Emirates is now scrambling to ensure it will comply with the new rules and is working on ways to let passengers keep their devices up until boarding before securing them in cargo holds. Mark Ralston / AFP
Emirates is now scrambling to ensure it will comply with the new rules and is working on ways to let passengers keep their devices up until boarding before securing them in cargo holds. Mark Ralston /Show more

Gulf carriers expected to lose premium business after US device ban



Regional airlines are expected to lose significant business following the US decision to ban large electronic devices in cabin luggage.

The move is expected to hit premium-class travellers hard as well as leisure tourists to the US from the Arabian Gulf, analysts said.

Gulf carriers had been expanding aggressively to the US destinations during the last few years. Emirates alone flies to 12 cities, including Boston, Chicago, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles and New York, while Etihad flies to six.

The ban will affect about 350 scheduled flights a week, equivalent to about 2 per cent of total international flights to the US, an International Air Transport Association spokeswoman said.

“We are closely monitoring the business impact of this new security measure, ” said Emirates airline president Tim Clark. “The airline industry is no stranger to new security protocols and, as a global player, we must expect and adjust to these unexpected situations. Emirates is highly resilient.

“Yes, this new security measure is disruptive and operationally challenging in several regards but I am optimistic we will get through this.”

__________

Will your device be allowed on US flights? Take a look

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Emirates airline will deploy extra staff on the ground at the Dubai International Airport during the first few days as the US ban comes into effect to help passengers comply with the ruling,” he added.

“We are working on a solution that will enable our passengers to utilise their electronic devices up to the last possible moment – whereby they hand their laptops or tablets into our care just before boarding the US bound flight,” he said.

“These will then be stowed in the cargo hold and returned to the passengers when the flight lands in the US.”

Some travel agents in Dubai have received several inquiries from their clients about the ban.

“We have got a negative response and it is going to hit corporate travel to the US from the region as few people would be willing to put their gadgets in the luggage,” said a spokeswoman of Dubai-based Akbar Travels.

“For leisure travellers also, few would put their expensive cameras in the luggage, which might get lost or robbed.”

For corporate travellers for whom laptops and other devices are work tools, the ban is expected to be tough.

“I expect the Gulf carriers to suffer significant traffic loss over this ban as the majority of their traffic rights are non-stops,” said Geoffrey Thomas, an analyst with AirlineRatings.com.

“It would take time and permission before new services could be developed through other destinations.”

The US device ban applies to direct flights from Jordan, Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Morocco and the UAE.

The directive is effective from Saturday until October 14.

The widespread effect of the ban is expected to become more pronounced as passengers seek to retain their devices on board.

“This could mean passengers looking at alternative routings outside of the Middle East, or even possibly not travelling,” said Peter Morris, the chief economist at London-based consultancy Ascend Worldwide.

“It will cause some loss or diversion of passengers for airlines serving the listed airports to the destination countries.”

There could also be a rise of other hubs outside these countries and the UK, which also implements the device ban.

“One possibility could be flights via Shannon in Ireland,” Mr Thomas said.

The number of trips into the US from the UAE has increased over the years.

The US recorded 116,700 trips from the UAE last year, a figure that is expected to rise to 120,400 trips this year, a slower growth of 3 per cent compared to 4 per cent in 2016 due to the travel uncertainties, according to research company Euromonitor International.

This includes trips from corporate as well as leisure travellers to the US.

The Gulf carriers have invested heavily in premium-class cabins.

Qatar Airways declined to comment beyond statements issued on Tuesday.

Etihad did not respond to emailed questions.

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Launched: 2008

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Prize: Dh2.2 million (Dh360,000 for global high schools category)

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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