Global markets are in turmoil, with US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs rattling investors. The S&P 500 has dropped 5 per cent so far this year, as fears of job losses and recession grow.
As ever, investors will respond to market volatility in different ways. Some embrace it, while others run for cover.
If you’re looking to invest $10,000 (Dh36,700) over the second quarter, here are three potential strategies.
The first involves sitting out the turbulence in low-risk asset classes, the second explores a recovering rival to the US, while the third is for risk takers.
As with any investment, always consider both the risks and rewards and aim to hold for the long term.
1. Safe ports in the storm
Many investors will be tempted to seek safety in lower-risk assets like cash, bonds and gold, says Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial. “Given the uncertainty, these are now a reasonable strategy.”
Even safe assets have risks though. Inflation could erode cash savings, while bond markets are vulnerable to interest rate moves.
Inflation remains a wild card, Mr Valecha says. “If it stays high, the Federal Reserve may delay interest rate cuts, keeping bond yields high.”
Paul Jackson, global head of asset allocation research at Invesco, calls cash “the ultimate diversifier”. “It has little volatility and limited correlation to other assets.”
The European Central Bank, Bank of England and other central bankers have started cutting interest rates, but cash should continue to offer a solid return, Mr Jackson adds. “I think the rate of easing will now slow, with rates staying higher for longer.”
Tony Hallside, chief executive of Dubai-based brokers STP Partners, says both cash and short-duration government bonds offer solid yields. “That’s something we haven’t seen in over a decade. For capital preservation with upside optionality, the combination is hard to ignore.”
Jacob Falkencrone, global head of investment strategy at Saxo Bank, also favours cash and short-term government bonds. “They offer stability and liquidity, crucial in volatile periods, while today’s attractive yields can sustain purchasing power.”
Gold is the oldest safe haven of them all, and today’s insecurity has driven the price to a record high of $3,133 an ounce, up almost 19 per cent this year alone.
However, Mr Jackson warns it’s now more expensive in real terms than at any point in the past 150 years. “While further volatility in US policy or recession could push gold higher, an outbreak of peace could undermine it.”
Verdict: There are strong arguments in favour of playing safe today, but beware of gold. Despite its reputation, the price has been highly volatile in the past and could be again. As ever in investing, diversification is the ultimate protection.
2. Is Europe the smart bet right now?
While Wall Street falls, Europe is climbing. Investors should not overlook the quiet momentum building in European equities, says Mr Hallside at STP Partners.
“Germany’s pivot towards industrial rearmament and broader EU fiscal initiatives suggest we are at the early stages of a multiyear recovery story,” he adds.
Saxo Bank's Mr Falkencrone says Europe is at an inflection point. “Mr Trump’s withdrawal from traditional alliances has pushed the continent towards unprecedented self-reliance, particularly in defence and infrastructure.”
Defence and aerospace stocks will directly benefit from surging European military expenditure, while the infrastructure and industrial sectors should capitalise on the region’s extensive rebuilding and reshoring efforts, he says.
“Green energy and technology leaders will be winners from Europe’s accelerating drive towards energy independence and digital sovereignty.”
European stock valuations remain attractive relative to the US, but risks include “fiscal implementation and potential political fragmentation within the EU”, Mr Falkencrone says.
He suggests defensive sectors such as health care and utilities may add stability for those targeting Europe.
Mathieu Racheter, head of equity strategy research at Julius Baer, says Germany’s decision to lift its debt brake could boost gross domestic product but it will only see the full impact next year. Instead, he favours Switzerland.
“Swiss large caps provide defensive stability, while mid-caps present an even more compelling opportunity given their pro-cyclical nature and the improving European growth outlook,” he adds.
Swiss mid-caps have outperformed global equities historically, thanks to strong balance sheets and steady earnings growth. “With 60 per cent of their revenue coming from continental Europe, they’re well-placed to ride the wave of fiscal stimulus.”
Verdict: Europe could rise while the US falls, but there are no guarantees. If Mr Trump changes track, Wall Street could come storming back.
3. Are you ready for a wild ride?
Not every investor fears the current volatility. Some brave souls may race to embrace it.
And what better way to ride the tiger today than by investing in Elon Musk's electric car maker, Tesla?
Tesla’s stock is down around 30 per cent this year, hit by trade war risks, Mr Musk’s political controversies, and rising electric vehicle competition.
Mr Falkencrone at Saxo Bank says the dip may tempt bargain seekers but warns: “A lower stock price doesn’t automatically mean value.”
He says Tesla’s future relies on uncertain bets like autonomous driving and robotaxis. “Tesla depends heavily on China, and worsening US-China relations could damage sales and profitability.”
