Window shopping at an estate agency in South Kensington, London. Analysts say prices are on a downturn but do not agree on what that may mean for the long-term health of the housing market. PA
Window shopping at an estate agency in South Kensington, London. Analysts say prices are on a downturn but do not agree on what that may mean for the long-term health of the housing market. PA
Window shopping at an estate agency in South Kensington, London. Analysts say prices are on a downturn but do not agree on what that may mean for the long-term health of the housing market. PA
Window shopping at an estate agency in South Kensington, London. Analysts say prices are on a downturn but do not agree on what that may mean for the long-term health of the housing market. PA

UK housing market cools as inflation rises and consumer confidence falls


Laura O'Callaghan
  • English
  • Arabic

The UK housing market is showing signs of cooling as a growing number of sellers cut asking prices and the average time it takes to sell a home increases, new data suggests.

The Bank of England is widely tipped to increase interest rates further, which will cool the market if this feeds into mortgage rates.

In May, house prices were 11.2 per cent higher than a year earlier, according to Nationwide’s index, down from 12.1 per cent in April.

Data released by the Bank this week suggested families are starting to feel the pinch, as mortgage borrowing slumped in May and consumers once again resorted to credit cards to help to pay bills.

Lenders are following the Bank by raising interest rates, contributing to the rapid increase in expenses that people must bear.

In April, asking prices on nearly two dozen homes up for sale were cut by an average of 9 per cent, the highest level of discounting in 18 months, according to property portal Zoopla.

The UK's housing market is cooling. PA
The UK's housing market is cooling. PA

“We’re seeing the start of signals that things are softening,” said Grainne Gilmore, Zoopla’s head of research.

The housing market is set to slow down as the year progresses, Nationwide said, saying rising inflation was responsible.

“Demand is being supported by strong labour market conditions, where the unemployment rate has fallen towards 50-year lows, and with the number of job vacancies at a record high,” said Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist.

“At the same time, the stock of homes on the market has remained low, keeping upward pressure on house prices.

“We continue to expect the housing market to slow as the year progresses.

“Household finances are likely to remain under pressure, with inflation set to reach double digits in the coming quarters if global energy prices remain high.”

Consumer confidence has plummeted towards record lows, Mr Gardner said.

Alice Haine, personal finance analyst at investment platform Bestinvest, said there is mounting evidence that annual house price growth is on the downturn.

However, she said figures from Nationwide’s index show that “despite a pandemic, four consecutive interest rate rises at the Bank of England’s monetary policy meetings, and the deepening cost-of-living crisis, house price activity remains robust”.

Russia's Muslim Heartlands

Dominic Rubin, Oxford

How to play the stock market recovery in 2021?

If you are looking to build your long-term wealth in 2021 and beyond, the stock market is still the best place to do it as equities powered on despite the pandemic.

Investing in individual stocks is not for everyone and most private investors should stick to mutual funds and ETFs, but there are some thrilling opportunities for those who understand the risks.

Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, says the 20 best-performing US and European stocks have delivered an average return year-to-date of 148 per cent, measured in local currency terms.

Online marketplace Etsy was the best performer with a return of 330.6 per cent, followed by communications software company Sinch (315.4 per cent), online supermarket HelloFresh (232.8 per cent) and fuel cells specialist NEL (191.7 per cent).

Mr Garnry says digital companies benefited from the lockdown, while green energy firms flew as efforts to combat climate change were ramped up, helped in part by the European Union’s green deal. 

Electric car company Tesla would be on the list if it had been part of the S&P 500 Index, but it only joined on December 21. “Tesla has become one of the most valuable companies in the world this year as demand for electric vehicles has grown dramatically,” Mr Garnry says.

By contrast, the 20 worst-performing European stocks fell 54 per cent on average, with European banks hit by the economic fallout from the pandemic, while cruise liners and airline stocks suffered due to travel restrictions.

As demand for energy fell, the oil and gas industry had a tough year, too.

Mr Garnry says the biggest story this year was the “absolute crunch” in so-called value stocks, companies that trade at low valuations compared to their earnings and growth potential.

He says they are “heavily tilted towards financials, miners, energy, utilities and industrials, which have all been hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic”. “The last year saw these cheap stocks become cheaper and expensive stocks have become more expensive.” 

This has triggered excited talk about the “great value rotation” but Mr Garnry remains sceptical. “We need to see a breakout of interest rates combined with higher inflation before we join the crowd.”

Always remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Last year’s winners often turn out to be this year’s losers, and vice-versa.

The%20specs
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEngine%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%201.8-litre%204-cyl%20turbo%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPower%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E190hp%20at%205%2C200rpm%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETorque%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20320Nm%20from%201%2C800-5%2C000rpm%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETransmission%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ESeven-speed%20dual-clutch%20auto%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFuel%20consumption%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%206.7L%2F100km%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20From%20Dh111%2C195%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EOn%20sale%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ENow%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Paatal Lok season two

Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy 

Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong

Rating: 4.5/5

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Updated: June 01, 2022, 8:52 AM