right direction, if security services are to prevent further acts of extremist bloodshed on the streets of Britain.
Ways to control drones
Countries have been coming up with ways to restrict and monitor the use of non-commercial drones to keep them from trespassing on controlled areas such as airports.
"Drones vary in size and some can be as big as a small city car - so imagine the impact of one hitting an airplane. It's a huge risk, especially when commercial airliners are not designed to make or take sudden evasive manoeuvres like drones can" says Saj Ahmed, chief analyst at London-based StrategicAero Research.
New measures have now been taken to monitor drone activity, Geo-fencing technology is one.
It's a method designed to prevent drones from drifting into banned areas. The technology uses GPS location signals to stop its machines flying close to airports and other restricted zones.
The European commission has recently announced a blueprint to make drone use in low-level airspace safe, secure and environmentally friendly. This process is called “U-Space” – it covers altitudes of up to 150 metres. It is also noteworthy that that UK Civil Aviation Authority recommends drones to be flown at no higher than 400ft. “U-Space” technology will be governed by a system similar to air traffic control management, which will be automated using tools like geo-fencing.
The UAE has drawn serious measures to ensure users register their devices under strict new laws. Authorities have urged that users must obtain approval in advance before flying the drones, non registered drone use in Dubai will result in a fine of up to twenty thousand dirhams under a new resolution approved by Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed, Crown Prince of Dubai.
Mr Ahmad suggest that "Hefty fines running into hundreds of thousands of dollars need to compensate for the cost of airport disruption and flight diversions to lengthy jail spells, confiscation of travel rights and use of drones for a lengthy period" must be enforced in order to reduce airport intrusion.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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THE BIO
Age: 33
Favourite quote: “If you’re going through hell, keep going” Winston Churchill
Favourite breed of dog: All of them. I can’t possibly pick a favourite.
Favourite place in the UAE: The Stray Dogs Centre in Umm Al Quwain. It sounds predictable, but it honestly is my favourite place to spend time. Surrounded by hundreds of dogs that love you - what could possibly be better than that?
Favourite colour: All the colours that dogs come in
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