Officials at a press conference in Dubai giving details on this year’s expanded Arabian Travel Market, which opens on Monday. Wam
Officials at a press conference in Dubai giving details on this year’s expanded Arabian Travel Market, which opens on Monday. Wam
Officials at a press conference in Dubai giving details on this year’s expanded Arabian Travel Market, which opens on Monday. Wam
Officials at a press conference in Dubai giving details on this year’s expanded Arabian Travel Market, which opens on Monday. Wam

Dubai records rise in bookings as travel demand defies global economic headwinds


Deena Kamel
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  • Arabic

Dubai recorded a rise in forward bookings, following growth in the number of international visitors during the first quarter, as travel demand to the Middle East's business and tourism hub defies global macroeconomic headwinds.

The global transit hub is also increasing efforts to promote itself as a stopover destination for travellers passing through Dubai International Airport (DXB), the world's busiest airport by international passenger numbers, said Issam Kazim, chief executive of the Dubai Department for Tourism and Commerce Marketing (DTCM).

Asked about the impact of high inflation rates and oil prices on consumer spending for travel, Mr Kazim said the emirate continues to diversify its source market, work closely with industry partners and has dealt with previous cycles of economic challenges from the 2008 financial crisis to the Covid-19 pandemic.

"Looking at forward bookings ... we can see that demand for Dubai is going up," he said at a press conference on Thursday ahead of the Arabian Travel Market (ATM) that runs from May 1 to 4.

"I know that some people were concerned about the impact on discretionary disposable income, and that's the bracket that leisure travel falls into, but we've managed to see significant growth within that number as well in terms of length of stay within Dubai and also the contribution to the GDP [gross domestic product]."

  • The Museum of the Future, with its remarkable architecture, has quickly become a highlight for visitors to Dubai. Photo: DTCM
    The Museum of the Future, with its remarkable architecture, has quickly become a highlight for visitors to Dubai. Photo: DTCM
  • The Wild Wadi Waterpark in Jumeirah is one of the attractions that make Dubai a family-friendly destination. Photo: Wild Wadi
    The Wild Wadi Waterpark in Jumeirah is one of the attractions that make Dubai a family-friendly destination. Photo: Wild Wadi
  • The shops, cafes, bars and restaurants along Jumeirah Beach Residence in Dubai are popular among tourists. Photo: Reuters
    The shops, cafes, bars and restaurants along Jumeirah Beach Residence in Dubai are popular among tourists. Photo: Reuters
  • A jump at Skydive Dubai has become a must-do for daredevil visitors. Photo: Skydive Dubai
    A jump at Skydive Dubai has become a must-do for daredevil visitors. Photo: Skydive Dubai
  • Admirers will say that the Burj Khalifa, the tallest tower in the world at about 830 metres, is Dubai's most famous tourist attraction. Photo: Dar Al Arkan
    Admirers will say that the Burj Khalifa, the tallest tower in the world at about 830 metres, is Dubai's most famous tourist attraction. Photo: Dar Al Arkan
  • Visitors can enjoy an almost immersive experience of water and light at the Dubai Fountain. Photo: Alamy
    Visitors can enjoy an almost immersive experience of water and light at the Dubai Fountain. Photo: Alamy
  • A visit to Dubai often involves a trip to Al Fahidi Fort, with its dhow installation to celebrate the Gulf's maritime history. Photo: Alamy
    A visit to Dubai often involves a trip to Al Fahidi Fort, with its dhow installation to celebrate the Gulf's maritime history. Photo: Alamy
  • The ski lift at Ski Dubai inside the Mall of the Emirates. With its 22,500 square metres of skiiing, the centre is arguably one of the Gulf region's most eye-catching and unexpected attractions. Photo: AP
    The ski lift at Ski Dubai inside the Mall of the Emirates. With its 22,500 square metres of skiiing, the centre is arguably one of the Gulf region's most eye-catching and unexpected attractions. Photo: AP
  • Bluewaters Island, where the Ain Dubai wheel is located. Photo: Reuters
    Bluewaters Island, where the Ain Dubai wheel is located. Photo: Reuters
  • One of the pods on the Ain Dubai that offer visitors sweeping views of the city and Arabian Gulf waters. Chris Whiteoak / The National
    One of the pods on the Ain Dubai that offer visitors sweeping views of the city and Arabian Gulf waters. Chris Whiteoak / The National
  • The Ain Dubai lights up. Chris Whiteoak / The National
    The Ain Dubai lights up. Chris Whiteoak / The National
  • The Lost Chambers Aquarium at Atlantis, The Palm. Photo: Atlantis, The Palm
    The Lost Chambers Aquarium at Atlantis, The Palm. Photo: Atlantis, The Palm

