In a move bound to spark more political controversy in Iraq, foreign energy companies seeking to invest in the country have been offered a new kind of deal that would allow them to share in long-term profits from oil and gas production.
In a surprise development at a meeting in London on Monday, the Iraqi oil minister, Hussain al Shahristani, invited 35 pre-qualified foreign oil companies to bid for a share of revenues from six big Iraqi oil fields and two gas fields after certain initial targets are met. The competitive bidding round will be Iraq's first for licences to produce oil and gas in the oil-rich country, and is being closely watched internationally.
The structure of the new deals unveiled by Mr Shahristani runs against what most western oil companies and analysts were expecting and many had feared: more "technical services contracts" based on flat fees for pumping oil. Instead, by offering extra long-term incentives to foreign investors in Iraq's re-emergent oil sector, the Iraqi oil minister may have swept aside one of the biggest impediments to getting the country's energy development programme back on track: persuading technically savvy western oil companies to assist.
Mr Shahristani said outside help was needed to boost Iraq's oil output to the level required to finance reconstruction. "Current production is by no way meeting our needs for the redevelopment of the country," he said,
The oil minister made clear that his top priority was ending the delays that have beset Iraq's efforts to rehabilitate its oil sector in the six years following the US-led invasion of the country.
Foreign oil companies are expected to submit bids on the 20-year contracts within six months, and Iraq's government wants deals to be in place by next June. Only the Iraqi cabinet would review the deals and decide whether to approve them, Mr Shahristani said, bypassing the need for protracted debate in Iraq's politically fractious parliament. "We cannot afford any more delays," he told reporters.
But the bold move is likely to anger many Iraqis, including oilfield workers, who are highly suspicious of foreign involvement in the country's energy sector, and some influential politicians and bureaucrats who have been calling for oil assets to be nationalised.
To appease such factions, the only previous oil agreement signed by Mr Shahristani has been a technical services contract with China National Petroleum Corporation, which he strongly suggested would serve as a model for future deals. The oil minister also said on al Jazeera television that Iraq would never sign production-sharing agreements with foreign oil companies.
Although details of the proposed oil contracts were not fully disclosed on Monday, the deals now on offer appear to be a hybrid between politically safer technical services agreements and industry-preferred production-sharing contracts - revenue-sharing deals that are standard in many oil-producing jurisdictions.
In the bidding round, Baghdad will offer foreign companies or consortia 49 per cent stakes in 20-year oil and gas development programmes for six fields containing more than 40 billion barrels of oil in total, or nearly 38 per cent of Iraq's 115 billion barrels of proved oil reserves, plus two big gas fields. Iraqi state oil companies will hold 51 per cent interests in each project.
The foreign partners will also be required to pay a US$10 million (Dh36.7m) signing bonus for each deal, and taxes and fees on production. Revenue-sharing compensation would depend partly on the success of drilling programmes to expand each field's established reserves and production capacity.
Making Mr Shahristani's job even tougher, Iraq's resource nationalists are not the only parties likely to oppose the deals. The semi-autonomous Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) in north-eastern Iraq wants Baghdad to pass a law allowing pure production-sharing agreements, and it resents not being consulted on the contracts being offered in the federal bidding round.
"The federal oil ministry on their own have no legal power or legal mandate to negotiate and sign contracts," Ashti Hawrami, the KRG natural resources minister, told United Press International. He said Iraq's new constitution forbids the national oil ministry from signing oil deals without parliamentary approval.
A proposed federal Iraqi oil law and three related laws have been stalled by political fights over national versus regional control of oil development and the extent to which foreign oil companies should be involved. The latter issue has led to confrontations between Iraqi oil workers and the government.
"Iraqis would have to live with this deal for decades. The tragedy is that when the occupation finally ends, Iraqis may find their economy and natural resources are no longer their own," said Greg Muttit, the co-director of Platform, a British organisation that works with Iraqi oil workers.
On Saturday, Platform staged a protest outside the London offices of Royal Dutch Shell and BP, which will join ExxonMobil, Chevron, Total and 29 other oil companies preparing bids.