Traditional car makers and new Chinese competitors like BYD are rapidly gaining ground, rolling out fresh EV models at a faster pace, Mr Falkencrone adds.
“Any investment should be part of a carefully sized, long-term speculative position rather than a bet based solely on recent price declines.”
Mr Valecha at Century Financial says Tesla has a huge opportunity, but not in electric cars. “According to Elon Musk's vision, Tesla is more than just an automotive firm. It's an AI and robotics company, with visionary products such as autonomous vehicles and robotaxis.”
This vision is shared by star fund manager Cathie Wood of ARK Invest, who predicts Tesla shares could rise 10-fold, driven by its robotaxi plans.
Tesla aims to combine autonomous vehicles with a ride-sharing model, allowing owners to rent out their Teslas like an Airbnb for cars. “If it works, it could be a major revenue driver,” says Mr Valecha.
Tesla remains one of the most volatile stocks on the market. For investors willing to take the risk, the potential rewards could be enormous.
Verdict: Tempted? Then buckle up. Tesla has always been a bumpy ride, but never more so than now.
MATCH INFO
Alaves 1 (Perez 65' pen)
Real Madrid 2 (Ramos 52', Carvajal 69')
Islamophobia definition
A widely accepted definition was made by the All Party Parliamentary Group on British Muslims in 2019: “Islamophobia is rooted in racism and is a type of racism that targets expressions of Muslimness or perceived Muslimness.” It further defines it as “inciting hatred or violence against Muslims”.
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
How tumultuous protests grew
- A fuel tax protest by French drivers appealed to wider anti-government sentiment
- Unlike previous French demonstrations there was no trade union or organised movement involved
- Demonstrators responded to online petitions and flooded squares to block traffic
- At its height there were almost 300,000 on the streets in support
- Named after the high visibility jackets that drivers must keep in cars
- Clashes soon turned violent as thousands fought with police at cordons
- An estimated two dozen people lost eyes and many others were admitted to hospital
Earth under attack: Cosmic impacts throughout history
- 4.5 billion years ago: Mars-sized object smashes into the newly-formed Earth, creating debris that coalesces to form the Moon
- 66 million years ago: 10km-wide asteroid crashes into the Gulf of Mexico, wiping out over 70 per cent of living species – including the dinosaurs.
- 50,000 years ago: 50m-wide iron meteor crashes in Arizona with the violence of 10 megatonne hydrogen bomb, creating the famous 1.2km-wide Barringer Crater
- 1490: Meteor storm over Shansi Province, north-east China when large stones “fell like rain”, reportedly leading to thousands of deaths.
- 1908: 100-metre meteor from the Taurid Complex explodes near the Tunguska river in Siberia with the force of 1,000 Hiroshima-type bombs, devastating 2,000 square kilometres of forest.
- 1998: Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 breaks apart and crashes into Jupiter in series of impacts that would have annihilated life on Earth.
-2013: 10,000-tonne meteor burns up over the southern Urals region of Russia, releasing a pressure blast and flash that left over 1600 people injured.
The five pillars of Islam
Skewed figures
In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458.
Stormy seas
Weather warnings show that Storm Eunice is soon to make landfall. The videographer and I are scrambling to return to the other side of the Channel before it does. As we race to the port of Calais, I see miles of wire fencing topped with barbed wire all around it, a silent ‘Keep Out’ sign for those who, unlike us, aren’t lucky enough to have the right to move freely and safely across borders.
We set sail on a giant ferry whose length dwarfs the dinghies migrants use by nearly a 100 times. Despite the windy rain lashing at the portholes, we arrive safely in Dover; grateful but acutely aware of the miserable conditions the people we’ve left behind are in and of the privilege of choice.
GIANT REVIEW
Starring: Amir El-Masry, Pierce Brosnan
Director: Athale
Rating: 4/5
Key recommendations
- Fewer criminals put behind bars and more to serve sentences in the community, with short sentences scrapped and many inmates released earlier.
- Greater use of curfews and exclusion zones to deliver tougher supervision than ever on criminals.
- Explore wider powers for judges to punish offenders by blocking them from attending football matches, banning them from driving or travelling abroad through an expansion of ‘ancillary orders’.
- More Intensive Supervision Courts to tackle the root causes of crime such as alcohol and drug abuse – forcing repeat offenders to take part in tough treatment programmes or face prison.
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The Al Barzakh Festival takes place on Wednesday and Thursday at 7.30pm in the Red Theatre, NYUAD, Saadiyat Island. Tickets cost Dh105 for adults from platinumlist.net
Closing the loophole on sugary drinks
As The National reported last year, non-fizzy sugared drinks were not covered when the original tax was introduced in 2017. Sports drinks sold in supermarkets were found to contain, on average, 20 grams of sugar per 500ml bottle.