Dubai has its "finger on the pulse at all times" and proactively responds to changes in demand, he said.

"We move as a team, as Dubai Inc. collectively, and we make sure that we have the right measures in place to manage these things ... we are constantly engaged across every aspect and every touch point that impacts residents and potential tourists to make sure that Dubai stays competitive," Mr Kazim said.

Dubai could exceed the pre-pandemic annual number of international visitors this year after a growing influx of tourists in a strong start to 2023, according to Emirates NBD. In February, Dubai’s tourism numbers exceeded pre-pandemic levels with 1.63 million visitors, up 7 per cent from 2019 and 35 per cent year-on-year.

The emirate is working with travel and tourism industry stakeholders to attract more transit travellers to book short-term stays in the emirate when they fly via Dubai.

"We want to see that as a chance to engage at some point during the booking journey and entice them to come and experience the city for the first time," Mr Kazim said, while detailing the main themes and events expected at the 30th ATM annual event in Dubai.

Centred around themes of sustainability and technology in travel, this year's event has attracted more than 2,000 exhibitors from 150 countries, the organisers said on Thursday. It recorded an increase of 27 per cent in the number of exhibitors from last year, with a significant rise in those from the Americas. About 34,000 visitors are expected to attend the travel, tourism and hospitality event.

Emirates Airline plans to announce a new partnership and sign agreements with various tourism boards during the ATM, said Adnan Kazim, the airline's chief commercial officer, without elaborating. This builds on Emirates' latest codeshare pacts with United Airlines and Air Canada that are now "fully fledged", along with its existing 10-year partnership with Qantas that has been extended for another five years to 2028, he said.

The airline is on track to return its full fleet of 116 Airbus A380 superjumbos to the sky, after most were grounded during the peak of the pandemic and resumed service gradually with the recovery in international travel.

Emirates is currently operating 85 of its 116 double-deckers, with plans to ramp up to 90 A380s by summer and 95 by the end of next Marc, its chief customer officer said. The A380s will be sent to Beijing to start in May, Shanghai in June, Birmingham in July and Taipei in August.

The airline is adding capacity to China after the country reopened its borders for international travel earlier this year, he said.

Emirates also opened its first city check-in, effective from Thursday, at the ICD Brookfield Place in DIFC, where customers can book travel, check-in for flights, drop luggage and shop for travel essentials.

Tim Clark, president of Emirates airlines (centre) during the opening of Emirates City Check –In and travel store at ICD Brookfield Place in DIFC in Dubai. Pawan Singh / The National
Tim Clark, president of Emirates airlines (centre) during the opening of Emirates City Check –In and travel store at ICD Brookfield Place in DIFC in Dubai. Pawan Singh / The National

Sara, Emirates' new portable robot, will be on hand to match faces with scanned passports, check passengers in and guide them to the baggage drop area.

Echoing the executives' expectations of tourism growth in Dubai, Haitham Mattar, managing director of India, Middle East and Africa at IHG Hotels & Resorts, said in the first quarter of 2023 the Middle East and Africa region recorded 70 per cent occupancy rate in IHG's properties. Dubai led the way with 80 per cent occupancy, followed by Saudi Arabia and Egypt.

In the next three months, the region has 25 per cent more bookings at IHG hotels compared with the same quarter last year, he added.

"In terms of our rolling growth, we're very optimistic," Mr Mattar said.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory

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Nayanthara: Beyond The Fairy Tale

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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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Rating: 1/5

Disclaimer

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Rating: 4/5

Updated: April 28, 2023, 3:30 AM