Above, a construction site north of Doha. Complaints from consultancy firms about late payments is on the rise, with conditions in Qatar and Saudi Arabia becoming 'markedly worse' over the past 12 months. Ibraheem Al Omari / Reuters
Above, a construction site north of Doha. Complaints from consultancy firms about late payments is on the rise, with conditions in Qatar and Saudi Arabia becoming 'markedly worse' over the past 12 monShow more

Delayed GCC payments discourage consultancy firms



Growth in the consultancy market in the GCC is slowing dramatically as multinational firms have been deterred by late payment issues.

A study by Source Global Research (Source) found that the consultancy market grew 6 per cent in 2016, which is a decline from the 15 per cent growth recorded in 2014.

The study said that the market had grown in size to US$2.8 billion. That compared with $2.5bn in 2014. About $900 million of this was spent by public sector clients, but the slowdown in work for governments was even more pronounced, with growth dropping to 5.6 per cent last year, compared with 19.4 per cent in 2014.

It said that the recent slump in oil prices had affected public sector budgets.

Edward Haigh, a director of Source Global Research, said: “Six per cent growth meant that 2016 was the year in which the GCC – the consulting world’s star performer for so many years – stopped standing out.”

Complaints from consultancy firms about late payments is also on the rise the study said, with firms reporting that conditions in Saudi Arabia and Qatar have become “markedly worse” over the past 12 months.

Demand for consultancy services in the UAE grew by 6.6 per cent, reaching $815m last year. However, there was a significant difference noted between Abu Dhabi and Dubai. The former market was characterised by cautious clients and slow decision-making, according to Source, whereas the latter was described as a regional bright spot.

Saudi Arabia remained the region’s biggest market, spending $1.31bn on consultants last year, while Qatar spent $342m.

The financial services sector was the most active market for consultants across the GCC.

The report noted that the introduction of value-added tax (VAT) next year could drive demand for consultants in the UAE.

The report also argued that the cancellation or postponement of many projects was also creating challenges for companies that are trying to plan their own resources.

“You can’t help wondering if there’s a year of extraordinary growth dangling somewhere out there in the future of the GCC consulting market,” Mr Haigh added.

“Combine Saudi Arabia’s National Transformation Programme with a recovering oil price, pressure building in Qatar as 2022 nears, and the Dubai World Expo in 2020, and you start to create a perfect storm of demand for consulting services. Unfortunately for consultants, that year will not be 2017.”

Chuck Harrington, the chief executive of Parsons – a US-based engineering consultancy, which earned about 20 per cent of its global revenue of US$3.2bn in 2015 (the most recent year for which figures are available) from the Middle East – said that late payments “continue to be a major problem for companies doing business here”.

“The overall issue of delayed payments in the GCC region has gotten more severe in the past few years; we are seeing our receivables – that is, approved invoices – go significantly beyond the contractual terms and conditions that we’ve signed up for,” said Mr Harrington. “Depending on the project, late payments can reach two to three times of the contractually mandated terms.”

Mr Harrington added that there were “ some hopeful signs in Saudi Arabia, such as the government bond issuance last year, which eased the liquidity crunch in the kingdom”.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”