Egyptians said that food prices had risen again. Photographer: Islam Safwat / Bloomberg
Egyptians said that food prices had risen again. Photographer: Islam Safwat / Bloomberg
Egyptians said that food prices had risen again. Photographer: Islam Safwat / Bloomberg
Egyptians said that food prices had risen again. Photographer: Islam Safwat / Bloomberg

Egyptians angered by rising food prices caused by increase in fuel costs


Kamal Tabikha
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Egyptians reacted to a rise in fuel prices with anger and disappointment, after hopes had been raised that the government's recent foreign investment deals could have brought inflation down.

The country’s fuel pricing committee on Friday increased prices of all grades of octane by one pound and raised diesel prices from 8.25 to 10 Egyptian pounds a litre.

The committee attributed the increase to a rise in global oil prices as a result of the wars in Gaza and Ukraine.

The increase in diesel prices has played into further inflation of basic goods, including food, as transport becomes more expensive.

“Since Friday, every kind of vegetable I bought has increased by at least two pounds as well. Not to mention milk, which also rose since the start of Ramadan by six pounds,” said Sabah El Sayed, 41, who has five children.

“Since Thursday, my suppliers raised the prices of the vast majority of the items in my shop by at least two Egyptian pounds,” Cairo grocery shop owner Helmy Fouad, 47, told The National.

“Everything in my store except for tomatoes” is now more expensive, he said.

“I was told by [suppliers] each time I enquired that it was to account for increased fuel expenses,” he said.

Mohamed El Homsany, a spokesman for the Egyptian Cabinet, spoke about the issue on television on Sunday. He said he expected food prices to fall along with a drop in the value of the US dollar against the Egyptian pound.

“We expect food prices to come down very soon. The Prime Minister is conducting meetings with the country's Chambers of Commerce,” he said during a phone-in to a state-sponsored talk show.

His statement followed a Cabinet announcement that the government would be increasing its imports of essentials by 20 per cent to ensure that there is enough supply to combat profiteering traders, who have been repeatedly blamed by the government as the reason food prices are so high.

The government has signed investment deals with the UAE, the IMF, the EU and the World Bank worth about $50 billion in total. These were partly aimed at providing the government with sufficient liquidity to keep parallel currency markets under control and hold prices in check. Exorbitant exchange rates on black market dollars had driven up the country’s import bills, which in turn has pushed prices up.

Communal taxis, or microbuses, are the favourite mode of transport with many Egyptians. Photo: Mahmoud Nasr / The National
Communal taxis, or microbuses, are the favourite mode of transport with many Egyptians. Photo: Mahmoud Nasr / The National

Transport costs rise

Bus fares had also gone up by at least one pound since Friday, both for government-operated buses and unofficial microbuses operated by the private sector.

“I rely on microbuses because my home is outside the routes of public buses,” said Ms El Sayed.

“But the problem is that unlike public buses and the metro, microbuses are not regulated by the government, so each driver can increase their fare by however much they see fit based on their own expenses. So some increased by one pound and others increased by three pounds.

“And I have to pay because they know that public buses don’t cover their routes and that there really isn’t an alternative.”

A microbus driver told The National he had increased his fares by two pounds on Friday and then increased them by a pound on Sunday.

“What the customer doesn’t understand is that when diesel prices went up, so too did the prices of engine oil and tyres,” said Ahmed Yehya.

“I understand that many people just think it’s one pound for fuel and the rest they think I am being unfair, but it isn’t fair for me to carry those costs alone when everything is getting more expensive for me as well.”

Many Egyptians in rural provinces earn their living by hiring lorries to food manufacturers who want to transport fruit and vegetables.

However, such drivers, whose operations rely entirely on diesel, have, unlike microbus drivers, been unable to increase their rates because of resistance from the food manufacturers they work for.

“I don’t have the same power as a microbus driver has over his customers. Since Friday, my costs to transport one seven-tonne shipment of strawberries from Beheira to Cairo [around 200 kilometres] has risen by around 200 pounds,” said Alaa Madina, a farmer and driver who transports shipments of food from the Nile Delta to food processing factories around the country.

“Last night, a group of drivers went to speak to the supplier we work with to discuss an increase in our fares. He refused outright and said that whoever didn’t like it could be easily replaced.”

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Updated: March 25, 2024, 4:02 PM