Saudi Aramco, the world's largest oil-producing company, said its net profit surged 39 per cent in the third quarter, driven by higher crude prices and a positive long-term view for increased oil demand.
Net profit after zakat for the three-month period to the end of September rose to $42.4 billion, from $30.4bn a year ago, the state oil company said on Tuesday in a regulatory filing to Riyadh's Tadawul stock exchange, where its shares are traded.
That was the company's second-highest quarterly profit on record, after the $48.4bn it reported in the previous quarter.
The company paid a dividend of $18.8bn in the third quarter and plans to pay the same amount in the fourth quarter, it said.
“Aramco’s strong earnings and record free cash flow in the third quarter reinforce our proven ability to generate significant value through our low cost, low-carbon intensity upstream production and strategically integrated upstream and downstream business,” said president and chief executive Amin Nasser.
Oil prices have continued to rally this year after surging by more than 60 per cent in 2021, supported by economic rebounds across the world as Covid-19 restrictions have been gradually eased and the continuing Russia-Ukraine conflict that has stoked commodity prices.
Brent, the benchmark for two thirds of the world’s oil, is up more than 20 per cent so far this year. West Texas Intermediate, the gauge that tracks US crude, has risen almost 14 per cent since the start of the year.
Both benchmarks were up about 1.4 per cent at 12pm UAE time on Tuesday.
The price of Brent is forecast to average about $93 a barrel in the fourth quarter of 2022 and rise to $95 in 2023, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a report last month.
Factors that would lead to higher oil prices include any potential petroleum supply disruptions and slower crude production growth, while timid economic growth may contribute to lower prices, the EIA said.
This is lower than the International Monetary Fund's earlier forecast, which said the price of Brent would average $103.88 in 2022, its highest level since 2013, citing disruptions caused by the war in Ukraine.
Demand for oil is expected to continue to rise and the industry requires “huge investments” of about $12.1 trillion through 2045 to boost production and meet demand, even as the world moves to clean energy, Opec said last week.
Opec and its partners led by Russia, which together form the Opec+ alliance, agreed early in October to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day from November to support the market.
That was the biggest reduction since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic in 2020.
Opec also lowered its forecasts, saying last month that global oil demand would rise by 2.6 million bpd in 2022, compared with its earlier projection of 3.1 million bpd, and grow by 2.3 million bpd next year, from an earlier call of 2.7 million bpd.
“While global crude oil prices during this period were affected by continued economic uncertainty, our long-term view is that oil demand will continue to grow for the rest of the decade, given the world’s need for more affordable and reliable energy,” Mr Nasser said.
Cash flow from operating activities grew by almost half to $54bn, from $36.3bn a year earlier, while free cash flow surged about 58 per cent to $45bn, from $28.7bn.
Aramco’s strong earnings and record free cash flow in the third quarter reinforce our proven ability to generate significant value through our low cost, low-carbon intensity upstream production and strategically integrated upstream and downstream business.
Amin Nasser,
president and chief executive of Saudi Aramco
Through the first nine months of 2022, Aramco’s net profit jumped more than two thirds to $130.3bn, from $77.6bn in the same period a year ago.
Aramco said its average realised oil price stood at $101.70 a barrel in the third quarter, up by about 40 per cent from $72.80 a year ago. For the first nine months, the average was at $104.30, up more than 55 per cent from $67.20 in the same period in 2021.
The company will continue to extend its long-term oil and gas production capabilities, while also working to achieve its net-zero goals, Mr Nasser said.
“Our plans for our downstream expansion continue to move forward as we seek to leverage the significant potential of our products to meet rising global demand for petrochemicals, which will be critical to the materials transition that is required to support a lower-carbon future,” he said.
“In addition, we continue to develop new, lower-carbon energy solutions as we work to be part of a more practical, stable and inclusive energy transition.”
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PROFILE OF STARZPLAY
Date started: 2014
Founders: Maaz Sheikh, Danny Bates
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Entertainment/Streaming Video On Demand
Number of employees: 125
Investors/Investment amount: $125 million. Major investors include Starz/Lionsgate, State Street, SEQ and Delta Partners
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Dhadak 2
Director: Shazia Iqbal
Starring: Siddhant Chaturvedi, Triptii Dimri
Rating: 1/5
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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