If the early 21st-century Middle East advertising boom had a face, it belonged to Joseph Ghossoub. His marketing and communications company, named The Holding Group until September this year, rode the swell of double-digit advertising growth nearly every year since its founding in 1999. A decade later, it had 1,200 employees in 57 offices scattered across the MENA region.
By February last year, near the height of the ad boom, his firm attracted the interest of WPP Group, one of the global "big four" advertising firms, which bought a majority stake in The Holding Group. At the same time, Mr Ghossoub was completing his two-year term as the president of the International Advertising Association. A year later, the property bubble burst, savaging corporate advertising budgets. The Holding Group announced a major rebranding, becoming the MENACOM Group to better reflect its regional focus and a new strategy emphasising efficiency in a more austere time.
Mr Ghossoub, a keen observer, forecast this reversal of fortune for the industry. His prediction last year that UAE advertising spending would drop by 25 per cent proved to be accurate, as it has declined 30 per cent in the first nine months of this year. "I hate New Year's parties," he says in a baritone made gravelly by Kent cigarettes. "Why? First of all, because they make me grow by one year, which I don't like, and at the same time it's too crowded.
"But this year, I can't wait for the 31st of December. It's going to be my biggest celebration. Why? Because I just want this year to end." Sitting in his spare, temporary offices in Dubai Media City, the charismatic Mr Ghossoub speaks in the direct fashion his friends and colleagues say is characteristic of the ad-man nicknamed "The Godfather". His face can change from charming to tough in a flash. Even for someone who has lived through civil war and built his own company from the ground up, he says this year has been the most challenging of his 30-year career.
"We've done over 12 budgets for every company" in MENACOM, he says. "We've done eight budgets for the group. We keep revising our budgets because things change as you go. Clients tell you they are going to spend this much and they spend something else. Sometimes more, sometimes less, more less than more." More than any of the middle-aged Beiruti ad-agency bosses in the region affectionately referred to as "the Lebanese mafia", Mr Ghossoub has been the spokesman for the industry. Journalists turned to him for years to make a bold prediction or clearly sum up growth prospects over the next quarter.
He might be more at ease offering those numbers because, thanks to the sheer size of his firm, he may have more control over just what those numbers are. While the global recession has shaken that sense of control, it has not damped his enthusiasm for straight talk. "It's because too many elements have gone through this year to make this year one of the most difficult ever," Mr Ghossoub says. "We didn't know where we were going."
He became involved in advertising originally to get away from the kind of uncertainty that crisis brings, specifically the Lebanese civil war. Born in Beirut in 1954, the oldest of three children, he was raised by his grandparents in Lebanon while making frequent trips to visit his parents in Ghana, where his father worked in the timber industry. "It was a very good upbringing and childhood, actually, because I used to get whatever I wanted," Mr Ghossoub says with a laugh.
He studied business in college, but the war was under way by the time he graduated. "Everybody was looking for an escape from Lebanon at that time until things calmed down," he says. His exit route came from a friend, Nadim Sfeir, who was working in Saudi Arabia for one of the oldest MENA advertising groups, Intermarkets. Mr Ghossoub joined him in 1979. "I convinced Joe to join, which is how he started his career in advertising," Mr Sfeir says. "I offered him a job as an account executive because he did not have any previous experience in the business. So I taught him the business." Mr Ghossoub immediately took to the business side of advertising. Today, Intermarkets is part of the MENACOM empire, a fact that fills Mr Sfeir, the chief executive of Intermarkets, with pride. "I was his mentor, but at the same time I will admit that sometimes the student can be better than the teacher." Mr Ghossoub worked in Jeddah for a few years, then returned to Beirut to work for Intermarkets in the early 1980s before moving to the company office in Dubai. He eventually left Intermarkets to head up Team Advertising and Marketing in 1993, which later became Team/Young and Rubicam, before starting The Holding Group in 1999. Mr Sfeir says he could tell early on that Mr Ghossoub had what he called "the texture of an ad-man". "He had all the ingredients to become very successful," he says. "He's very street smart, very intelligent and he knows what he wants. He's a great thinker, clients are happy and he's a good negotiator. Most of all, he's got vision. I think this is what made him what he is today." Mr Ghossoub puts a lot of stock in street smarts, which is another way of saying he has little regard for formal education. "Our business is a funny business," he says. "You cannot study it. You study theory, yes, but nothing gives you what the hands-on experience is. This is a business for those who have good common sense. Without common sense and without logic, you cannot work in this business." He believes advertising requires a "special breed of people" who are passionate, curious and as driven as he is. "I spent 10, 11 years not able to take a holiday," Mr Ghossoub says. "Every time we had a holiday planned, we had to cancel it at the last minute. It really takes somebody to love this business to be able to do something within it, because it takes everything from you." The cancelled holidays were apparently not a discouragement to his three children. While one is still in university in Lebanon, the other two work for MENACOM; one at Team/Young and Rubicam and the other at the communications planning agency Mediaedge:cia. "When they were studying at university, I was in favour of them looking at other things, but at the end of the day they ended up in marketing and advertising," Mr Ghossoub says.