The non-fizzy drink AriZona Iced Tea contains 65 grams of sugar – about 16 teaspoons – per 680ml can. The average can costs about Dh6, which would rise to Dh9.
Drinks such as Starbucks Bottled Mocha Frappuccino contain 31g of sugar in 270ml, while Nescafe Mocha in a can contains 15.6g of sugar in a 240ml can.
Flavoured water, long-life fruit juice concentrates, pre-packaged sweetened coffee drinks fall under the ‘sweetened drink’ category
Not taxed:
Freshly squeezed fruit juices, ground coffee beans, tea leaves and pre-prepared flavoured milkshakes do not come under the ‘sweetened drink’ band.
MATCH DETAILS
Manchester United 3
Greenwood (21), Martial (33), Rashford (49)
Partizan Belgrade 0
The%20specs
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Tips to keep your car cool
- Place a sun reflector in your windshield when not driving
- Park in shaded or covered areas
- Add tint to windows
- Wrap your car to change the exterior colour
- Pick light interiors - choose colours such as beige and cream for seats and dashboard furniture
- Avoid leather interiors as these absorb more heat
'Texas Chainsaw Massacre'
Rating: 1 out of 4
Running time: 81 minutes
Director: David Blue Garcia
Starring: Sarah Yarkin, Elsie Fisher, Mark Burnham
How the bonus system works
The two riders are among several riders in the UAE to receive the top payment of £10,000 under the Thank You Fund of £16 million (Dh80m), which was announced in conjunction with Deliveroo's £8 billion (Dh40bn) stock market listing earlier this year.
The £10,000 (Dh50,000) payment is made to those riders who have completed the highest number of orders in each market.
There are also riders who will receive payments of £1,000 (Dh5,000) and £500 (Dh2,500).
All riders who have worked with Deliveroo for at least one year and completed 2,000 orders will receive £200 (Dh1,000), the company said when it announced the scheme.
AL%20BOOM
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Company%C2%A0profile
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Racecard
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Election pledges on migration
CDU: "Now is the time to control the German borders and enforce strict border rejections"
SPD: "Border closures and blanket rejections at internal borders contradict the spirit of a common area of freedom"
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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STAY%2C%20DAUGHTER
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TERMINAL HIGH ALTITUDE AREA DEFENCE (THAAD)
What is THAAD?
It is considered to be the US's most superior missile defence system.
Production:
It was created in 2008.
Speed:
THAAD missiles can travel at over Mach 8, so fast that it is hypersonic.
Abilities:
THAAD is designed to take out ballistic missiles as they are on their downward trajectory towards their target, otherwise known as the "terminal phase".
Purpose:
To protect high-value strategic sites, such as airfields or population centres.
Range:
THAAD can target projectiles inside and outside the Earth's atmosphere, at an altitude of 150 kilometres above the Earth's surface.
Creators:
Lockheed Martin was originally granted the contract to develop the system in 1992. Defence company Raytheon sub-contracts to develop other major parts of the system, such as ground-based radar.
UAE and THAAD:
In 2011, the UAE became the first country outside of the US to buy two THAAD missile defence systems. It then stationed them in 2016, becoming the first Gulf country to do so.
The White Lotus: Season three
Creator: Mike White
Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell
Rating: 4.5/5
The specs: Volvo XC40
Price: base / as tested: Dh185,000
Engine: 2.0-litre, turbocharged in-line four-cylinder
Gearbox: Eight-speed automatic
Power: 250hp @ 5,500rpm
Torque: 350Nm @ 1,500rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 10.4L / 100km
The flights: South African Airways flies from Dubai International Airport with a stop in Johannesburg, with prices starting from around Dh4,000 return. Emirates can get you there with a stop in Lusaka from around Dh4,600 return.
The details: Visas are available for 247 Zambian kwacha or US$20 (Dh73) per person on arrival at Livingstone Airport. Single entry into Victoria Falls for international visitors costs 371 kwacha or $30 (Dh110). Microlight flights are available through Batoka Sky, with 15-minute flights costing 2,265 kwacha (Dh680).
Accommodation: The Royal Livingstone Victoria Falls Hotel by Anantara is an ideal place to stay, within walking distance of the falls and right on the Zambezi River. Rooms here start from 6,635 kwacha (Dh2,398) per night, including breakfast, taxes and Wi-Fi. Water arrivals cost from 587 kwacha (Dh212) per person.