Imagine ordering a coffee for one price, then three hours later being charged more for the same hot drink. You'd think it was a scam but it's an unfortunate reality for Lebanese living through an unprecedented currency crisis.
A customer at Goro, a restaurant in Beirut's Gemmayzeh neighbourhood, experienced precisely this feeling while visiting one of the popular haunts of Beirut nightlife and dining.
Within three hours, the price of his coffee jumped by 9 000 Lebanese pounds, the equivalent of $0.18 on the parallel market, where the national currency topped the symbolic 50,000 mark on Thursday, the first time such an unwelcome milestone has been reached.
"Ordered my first coffee at 10.30am, the second one at 1pm. The Lebanese Lira lost value during that time, resulting in two different charges", he wrote in a tweet on Friday, widely shared on social media.
The sudden increase is due to the restaurant pricing its menu in dollars.
Customers can pay the bill in dollars or in the local currency, but at the parallel market rate, which remains highly volatile and can undergo sudden changes in mere hours.
Once pegged at 1,500 against the US currency, the Lebanese pound has now lost 97 per cent of its value since the start of the crisis caused by a drastic shortage of dollars, which plunged 80 per cent of the population into poverty and led the country to the verge of financial collapse.
More and more restaurants have switched to the dollar instead of the Lebanese pound, which is gradually disappearing from menus.
Restaurateurs say they have no choice. "Because of the volatility of the Lebanese pound, our suppliers are only accepting dollars," said Kamal Darwich, a manager at Onno in Beirut.
He said the price increases also covered rocketing expenses such as gas and electricity, as restaurants have to rely on expensive private generator suppliers in the near absence of state electricity. Salaries, however, are not entirely in dollars but are paid as a mix of both currencies.
The move falls in line with the circular issued last June by Lebanon's caretaker Tourism Minister Walid Nassar, a decision he described as "exceptional and optional" which allows tourist ventures to display their prices in dollars.
Restaurant owners are not the only ones that have taken the leap to hedge against exchange risk.
The greenback is now used for an increased number of transactions, including household appliances, clothing, health insurance, rent and education fees, signalling a gradual dollarisation of the economy.
"The Consumer Protection Law regulates the choice of currency for economic transactions: traders have to display prices and print the invoice in Lebanese pounds, according to its articles 5 and 25," tax lawyer Karim Daher said.
"The chaotic dollarisation of the economy, which is currently happening, is an infringement of the Consumer Protection Law. Should Lebanon move towards a dollar-based economy, authorities will need to adopt the appropriate legal framework and not only temporary decisions."
For some, dollarisation might be the solution for Lebanon.
"It is the best way for consumers to be sure they are paying a fair price, as traders would not need to increase their margin to limit their exposure to the Lebanese pound's volatility, at least for food imports," said Hani Bohsali, the head of the union of Lebanese food importers.
Seizing an opportunity
But other experts fear economic actors are taking advantage of the situation to serve their interests, as the cost of some goods and services are not entirely dependent on the dollar.
"In the case of restaurants, for instance, part of their costs are billed in Lebanese costs, such as salaries. Some of the products are also produced locally, like wine and arak," said researcher Kamal Hamdan, head of the Consultation and Research Institute in Beirut (CRI), an organisation that has been publishing its own price index since 1977.
He said the phenomenon only deepened inequalities between the privileged ones who have access to hard currency, and the rest of the population. "Dollarisation has serious consequences on the vast majority of employees paid in Lebanese pounds, who are greatly impacted by inflation, which has halved their purchasing power," he said.
He stressed that chaotic situations, such as a currency collapse typically induce "opportunistic behaviour".
"In 2022, the index price recorded an annual average increase of 174 per cent, whereas the dollar rose by 93 per cent against the lira," he said.
This means that part of the inflation, one of the highest in the world, surging to 189 per cent in the first 11 months of last year from the same period a year earlier, cannot justified by the collapse of the lira.
Importers, distributors and traders have all been accused since the beginning of the crisis of taking advantage of the currency situation to increase their margins.
Mr Hamdan said: "This has been allowed because the state is not enforcing any price regulation, despite having enacted a competition law in 2022; the Lebanese market remains a complete chaos."
The bio:
Favourite film:
Declan: It was The Commitments but now it’s Bohemian Rhapsody.
Heidi: The Long Kiss Goodnight.
Favourite holiday destination:
Declan: Las Vegas but I also love getting home to Ireland and seeing everyone back home.
Heidi: Australia but my dream destination would be to go to Cuba.
Favourite pastime:
Declan: I love brunching and socializing. Just basically having the craic.
Heidi: Paddleboarding and swimming.
Personal motto:
Declan: Take chances.
Heidi: Live, love, laugh and have no regrets.
Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer
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