"Not that I wanted them to. It just came. And they are doing great. I don't get involved in what they do. They are in their own places with their own bosses." Even before the economic crisis hit, Mr Ghossoub was making noises about trying to slow down a little bit, to spend more time with his wife, Da'ad, and on his golf game (he plays with a handicap of 11). But the radical change to the marketing landscape may have thrown a wrench into those plans. In addition to making a enough budgets for a decade in a single year, the group has had to do some soul-searching and restructuring. Along with a new name and logo, it is pitching its services in a more integrated way to cash-strapped clients. "We want clients to see us as a united front and want the clients to address us as one group," he says. "If you use three people instead of 12 people, it's a reduction of your cost because we charge by time." Sunil John, the chief executive of Asda'a Burson-Marsteller, the largest public relations group in the region and one of the more successful MENACOM divisions this year, has said the new structure may result in savings of up to 20 per cent for clients who employ multiple MENACOM agencies. Mr Ghossoub is also working to manage expectations for a year when advertising spending in the UAE has dropped by about a third in the first three quarters, compared with the same period last year, according to the Pan Arab Research Centre. "If anything, we can say that we are slightly, slightly down for the year, but we have to see how the next two months play out," he says. "If we are down 5, 6 per cent, I think we have done well as a group. More than that is still acceptable but I don't see it happening. My aim, which everybody is working hard on, is to make this year a flat year on 2008, which is going to be difficult." Calling himself "an optimist by nature", Mr Ghossoub expects advertising spending to pick up as much as 6 per cent across the region next year, still enough to be called a recovery but nowhere near the blistering pace of recent years. Mostly, he is focusing on cutting costs, designing services to match the needs of slashed client marketing budgets and being ready for a shift away from general brand awareness towards messages aimed at specific consumers. He is also looking forward to the return of hotels, restaurants and other former advertisers who were squeezed out by property companies at the height of the boom; what he calls the silver lining of the crash. Reflecting on the past year, Mr Ghossoub finds himself thinking of something he was told when he was still a boy. "My grandfather used to tell me, 'Son, remember, this world shakes but never falls. It will stay here and life will go on'," he says. "Being optimistic helps you look at the opportunities to come from all of this." khagey@thenational.ae
War
Director: Siddharth Anand
Cast: Hrithik Roshan, Tiger Shroff, Ashutosh Rana, Vaani Kapoor
Rating: Two out of five stars
Paris%20Agreement
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HEY%20MERCEDES%2C%20WHAT%20CAN%20YOU%20DO%20FOR%20ME%3F
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Non-oil%20trade
%3Cp%3ENon-oil%20trade%20between%20the%20UAE%20and%20Japan%20grew%20by%2034%20per%20cent%20over%20the%20past%20two%20years%2C%20according%20to%20data%20from%20the%20Federal%20Competitiveness%20and%20Statistics%20Centre.%C2%A0%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EIn%2010%20years%2C%20it%20has%20reached%20a%20total%20of%20Dh524.4%20billion.%C2%A0%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3ECars%20topped%20the%20list%20of%20the%20top%20five%20commodities%20re-exported%20to%20Japan%20in%202022%2C%20with%20a%20value%20of%20Dh1.3%20billion.%C2%A0%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EJewellery%20and%20ornaments%20amounted%20to%20Dh150%20million%20while%20precious%20metal%20scraps%20amounted%20to%20Dh105%20million.%C2%A0%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3ERaw%20aluminium%20was%20ranked%20first%20among%20the%20top%20five%20commodities%20exported%20to%20Japan.%C2%A0%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3ETop%20of%20the%20list%20of%20commodities%20imported%20from%20Japan%20in%202022%20was%20cars%2C%20with%20a%20value%20of%20Dh20.08%20billion.%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The specs: 2018 BMW R nineT Scrambler
