Institutional investors set to step up to the plate for London's residents


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This year is predicted to be the year institutional investors finally commit to providing homes for renters in the United Kingdom.

Jones Lang LaSalle, a property consultancy, says more than £2.85 billion (Dh15.92bn) is being targeted at the private rented sector from UK and overseas client funds.

The money is coming from existing UK investors, from overseas funds, private wealth and private equity; as well as so-called housing associations - which are charitable and local government-funded providers of homes.

The figure of £2.85bn compares to £1bn aimed at the sector last year and represents a 185 per cent increase of capital. "We said at the start of this year that 2013 would be the year that the theory that institutions could invest in the private rental sector would turn into reality," says Adam Challis, the head of residential research at Jones Lang LaSalle.

He said the appetite for investment in the UK residential sector has been growing for five years but now there was demonstrable support from housebuilders.

"One of the big challenges is that there hasn't been the right sort of assets to acquire. Now there won't be a large development in London or the south east that doesn't incorporate a build-to-let element," Mr Challis says.

The first institution to take the plunge was M&G Investments, an arm of the insurance giant Prudential. At the turn of the year, it paid a housing association, Genesis, £125 million for a 160-year lease of 401 market-rented flats in a block known as Halo, in Stratford, next to the Olympic stadium in East London. The block is due to be completed this year.

A second landmark deal, by the same institution, was announced at the beginning of April. M&G Real Estate is paying £105m to buy a residential portfolio of 534 homes in Greater London and the south east, from Berkeley Group, a housebuilder.

Berkeley will remain a minority stakeholder when the deal is completed.

"The expanding residential rental property market, particularly in London and southern England, is gaining in appeal for institutional investors," says Alex Jeffrey, the chief executive of M&G Real Estate.

"We believe returns from the sector - which have historically outpaced commercial real estate - will continue to be attractive as demand increases."

"For institutional investors, the challenge of the residential rental sector has been two-fold: can you acquire property in sufficient scale and how will you ensure the units are managed to a high standard? This deal meets both aspects of that challenge."

M&G Real Estate's move has been hailed as a sea-change in the country's housing market. Aviva, another UK insurance giant, is thought to be on M&G's heels with a similar deal, which would involve it buying thousands of homes in London and the south east from a housing association called A2Dominion.

Other institutional investors understood to be looking at the sector include Legal & General and Schroders.

The catalyst for institutions to get into the rental sector is not just sentiment.

Residential property has consistently outperformed nearly all other areas of the market in the past three decades, on both a total return and risk-adjusted return basis.

It has also outperformed the equity and gilt markets over the 30-year period.

In real terms, the difference between residential and commercial property is even starker, with residential having produced an annual total return of 9.7 per cent, compared with commercial's 5 per cent, according to data from M&G Real Estate.

"The UK institutions are struggling to get the returns they need from the bond market," says James Mannix, the head of residential capital markets at Knight Frank, a property surveying firm. "They have a huge amount of money to invest somewhere and the residential market is massive. The income is also very secure although it does not have long leases or tenants with covenants."

The institutions' own investors are also clamouring for them to be investing in residential, having seen the sort of returns that can be made.

"They are recruiting people and getting their resources together. It is definitely happening but the number of deals done are thin on the ground and we expect to see more at the end of the year," Mr Mannix says.

The stage is set, it now just remains to be seen if these most cautious of investors will take the plunge.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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