Property investors who make the best returns often do so without realising due to a principal called leverage. Courtesy: HMS Homes
Property investors who make the best returns often do so without realising due to a principal called leverage. Courtesy: HMS Homes
Property investors who make the best returns often do so without realising due to a principal called leverage. Courtesy: HMS Homes
Property investors who make the best returns often do so without realising due to a principal called leverage. Courtesy: HMS Homes

UAE property market to see strong rebound in next 18 months, experts say


Fareed Rahman
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There is a "true rebound" in the UAE’s property market, driven by government initiatives with the market momentum expected to sustain for the next 12 to 18 months as more people buy homes, according to industry experts.

“There is a lot being done in Dubai and in the UAE to ensure longevity of residency and that’s very important for us as developers and that’s really underpinning the real estate recovery that we’ve seen,” Alexander Davies, the chief commercial officer of the Dubai Holding Real Estate told the Cityscape Global Summit on Sunday.

“This is a true rebound and there are very good fundamentals underlying it.”

The sentiment so far is very positive
Dounia Fadi,
chief operating officer of Berkshire Hathaway Home Services Gulf Properties

Over the past year, the UAE government has introduced a number of measures to support the economy, including visas for retirees and professionals working remotely and the expansion of the 10-year golden visa initiative.

The UAE government also overhauled its commercial companies' law and annulled the requirement for onshore companies to have an Emirati shareholder to attract foreign capital.

Property markets in Abu Dhabi and Dubai have rebounded strongly, as pent-up demand and supportive stimulus measures offered by the government boosted economic activity.

Dubai recorded 37,537 sales transactions worth Dh88.12 billion ($23.99bn) in the eight months of this year, up 22.61 per cent compared with the whole of last year, according to the listings portal Property Finder.

Icon properties villas ready for rental behind Gava hotel on Defence Road in Abu Dhabi. Ravindranath K / The National
Icon properties villas ready for rental behind Gava hotel on Defence Road in Abu Dhabi. Ravindranath K / The National

Residential property prices in Dubai increased 4.4 per cent on average in the first eight months of the year, registering the highest annual growth since February 2015, according to real estate consultancy CBRE.

Average residential prices in Abu Dhabi increased 2.2 per cent in the year to August, the CBRE report said. The UAE capital registered Dh16.2bn of property transactions during the third quarter of 2021.

“The sentiment so far is very positive,” Dounia Fadi, chief operating officer of Berkshire Hathaway Home Services Gulf Properties, told The National.

“It is not only the sentiment but the numbers as well, which have been rising since the fourth quarter of 2020 and so far it has been really sustainable growth. It didn’t really shoot up to crazy numbers and in tune with the demand we are seeing.

“We have a lot of people within the country looking for properties … the mortgage rates are promising and in the next 12 to 18 months the market will be on the rise,” she said.

The demand is driven by “how Dubai and the UAE government has handled the pandemic and a lot of people are relocating from Europe, the US, India and South Africa. People are moving here because they feel safe and because the pandemic is under well control”, she added.

The UAE, the Arab world’s second-largest economy, has been recording less than 100 coronavirus cases every day for the past few weeks. The country also accelerated the vaccination programme to prevent the pandemic from spreading.

According to official data, more than 21.3 million vaccine doses have been administered since the start of last December.

Ms Fadi also underscored the importance of sustainability in new projects and said there is only one development in Dubai, which is based on renewable energy and “there is a huge demand for that”.

“We do need more supply in that segment (sustainability) and after Cop26 summit, all governments have taken the pledge to do more in that segment,” she said. She also said the Dubai 2040 urban master plan is step in the right direction to boost green space in the emirate.

Earlier this year, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President and Ruler of Dubai, set forward a plan to overhaul the emirate's urban landscape, dramatically increasing community, economic and recreational areas, as well as nature reserves, by 2040.

As per the plan, areas for economic and recreational activities will grow by one-and-a-half times and the length of beaches will increase by 400 per cent over the next 20 years.

Dubai property of the week: Dh50 million jewel among Pearl Jumeirah villas

'Worse than a prison sentence'

Marie Byrne, a counsellor who volunteers at the UAE government's mental health crisis helpline, said the ordeal the crew had been through would take time to overcome.

“It was worse than a prison sentence, where at least someone can deal with a set amount of time incarcerated," she said.

“They were living in perpetual mystery as to how their futures would pan out, and what that would be.

“Because of coronavirus, the world is very different now to the one they left, that will also have an impact.

“It will not fully register until they are on dry land. Some have not seen their young children grow up while others will have to rebuild relationships.

“It will be a challenge mentally, and to find other work to support their families as they have been out of circulation for so long. Hopefully they will get the care they need when they get home.”

RESULT

Manchester City 1 Sheffield United 0
Man City:
Jesus (9')

Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

Bloomberg

Updated: November 08, 2021, 6:58 AM