Price, base / as tested Dh57,000
Engine 1,170cc air/oil-cooled flat twin four-stroke engine
Transmission Six-speed gearbox
Power 110hp) @ 7,750rpm
Torque 116Nm @ 6,000rpm
Fuel economy, combined 5.3L / 100km
In numbers: PKK’s money network in Europe
Germany: PKK collectors typically bring in $18 million in cash a year – amount has trebled since 2010
Revolutionary tax: Investigators say about $2 million a year raised from ‘tax collection’ around Marseille
Extortion: Gunman convicted in 2023 of demanding $10,000 from Kurdish businessman in Stockholm
Drug trade: PKK income claimed by Turkish anti-drugs force in 2024 to be as high as $500 million a year
Denmark: PKK one of two terrorist groups along with Iranian separatists ASMLA to raise “two-digit million amounts”
Contributions: Hundreds of euros expected from typical Kurdish families and thousands from business owners
TV channel: Kurdish Roj TV accounts frozen and went bankrupt after Denmark fined it more than $1 million over PKK links in 2013
Retail gloom
Online grocer Ocado revealed retail sales fell 5.7 per cen in its first quarter as customers switched back to pre-pandemic shopping patterns.
It was a tough comparison from a year earlier, when the UK was in lockdown, but on a two-year basis its retail division, a joint venture with Marks&Spencer, rose 31.7 per cent over the quarter.
The group added that a 15 per cent drop in customer basket size offset an 11.6. per cent rise in the number of customer transactions.
The President's Cake
Director: Hasan Hadi
Starring: Baneen Ahmad Nayyef, Waheed Thabet Khreibat, Sajad Mohamad Qasem
Rating: 4/5
box
COMPANY PROFILE
Company name: Letstango.com
Started: June 2013
Founder: Alex Tchablakian
Based: Dubai
Industry: e-commerce
Initial investment: Dh10 million
Investors: Self-funded
Total customers: 300,000 unique customers every month
'Top Gun: Maverick'
Rating: 4/5
Directed by: Joseph Kosinski
Starring: Tom Cruise, Val Kilmer, Jennifer Connelly, Jon Hamm, Miles Teller, Glen Powell, Ed Harris
Safety 'top priority' for rival hyperloop company
The chief operating officer of Hyperloop Transportation Technologies, Andres de Leon, said his company's hyperloop technology is “ready” and safe.
He said the company prioritised safety throughout its development and, last year, Munich Re, one of the world's largest reinsurance companies, announced it was ready to insure their technology.
“Our levitation, propulsion, and vacuum technology have all been developed [...] over several decades and have been deployed and tested at full scale,” he said in a statement to The National.
“Only once the system has been certified and approved will it move people,” he said.
HyperloopTT has begun designing and engineering processes for its Abu Dhabi projects and hopes to break ground soon.
With no delivery date yet announced, Mr de Leon said timelines had to be considered carefully, as government approval, permits, and regulations could create necessary delays.
The five pillars of Islam
Most F1 world titles
7 — Michael Schumacher (1994, ’95, 2000, ’01 ’02, ’03, ’04)
7 — Lewis Hamilton (2008, ’14,’15, ’17, ’18, ’19, ’20)
5 — Juan Manuel Fangio (1951, ’54, ’55, ’56, ’57)
4 — Alain Prost (1985, ’86, ’89, ’93)
4 — Sebastian Vettel (2010, ’11, ’12, ’13)
Jetour T1 specs
Engine: 2-litre turbocharged
Power: 254hp
Torque: 390Nm
Price: From Dh126,000
Available: Now
FOOTBALL TEST
Team X 1 Team Y 0
Scorers
Red card
Man of the Match
White hydrogen: Naturally occurring hydrogen
Chromite: Hard, metallic mineral containing iron oxide and chromium oxide
Ultramafic rocks: Dark-coloured rocks rich in magnesium or iron with very low silica content
Ophiolite: A section of the earth’s crust, which is oceanic in nature that has since been uplifted and exposed on land
Olivine: A commonly occurring magnesium iron silicate mineral that derives its name for its olive-green yellow-green colour
Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?