Last month, Iraq produced about 2.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil, according to industry estimates, down from its 2.5 million bpd post-war peak reached this summer.
tcarlisle@thenational.ae
At Eternity’s Gate
Director: Julian Schnabel
Starring: Willem Dafoe, Oscar Isaacs, Mads Mikkelsen
Three stars
Brief scores:
Huesca 0
Real Madrid 1
Bale 8'
Pros%20and%20cons%20of%20BNPL
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EPros%3C%2Fstrong%3E%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cul%3E%0A%3Cli%3EEasy%20to%20use%20and%20require%20less%20rigorous%20credit%20checks%20than%20traditional%20credit%20options%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EOffers%20the%20ability%20to%20spread%20the%20cost%20of%20purchases%20over%20time%2C%20often%20interest-free%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EConvenient%20and%20can%20be%20integrated%20directly%20into%20the%20checkout%20process%2C%20useful%20for%20online%20shopping%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EHelps%20facilitate%20cash%20flow%20planning%20when%20used%20wisely%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3C%2Ful%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECons%3C%2Fstrong%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cul%3E%0A%3Cli%3EThe%20ease%20of%20making%20purchases%20can%20lead%20to%20overspending%20and%20accumulation%20of%20debt%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EMissing%20payments%20can%20result%20in%20hefty%20fees%20and%2C%20in%20some%20cases%2C%20high%20interest%20rates%20after%20an%20initial%20interest-free%20period%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3EFailure%20to%20make%20payments%20can%20impact%20credit%20score%20negatively%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3Cli%3ERefunds%20can%20be%20complicated%20and%20delayed%0D%3C%2Fli%3E%0A%3C%2Ful%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cem%3ECourtesy%3A%20Carol%20Glynn%3C%2Fem%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?
The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.
Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.
New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.
“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.
The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.
The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.
Bloomberg
Roger Federer's 2018 record
Australian Open Champion
Rotterdam Champion
Indian Wells Runner-up
Miami Second round
Stuttgart Champion
Halle Runner-up
Wimbledon Quarter-finals
Cincinnati Runner-up
US Open Fourth round
Shanghai Semi-finals
Basel Champion
Paris Masters Semi-finals
SCORES IN BRIEF
Lahore Qalandars 186 for 4 in 19.4 overs
(Sohail 100,Phil Salt 37 not out, Bilal Irshad 30, Josh Poysden 2-26)
bt Yorkshire Vikings 184 for 5 in 20 overs
(Jonathan Tattersall 36, Harry Brook 37, Gary Ballance 33, Adam Lyth 32, Shaheen Afridi 2-36).
Match info
Champions League quarter-final, first leg
Liverpool v Porto, Tuesday, 11pm (UAE)
Matches can be watched on BeIN Sports
RESULTS
5pm Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (Dirt) 1,400m
Winner AF Nashrah, Tadhg O’Shea (jockey), Ernst Oertel (trainer)
5.30pm Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,400m
Winner Mutaqadim, Riccardo Iacopini, Ibrahim Al Hadhrami.
6pm Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner Hameem, Jose Santiago, Abdallah Al Hammadi.
6.30pm Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner AF Almomayaz, Sandro Paiva, Ali Rashid Al Raihe.
7pm Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,800m
Winner Dalil Al Carrere, Fernando Jara, Mohamed Daggash.
7.30pm Handicap (TB) Dh70,000 (D) 1,000m
Winner Lahmoom, Royston Ffrench, Salem bin Ghadayer.
8pm Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,000m
Winner Jayide Al Boraq, Bernardo Pinheiro, Khalifa Al Neyadi.
Dengue%20fever%20symptoms
%3Cp%3EHigh%20fever%20(40%C2%B0C%2F104%C2%B0F)%3Cbr%3ESevere%20headache%3Cbr%3EPain%20behind%20the%20eyes%3Cbr%3EMuscle%20and%20joint%20pains%3Cbr%3ENausea%3Cbr%3EVomiting%3Cbr%3ESwollen%20glands%3Cbr%3ERash%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Brief scores:
Manchester City 2
Gundogan 27', De Bruyne 85'
Crystal Palace 3
Schlupp 33', Townsend 35', Milivojevic 51' (pen)
Man of the Match: Andros Townsend (Crystal Palace)
The five pillars of Islam
UAE Rugby finals day
Games being played at The Sevens, Dubai
2pm, UAE Conference final
Dubai Tigers v Al Ain Amblers
4pm, UAE Premiership final
Abu Dhabi Harlequins v Jebel Ali Dragons
Our legal columnist
Name: Yousef Al Bahar
Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994
Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers
Our legal columnist
Name: Yousef Al Bahar
Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994
Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers
Dubai Rugby Sevens, December 5 -7
World Sevens Series Pools
A – Fiji, France, Argentina, Japan
B – United States, Australia, Scotland, Ireland
C – New Zealand, Samoa, Canada, Wales
D – South Africa, England, Spain, Kenya