European banks cut their exposure to the Gulf by US$18.4 billion (Dh67.5bn) during the final quarter of last year.
Banks in the UAE and Saudi Arabia had to bear the brunt of the funding squeeze, according to the latest data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).
Data from the organisation of central banks showed loans by international financial institutions to borrowers in the Gulf, excluding interbank lending, fell $7.3bn during the quarter.
The effect of euro-zone bank deleveraging ahead of Greece's default in February has sapped cross-border lending levels across the globe, with claims falling by $799bn or 2.5 per cent during the quarter, the BIS said.
"During the fourth quarter of 2011, BIS reporting banks recorded their largest fall in aggregate cross-border claims since the drop following the Lehman Brothers collapse three years earlier," the bank said.
"The decline was worldwide, although it was driven by the deleveraging of banks headquartered in the euro area."
Loans outside the banking sector in the UAE decreased by 4.4 per cent to $54.8bn, and by 7.7 per cent to $43.1bn in Saudi Arabia, both of which are home to the biggest borrowers in the region.
However, deposits to international banks in the Gulf increased by 1.2 per cent during the quarter to $392.9bn, most of which was accounted for by lenders depositing an additional $8.4bn in funding in Qatar.
Last year's worldwide fall in lending may have been mitigated to some extent by the €1 trillion (Dh4.56tn) in funds pumped into the banking system by the European Central Bank, beginning in December last year, via so-called long-term refinancing operations (LTRO).
But because euro-zone banks had recycled this capital through their own countries' bond markets, rather than through new loans, the decline in lending to the Gulf is unlikely to have halted during the first half of this year, said Giyas Gokkent, the chief economist at the National Bank of Abu Dhabi.
"I don't think the problem is solved," he said. "Banks in individual countries … have borrowed through the LTRO and bought their own country's bonds."
In the meantime, renewed fears around the euro-zone sovereign debt crisis following last month's inconclusive elections in Greece have hammered European equities and pushed the euro to a two-year low against the dollaron Friday at $1.2327. During the first quarter of the year, lending by UAE banks ground to a halt, with total loans increasing only 0.3 per cent, according to the latest data from the Central Bank.
HSBC, the biggest international lender operating in the Emirates, said in its quarterly earnings statement that its lending in the Middle East and North Africa shrank by 0.8 per cent during the first quarter, to $27.3bn. International banks operating in the Gulf had been much more reticent to lend ever since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, Mr Gokkent added.
"Even before the need for euro-zone bank deleveraging, simply because of the issues that emanated in the Gulf, they cut back selectively after 2008," he said. "What's for sure is that whatever the reasons for the less liquid position of the banking system ... capital markets were tapped to a greater extent than in the past."
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The specs: 2018 Maxus T60
Price, base / as tested: Dh48,000
Engine: 2.4-litre four-cylinder
Power: 136hp @ 1,600rpm
Torque: 360Nm @ 1,600 rpm
Transmission: Five-speed manual
Fuel consumption, combined: 9.1L / 100km
Our legal consultant
Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
What drives subscription retailing?
Once the domain of newspaper home deliveries, subscription model retailing has combined with e-commerce to permeate myriad products and services.
The concept has grown tremendously around the world and is forecast to thrive further, according to UnivDatos Market Insights’ report on recent and predicted trends in the sector.
The global subscription e-commerce market was valued at $13.2 billion (Dh48.5bn) in 2018. It is forecast to touch $478.2bn in 2025, and include the entertainment, fitness, food, cosmetics, baby care and fashion sectors.
The report says subscription-based services currently constitute “a small trend within e-commerce”. The US hosts almost 70 per cent of recurring plan firms, including leaders Dollar Shave Club, Hello Fresh and Netflix. Walmart and Sephora are among longer established retailers entering the space.
UnivDatos cites younger and affluent urbanites as prime subscription targets, with women currently the largest share of end-users.
That’s expected to remain unchanged until 2025, when women will represent a $246.6bn market share, owing to increasing numbers of start-ups targeting women.
Personal care and beauty occupy the largest chunk of the worldwide subscription e-commerce market, with changing lifestyles, work schedules, customisation and convenience among the chief future drivers.
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How The Debt Panel's advice helped readers in 2019
December 11: 'My husband died, so what happens to the Dh240,000 he owes in the UAE?'
JL, a housewife from India, wrote to us about her husband, who died earlier this month. He left behind an outstanding loan of Dh240,000 and she was hoping to pay it off with an insurance policy he had taken out. She also wanted to recover some of her husband’s end-of-service liabilities to help support her and her son.
“I have no words to thank you for helping me out,” she wrote to The Debt Panel after receiving the panellists' comments. “The advice has given me an idea of the present status of the loan and how to take it up further. I will draft a letter and send it to the email ID on the bank’s website along with the death certificate. I hope and pray to find a way out of this.”
November 26: ‘I owe Dh100,000 because my employer has not paid me for a year’
SL, a financial services employee from India, left the UAE in June after quitting his job because his employer had not paid him since November 2018. He owes Dh103,800 on four debts and was told by the panellists he may be able to use the insolvency law to solve his issue.
SL thanked the panellists for their efforts. "Indeed, I have some clarity on the consequence of the case and the next steps to take regarding my situation," he says. "Hopefully, I will be able to provide a positive testimony soon."
October 15: 'I lost my job and left the UAE owing Dh71,000. Can I return?'
MS, an energy sector employee from South Africa, left the UAE in August after losing his Dh12,000 job. He was struggling to meet the repayments while securing a new position in the UAE and feared he would be detained if he returned. He has now secured a new job and will return to the Emirates this month.
“The insolvency law is indeed a relief to hear,” he says. "I will not apply for insolvency at this stage. I have been able to pay something towards my loan and credit card. As it stands, I only have a one-month deficit, which I will be able to recover by the end of December."
The Library: A Catalogue of Wonders
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How it works
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2) Instead of water draining straight through the sand, it apparently helps the soil retain water
3) One application is said to last five years
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Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
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Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
UAE tour of Zimbabwe
All matches in Bulawayo
Friday, Sept 26 – UAE won by 36 runs
Sunday, Sept 28 – Second ODI
Tuesday, Sept 30 – Third ODI
Thursday, Oct 2 – Fourth ODI
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Monday, Oct 6 – Second T20I