The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.
Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.
New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.
“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.
The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.
The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.
Bloomberg
if you go
The flights
The closest international airport to the TMB trail is Geneva (just over an hour’s drive from the French ski town of Chamonix where most people start and end the walk). Direct flights from the UAE to Geneva are available with Etihad and Emirates from about Dh2,790 including taxes.
The trek
The Tour du Mont Blanc takes about 10 to 14 days to complete if walked in its entirety, but by using the services of a tour operator such as Raw Travel, a shorter “highlights” version allows you to complete the best of the route in a week, from Dh6,750 per person. The trails are blocked by snow from about late October to early May. Most people walk in July and August, but be warned that trails are often uncomfortably busy at this time and it can be very hot. The prime months are June and September.
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
BUNDESLIGA FIXTURES
Saturday, May 16 (kick-offs UAE time)
Borussia Dortmund v Schalke (4.30pm)
RB Leipzig v Freiburg (4.30pm)
Hoffenheim v Hertha Berlin (4.30pm)
Fortuna Dusseldorf v Paderborn (4.30pm)
Augsburg v Wolfsburg (4.30pm)
Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Monchengladbach (7.30pm)
Sunday, May 17
Cologne v Mainz (4.30pm),
Union Berlin v Bayern Munich (7pm)
Monday, May 18
Werder Bremen v Bayer Leverkusen (9.30pm)
Read more from Kareem Shaheen
PROVISIONAL FIXTURE LIST
Premier League
Wednesday, June 17 (Kick-offs uae times) Aston Villa v Sheffield United 9pm; Manchester City v Arsenal 11pm
Friday, June 19 Norwich v Southampton 9pm; Tottenham v Manchester United 11pm
Saturday, June 20 Watford v Leicester 3.30pm; Brighton v Arsenal 6pm; West Ham v Wolves 8.30pm; Bournemouth v Crystal Palace 10.45pm
Sunday, June 21 Newcastle v Sheffield United 2pm; Aston Villa v Chelsea 7.30pm; Everton v Liverpool 10pm
Monday, June 22 Manchester City v Burnley 11pm (Sky)
Tuesday, June 23 Southampton v Arsenal 9pm; Tottenham v West Ham 11.15pm
Wednesday, June 24 Manchester United v Sheffield United 9pm; Newcastle v Aston Villa 9pm; Norwich v Everton 9pm; Liverpool v Crystal Palace 11.15pm
Thursday, June 25 Burnley v Watford 9pm; Leicester v Brighton 9pm; Chelsea v Manchester City 11.15pm; Wolves v Bournemouth 11.15pm
Sunday June 28 Aston Villa vs Wolves 3pm; Watford vs Southampton 7.30pm
Monday June 29 Crystal Palace vs Burnley 11pm
Tuesday June 30 Brighton vs Manchester United 9pm; Sheffield United vs Tottenham 11.15pm
Wednesday July 1 Bournemouth vs Newcastle 9pm; Everton vs Leicester 9pm; West Ham vs Chelsea 11.15pm
Thursday July 2 Arsenal vs Norwich 9pm; Manchester City vs Liverpool 11.15pm
Tamkeen's offering
- Option 1: 70% in year 1, 50% in year 2, 30% in year 3
- Option 2: 50% across three years
- Option 3: 30% across five years
Tewellah by Nawal Zoghbi is out now.
PREMIER LEAGUE FIXTURES
Tuesday (UAE kick-off times)
Leicester City v Brighton (9pm)
Tottenham Hotspur v West Ham United (11.15pm)
Wednesday
Manchester United v Sheffield United (9pm)
Newcastle United v Aston Villa (9pm)
Norwich City v Everton (9pm)
Wolves v Bournemouth (9pm)
Liverpool v Crystal Palace (11.15pm)
Thursday
Burnley v Watford (9pm)
Southampton v Arsenal (9pm)
Chelsea v Manchester City (11.15pm)
Indian origin executives leading top technology firms
Sundar Pichai
Chief executive, Google and Alphabet
Satya Nadella
Chief executive, Microsoft
Ajaypal Singh Banga
President and chief executive, Mastercard
Shantanu Narayen
Chief executive, chairman, and president, Adobe
Indra Nooyi
Board of directors, Amazon and former chief executive, PepsiCo
What is a black hole?
