Abu Dhabi’s 100MW Shams 1 solar array in the Western Region was inaugurated last year. Silvia Razgova / The National
Abu Dhabi’s 100MW Shams 1 solar array in the Western Region was inaugurated last year. Silvia Razgova / The National
Abu Dhabi’s 100MW Shams 1 solar array in the Western Region was inaugurated last year. Silvia Razgova / The National
Abu Dhabi’s 100MW Shams 1 solar array in the Western Region was inaugurated last year. Silvia Razgova / The National

Solar energy progress comes at a price


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Power plant builders seeking a share of the Middle East's US$50 billion solar energy market risk paying higher financing charges as the region diversifies from oil.

"The interest margin would be higher" for privately built solar plants than for conventional, natural gas-fired units, said Richard Keenan, an energy finance attorney at the law firm Chadbourne & Parke in Dubai. Projects will need to begin generating revenue before their operators try to tap bond markets because investors generally require a steady cash flow, he said.

Saudi Arabia, the biggest producer in Opec, and the UAE plan to solicit bids this year for as much as 1,000 megawatts of new solar capacity to reduce reliance on fossil fuels for domestic power production. Abu Dhabi's renewable energy company Masdar, along with Total and Abengoa, borrowed about US$600 million from 10 banks in March 2011 to build the Arabian Gulf's first large-scale solar plant. They did not disclose the interest rate for the 100MW facility, which started operating last March.

Builders of gas-fed plants can borrow “in the range of 150-250 basis points over Libor”, or the London interbank offered rate, said Ed James, the head of the project finance researcher Meed Insight. Regional lenders might “ask for a slightly higher margin” for solar units, he said. Abu Dhabi National Energy, the state-run utility known as Taqa, and partners agreed to pay 260 basis points more than Libor on a 2009 loan to build a gas-fired facility.

The Middle East and North Africa will need more than $50 billion in investments by the end of the decade to add as much as 15,000MW of solar-generating capacity, the Middle East Solar Industry Association and Meed Insight said in a report last month. Fourteen countries in the region have a combined capacity to produce 260,000MW from all energy sources, including 271MW of solar, according to the report.

“Funding for such projects will come from groups of international banks that offer renewable financing experience with regional banks providing local knowledge and liquidity,” Roberto de Diego Arozamena, the chief executive of the Saudi holding company Abdul Latif Jameel said last month.

As banks become more comfortable financing solar projects in the region, borrowing costs will probably align more closely with those for conventional plants, Mr Arozamena said. Jeddah-based Jameel last month announced a joint venture to pursue renewables business in markets including Saudi Arabia.

First Solar, the largest US solar panel manufacturer and builder of Dubai’s first sun-powered plant, paid 225 basis points more than Libor for a $450m five-year revolving credit line in July, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Taqa’s venture agreed to pay its higher margin of 260 basis points four years earlier, in the midst of the global financial crisis. The venture, Ruwais Power, refinanced with $825m in bonds last year.

Markets such as the US that have more experience in solar and wind power contributed to last year’s record of almost $14bn in worldwide sales of bonds for renewable energy projects, double the previous peak in 2010, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance. The so-called green bonds included $1bn in securities issued by a subsidiary of Warren Buffett-controlled Berkshire Hathaway’s Mid-American Energy Holdings.

The issuer, MidAmerican Solar, obtained funding for 22 years at a cost of 5.375 per cent. That compares with the 6 per cent yield that Ruwais Power, the Taqa partnership that refinanced last year, paid for its bonds due in 2036.

Jordan, Morocco and Egypt, Mena countries that are not Opec members, also want to generate power from the sun and wind to cut their dependence on costly imported fuel.

Any expansion of the Middle East’s renewables industry will depend on regional governments following through on plans they announce. Developers have been waiting since last year for Saudi Arabia’s solar tenders and still do not have a clear idea of when in 2014 they will be able to bid, said Jameel’s Mr Arozamena.

The Saudi government could pay with its own funds for construction companies to build some of the planned solar facilities and then operate them itself instead of seeking private developers to build as well as run them, he said.

For such private companies, getting loans will depend partly on their ability to persuade lenders that state-run utilities will pay enough for electricity to make the ventures profitable over the long term, said Laurent Longuet, Middle East managing director of Total’s US-based solar subsidiary SunPower Corp.

“What’s important for banks when evaluating renewable energy projects is to be able to manage their risk,” Mr Longuet said last month in Abu Dhabi. “Banks are looking to finance projects where there are the best guarantees, and, here in the Middle East, that’s provided by the power buyers, which are mainly the governments.”

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UAE squad

Rahul Chopra (captain), Aayan Afzal Khan, Ali Naseer, Aryansh Sharma, Basil Hameed, Dhruv Parashar, Junaid Siddique, Muhammad Farooq, Muhammad Jawadullah, Muhammad Waseem, Omid Rahman, Rahul Bhatia, Tanish Suri, Vishnu Sukumaran, Vriitya Aravind

Fixtures

Friday, November 1 – Oman v UAE
Sunday, November 3 – UAE v Netherlands
Thursday, November 7 – UAE v Oman
Saturday, November 9 – Netherlands v UAE

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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GOLF’S RAHMBO

- 5 wins in 22 months as pro
- Three wins in past 10 starts
- 45 pro starts worldwide: 5 wins, 17 top 5s
- Ranked 551th in world on debut, now No 4 (was No 2 earlier this year)
- 5th player in last 30 years to win 3 European Tour and 2 PGA Tour titles before age 24 (Woods, Garcia, McIlroy, Spieth)

ICC T20 Team of 2021

Jos Buttler, Mohammad Rizwan, Babar Azam, Aiden Markram, Mitchell Marsh, David Miller, Tabraiz Shamsi, Josh Hazlewood, Wanindu Hasaranga, Mustafizur Rahman, Shaheen Afridi

SPAIN SQUAD

Goalkeepers Simon (Athletic Bilbao), De Gea (Manchester United), Sanchez (Brighton)

Defenders Gaya (Valencia), Alba (Barcelona), P Torres (Villarreal), Laporte (Manchester City), Garcia (Manchester City), D Llorente (Leeds), Azpilicueta (Chelsea)

Midfielders Busquets (Barcelona), Rodri (Manchester City), Pedri (Barcelona), Thiago (Liverpool), Koke (Atletico Madrid), Ruiz (Napoli), M Llorente (Atletico Madrid)

Forwards: Olmo (RB Leipzig), Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad), Morata (Juventus), Moreno (Villarreal), F Torres (Manchester City), Traore (Wolves), Sarabia (PSG)

Armies of Sand

By Kenneth Pollack (Oxford University Press)