1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull
2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight
3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge
4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own
5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed
Reputation
Taylor Swift
(Big Machine Records)
ENGLAND SQUAD
Goalkeepers Henderson, Pickford, Pope.
Defenders Alexander-Arnold, Chilwell, Coady, Dier, Gomez, Keane, Maguire, Maitland-Niles, Mings, Saka, Trippier, Walker.
Midfielders Henderson, Mount, Phillips, Rice, Ward-Prowse, Winks.
Forwards Abraham, Barnes, Calvert-Lewin, Grealish, Ings, Kane, Rashford, Sancho, Sterling.
Mica
Director: Ismael Ferroukhi
Stars: Zakaria Inan, Sabrina Ouazani
3 stars
Florida: The critical Sunshine State
Though mostly conservative, Florida is usually always “close” in presidential elections. In most elections, the candidate that wins the Sunshine State almost always wins the election, as evidenced in 2016 when Trump took Florida, a state which has not had a democratic governor since 1991.
Joe Biden’s campaign has spent $100 million there to turn things around, understandable given the state’s crucial 29 electoral votes.
In 2016, Mr Trump’s democratic rival Hillary Clinton paid frequent visits to Florida though analysts concluded that she failed to appeal towards middle-class voters, whom Barack Obama won over in the previous election.
What is an FTO Designation?
FTO designations impose immigration restrictions on members of the organisation simply by virtue of their membership and triggers a criminal prohibition on knowingly providing material support or resources to the designated organisation as well as asset freezes.
It is a crime for a person in the United States or subject to the jurisdiction of the United States to knowingly provide “material support or resources” to or receive military-type training from or on behalf of a designated FTO.
Representatives and members of a designated FTO, if they are aliens, are inadmissible to and, in certain circumstances removable from, the United States.
Except as authorised by the Secretary of the Treasury, any US financial institution that becomes aware that it has possession of or control over funds in which an FTO or its agent has an interest must retain possession of or control over the funds and report the funds to the Treasury Department.
Source: US Department of State
Sinopharm vaccine explained
The Sinopharm vaccine was created using techniques that have been around for decades.
“This is an inactivated vaccine. Simply what it means is that the virus is taken, cultured and inactivated," said Dr Nawal Al Kaabi, chair of the UAE's National Covid-19 Clinical Management Committee.
"What is left is a skeleton of the virus so it looks like a virus, but it is not live."
This is then injected into the body.
"The body will recognise it and form antibodies but because it is inactive, we will need more than one dose. The body will not develop immunity with one dose," she said.
"You have to be exposed more than one time to what we call the antigen."
The vaccine should offer protection for at least months, but no one knows how long beyond that.
Dr Al Kaabi said early vaccine volunteers in China were given shots last spring and still have antibodies today.
“Since it is inactivated, it will not last forever," she said.
UAE v Ireland
1st ODI, UAE win by 6 wickets
2nd ODI, January 12
3rd ODI, January 14
4th ODI, January 16
Race card
6.30pm: Handicap (TB) $68,000 (Dirt) 1,200m
7.05pm: Meydan Cup – Listed Handicap (TB) $88,000 (Turf) 2,810m
7.40pm: UAE 2000 Guineas – Group 3 (TB) $125,000 (D) 1,600m
8.15pm: Firebreak Stakes – Group 3 (TB) $130,000 (D) 1,600m
9.50pm: Meydan Classic – Conditions (TB) $$50,000 (T) 1,400m
9.25pm: Dubai Sprint – Listed Handicap (TB) $88,000 (T) 1,200m
The%20specs
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FIGHT%20CARD
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The five pillars of Islam
Zayed Sustainability Prize
Super%20Mario%20Bros%20Wonder
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CONFIRMED%20LINE-UP
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Profile of Tarabut Gateway
Founder: Abdulla Almoayed
Based: UAE
Founded: 2017
Number of employees: 35
Sector: FinTech
Raised: $13 million
Backers: Berlin-based venture capital company Target Global, Kingsway, CE Ventures, Entrée Capital, Zamil Investment Group, Global Ventures, Almoayed Technologies and Mad’a Investment.
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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